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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulgaria | 100% | +96 pts | +99 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Albania | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Australia | 0% | −25 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Austria | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Azerbaijan | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Belgium | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Croatia | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cyprus | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Czechia | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Denmark | 0% | −2 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Estonia | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Finland | 0% | −50 pts | −45 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| France | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Georgia | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Germany | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Greece | 0% | −6 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Israel | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Italy | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Latvia | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lithuania | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luxembourg | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Malta | 0% | 0 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Moldova | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Montenegro | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norway | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Poland | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Portugal | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Romania | 0% | −6 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| San Marino | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Serbia | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sweden | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Switzerland | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ukraine | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| United Kingdom | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Armenia | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Country B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Country O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153d |  SorosG | Israel | SellNo>99¢ | $1,275 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Mealy-Ring | Israel | SellNo>99¢ | $1,058 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | lustra123 | Australia | SellNo>99¢ | $1,387 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | phredmoz | Finland | SellNo>99¢ | $5,721 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | 0x87a31a728f4ba4eda2b99e0d9ea497e7115ed9ef | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $4,674 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Yawning-Chicken | Israel | SellNo>99¢ | $7,552 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  tomatosauce2 | Israel | SellNo>99¢ | $1,298 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | 0xbd78…3c96 | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,574 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | 0x64d7…b86f | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,001 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Renan20302 fills | Israel | SellNo>99¢ | $8,991 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Likely-Precedent | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,119 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  EuroVisionWinner | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $2,230 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  VanillaNinja | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $6,050 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Nowaterinthebank | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $2,016 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Light-Square | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,947 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  0x8712 | Finland | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Ordon2 fills | Israel | SellNo>99¢ | $23,685 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  Parz1vaI | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $17,301 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | CryptoVagabond2 fills | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $295,561 | −$1,438 −0.5% | — |
| 153d | Donden | Finland | SellNo>99¢ | $3,601 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Donden | Israel | SellNo>99¢ | $11,702 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Clean-Talk | Israel | SellNo>99¢ | $1,140 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  vadymkobziev | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,241 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | SplendidAmadeus | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Joprey | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,448 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | 0x1ed5…a7dd | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $2,761 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Reaze.21 | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,278 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Knightskull | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,012 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | stefanm72 fills | Bulgaria | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,507 | −$74 −2.9% | — |
| 153d | 0x5856…e2b1 | Finland | SellNo>99¢ | $2,044 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  TheLAVINAEnjoyer | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $7,850 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | krEmch0 | Bulgaria | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,756 | −$23 −0.6% | — |
| 153d | vpetroff | Bulgaria | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,800 | −$63 −0.6% | — |
| 153d | xB0b0shi2 fills | Bulgaria | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $25,237 | −$2,820 −11% | — |
| 153d |  Sparatokos | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $68,282 | −$68 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Pbankov | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $4,946 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Scary-Hazel | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $2,697 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | can111 | Australia | SellNo>99¢ | $1,341 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | labadibaba2 fills | Finland | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $5,814 | −$1,871 −32% | — |
| 153d | malevolence94 | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,263 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Faraway-Advocacy | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $2,394 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | qwe2584 fills | Czechia | SellNo>99¢ | $23,976 | −$24 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  Bob3r | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $3,105 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Substantial-Cupola2 fills | Bulgaria | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $4,126 | −$1,887 −46% | — |
| 153d |  Str3sU | Israel | SellNo>99¢ | $1,281 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Dfrnw | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,349 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | tebixor | Italy | SellNo>99¢ | $5,899 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | tebixor | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,250 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Emil12312 | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,514 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Ibra777 | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $6,810 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Str3sU | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,436 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | 0xe169…48a6 | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $2,866 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Barkolen | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $2,938 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Jonny88 | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $4,585 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  F-22Raptor | Australia | SellNo>99¢ | $2,074 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | RekBekgoat | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,021 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | TenTim | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $9,513 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | can111 | Finland | SellNo>99¢ | $1,258 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d |  afonsoo003 | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $6,494 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | recar0699 | Bulgaria | SellYes>99¢ | $1,180 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
amused26710,000 sharesThis market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Eurovision (https://eurovision.tv/), including live footage of Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Bulgaria means the market gives it about 100%.