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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| António José Seguro (IND) | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tim Vieira (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Joana Amaral Dias (ADN) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| André Pestana (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| André Ventura (CH) | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Orlando Cruz (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Aristides Teixeira (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Manuela Magno (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Luís Marques Mendes (PSD) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pedro Tinoco de Faria (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vitorino Silva (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ângela Maryah (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| António Filipe (PCP) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Raul Perestrello (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| José Cardoso (PLS) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pedro Passos Coelho (PSD) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jorge Pinto | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Person C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Person L | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rui Moreira (IND) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Paulo Portas (CDS) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Catarina Martins (BE) | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candidate M | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate N | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate O | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate P | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Q | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate R | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate S | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate T | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate U | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate V | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate W | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate X | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Y | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Candidate Z | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250d |  aaa65 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $12,981 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | MAGURO | André Ventura (CH) | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | aaa64 fills | André Ventura (CH) | SellNo>99¢ | $13,986 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 250d |  d1k212 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $22,756 | +$43 +0.2% | 10 |
| 250d |  TeemuPukki2 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,165 | +$23 +0.1% | 10 |
| 250d | dumbidiot | André Ventura (CH) | SellNo>99¢ | $3,996 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA2 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $37,712 | −$38 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | utawas | Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | SellNo>99¢ | $13,965 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | StudentMoney | André Ventura (CH) | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 250d |  TradeDeficitArchitect2 fills | André Ventura (CH) | SellNo>99¢ | $11,975 | −$12 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | Cryptobahemith | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $7,072 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 250d |  Valen92 fills | André Ventura (CH) | SellNo>99¢ | $45,121 | −$120 −0.3% | — |
| 250d |  debased | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $9,959 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | Threadbare-Astronomy2 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $33,966 | −$34 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | Threadbare-Astronomy | André Ventura (CH) | SellNo>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | Notz | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $4,271 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | Ket218 | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $10,024 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 250d |  knrad | André Ventura (CH) | SellNo>99¢ | $2,124 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | knrad | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,326 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 250d |  OkieDokiePeon | André Ventura (CH) | SellNo>99¢ | $9,990 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 250d |  Jellow2 | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 250d |  CoffeeLover6 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $13,117 | −$60 −0.5% | — |
| 250d |  Mr-Krabs | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,798 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | fi3nu8920-4 | Henrique Gouveia e Melo (IND) | SellNo>99¢ | $6,394 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | fi3nu8920-4 | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $1,220 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | jocpolitic2 fills | André Ventura (CH) | SellNo>99¢ | $116,812 | −$357 −0.3% | — |
| 250d |  Dreamer3bcbcd6c | André Ventura (CH) | SellNo>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | Dreamer3bcbcd6c | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | Martinette | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $3,097 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 250d | 0xfdc9…ba9729 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $38,801 | −$155 −0.4% | — |
| 250d | aaa6 | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,784 | +$8 +0.1% | 10 |
| 250d | 0xfdc9…ba9729 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $38,857 | +$98 +0.3% | 10 |
| 250d |  0xbb39ba863319281427a482c8714ffdf69cb7ee8 | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 250d | FlyingPlaty | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,917 | +$4 +0.2% | 10 |
| 250d | vinunited | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,005 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 250d | debased | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $46,595 | +$140 +0.3% | 10 |
| 250d | OLOTH5 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $26,969 | +$140 +0.5% | 10 |
| 250d | 0xd567…340428 fills | André Ventura (CH) | SellNo>99¢ | $39,161 | −$185 −0.5% | — |
| 250d | 0xd567…340428 fills | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo>99¢ | $39,229 | +$117 +0.3% | 10 |
| 250d | Serene-Decision | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,298 | +$9 +0.4% | 10 |
| 250d | Serene-Decision | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,663 | +$69 +0.3% | 10 |
| 250d | g64 | João Cotrim Figueiredo (IL) | SellNo>99¢ | $16,993 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 250d |  Pestle | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes100¢ | $3,623 | −$18 −0.5% | — |
| 250d | Pestle | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo100¢ | $3,623 | +$18 +0.5% | 10 |
| 250d | d0083 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,651 | −$26 −0.6% | — |
| 250d | waterfall02 fills | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,628 | +$46 +0.5% | 10 |
| 250d | wokerjoesleeper | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo100¢ | $1,224 | +$6 +0.5% | 10 |
| 250d | Valen9 | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $14,847 | −$60 −0.4% | — |
| 250d | 0xac35…7fe93 fills | André Ventura (CH) | SellNo>99¢ | $4,309 | −$17 −0.4% | — |
| 250d | 0xac35…7fe93 fills | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,314 | +$13 +0.3% | 10 |
| 250d | 0xac35…7fe911 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $15,952 | −$70 −0.4% | — |
| 250d | 0xac35…7fe911 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $15,974 | +$48 +0.3% | 10 |
| 250d | 0xd40c…636c13 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $19,294 | −$105 −0.5% | — |
| 250d | 0xd40c…636c13 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $19,340 | +$59 +0.3% | 10 |
| 250d | afdafdafdafdafd | André Ventura (CH) | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,586 | +$14 +0.4% | 10 |
| 250d | 0x53c0…7aee14 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes>99¢ | $21,275 | −$85 −0.4% | — |
| 250d | 0x53c0…7aee14 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $21,299 | +$61 +0.3% | 10 |
| 250d | 0xf741…936620 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $32,156 | −$181 −0.6% | — |
| 250d | 0xf741…936620 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | BuyYes>99¢ | $32,238 | +$98 +0.3% | 10 |
| 250d | 0x4262…071121 fills | António José Seguro (IND) | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $35,750 | −$209 −0.6% | — |
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Portugal on 18 or 25 January 2026, with a possible second round on 8 or 15 February 2026. A second round will be held if no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Portuguese government, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (https://www.cne.pt/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for António José Seguro (IND) means the market gives it about 100%.