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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team Water | 100% | +33 pts | +39 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Walmart | 0% | −64 pts | −53 pts | — · 8¢ | — | ended |
| Youtube / Youtuber 10+ | 100% | +15 pts | +20 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Reality Show | 0% | −56 pts | −34 pts | — · 10¢ | — | ended |
| Million / Billion 7+ | 100% | +16 pts | +41 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Creating Content | 0% | −66 pts | −53 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Feastable / Chocolate 8+ | 0% | −36 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | −16 pts | −15 pts | <1¢ · 3¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| IPO | 0% | −45 pts | −33 pts | — · 6¢ | — | ended |
| Crohn's | 0% | −62 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Polymarket / Betting | 0% | −8 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | −70 pts | −51 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| World Record | 0% | −52 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| West Africa | 0% | −37 pts | −40 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Burger / Hamburger | 0% | −31 pts | −37 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Ronaldo / Neymar | 0% | −14 pts | −32 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 317d |  Optimus- | Million / Billion 7+ | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,597 | +$32 +1.2% | 20 |
| 317d | Optimus-2 fills | Youtube / Youtuber 10+ | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,927 | +$49 +1.7% | 20 |
MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson) is scheduled to participate in NYT DealBook Summit on December 3, 2025 (https://www.nytco.com/press/the-new-york-times-announces-lineup-at-annual-dealbook-summit-on-dec-3/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson) says the listed term during his appearance at the named event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Pluralization/possessive of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. This market is explicitly about MrBeast (Jimmy Donaldson) appearances at the NYT DealBook Summit event (https://www.nytimes.com/events/dealbook#overview). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the specifically listed events will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the events contain Q&As, it will count toward the resolution of this market. If this event is definitively cancelled, or relevant footage is otherwise not aired by December 03, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Team Water means the market gives it about 100%.