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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-40M | 100% | +69 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <20M | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 40-60M | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 60-80M | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80M+ | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1d |  Faston | 40-60M | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,202 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
| 1d |  MrFeast | 20-40M | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,043 | +$43 +4.2% | 21 |
| 1d | Gabriell11 | 20-40M | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$138 +9.9% | 21 |
Kati.shi1,000 sharesFaston40 sharesThis market will resolve according to the number of views the Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer video gets in the first 24 hours after being posted on the Rockstar Games YouTube channel. This market may not resolve until the 24 hours are complete, regardless of whether a strike is reached earlier. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market is Rockstar Games' YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@RockstarGames), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video. Note: This market refers only to the "Grand Theft Auto VI Launch Trailer" video posted by Rockstar Games (see: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rz1B4B2yBZY).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 20-40M means the market gives it about 100%.