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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ChatGPT | 100% | +49 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Google Gemini | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended | |
| Threads | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Claude by Anthropic | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| CapCut: Photo & Video Editor | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Grok | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Freecash - Get Paid Real Money | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Hallow: Prayer & Meditation | 0% | −99 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| App B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| App C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| App D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| App E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| App F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| App G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| App H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| App I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| App J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| App K | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 239d | Epse | Google Gemini | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,510 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 239d | ChatGPT | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$22 +2.0% | 4 | |
| 239d | ChatGPT | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,241 | +$964 +43% | 4 | |
| 239d | manwooLee | ChatGPT | BuyNo53¢ → 0¢ | $9,540 | −$9,540 −100% | 14 |
| 239d | roverpredicts | ChatGPT | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,036 | −$1,036 −100% | — |
| 239d | Remorseful-Archaeology | ChatGPT | SellYes59¢ → 100¢ | $1,304 | −$890 −68% | — |
| 240d | Sanchezia | Claude by Anthropic | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,665 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 240d | sweetj | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,222 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 240d | sweetj | CapCut: Photo & Video Editor | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,365 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 240d | acidpumba | ChatGPT | SellYes55¢ → 100¢ | $2,598 | −$2,130 −82% | — |
| 240d | Dcluke | Grok | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,934 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 240d | Cabtrum | Grok | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,985 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 240d | ak969696 | ChatGPT | SellYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,485 | −$515 −35% | — |
| 241d | sami5 | ChatGPT | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,040 | +$107 +5.3% | 5 |
| 241d | ak969696 | ChatGPT | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 5 |
| 245d | Smoggy-NoseNew account | ChatGPT | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$43 +4.2% | 5 |
| 245d | ChatGPT | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,140 | +$60 +5.3% | 4 |
This market will resolve according to the iOS app, ranked #1 in the United States on the iPhone Apple App Store's overall Top Charts under "Free Apps", as of 12:00 PM ET on the specified date. To find the overall chart, click "Apps" at the bottom of the US iOS App Store app, scroll down to "Top Free Apps" and click "See All". Then under "Free Apps" in the "Top Charts" section, you'll see the list that will be used as the resolution source to this market (https://apps.apple.com/us/charts/iphone).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ChatGPT means the market gives it about 100%.