| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 8,000 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $6,316 | −$68 −1.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 5,487 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $4,966 | +$199 +4.2% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 8,000 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $1,684 | +$60 +3.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 1,830 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $1,674 | −$11 −0.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,601 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $1,353 | −$7 −0.5% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,835 | 78¢ → 74¢ | $1,349 | −$76 −5.3% |
| Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 1,221 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $1,187 | +$2 +0.1% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 1,073 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $971 | −$38 −3.8% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 1,119 | 75¢ → 77¢ | $856 | +$12 +1.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 861 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $855 | +$33 +4.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 847 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $682 | +$0 +0.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 694 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $649 | +$49 +8.1% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 670 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $620 | +$9 +1.5% |
| Will the Tesla Roadster's 0-60 time be less than 1 second?Ends ended | Yes | 615 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $615 | +$13 +2.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 597 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $564 | +$9 +1.6% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 767 | 66¢ → 73¢ | $556 | +$47 +9.2% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 588 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $479 | +$3 +0.7% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 509 | 64¢ → 73¢ | $370 | +$44 +14% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 455 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $284 | −$9 −3.1% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 267 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $258 | +$15 +6.1% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 271 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $256 | +$33 +15% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 279 | 91¢ → 89¢ | $247 | −$7 −2.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 247 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $237 | +$5 +2.2% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 241 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $236 | +$4 +1.8% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 198 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $196 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$18 +10% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 186 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $185 | +$4 +2.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 204 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $185 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 224 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $176 | −$6 −3.1% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 206 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $172 | −$3 −1.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the OH-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 207 | 82¢ → 83¢ | $172 | +$3 +1.6% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 222 | 76¢ → 72¢ | $159 | −$10 −5.7% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 160 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $155 | +$5 +3.2% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 193 | 72¢ → 74¢ | $142 | +$3 +1.9% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 144 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $141 | +$3 +2.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 222 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $139 | −$5 −3.8% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 144 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $138 | +$7 +5.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 641 | 27¢ → 21¢ | $131 | −$39 −23% |
| Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 142 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $131 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 125 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $121 | +$3 +2.3% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 130 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $116 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 134 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $105 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 441 | 42¢ → 24¢ | $104 | −$82 −44% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 107 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $103 | +$8 +8.7% |
| Will another city host the final of the 2030 FIFA World Cup?Ends ended | Yes | 236 | 48¢ → 43¢ | $100 | −$13 −11% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 109 | 79¢ → 89¢ | $96 | +$10 +12% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 98 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $96 | +$2 +2.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 110 | 93¢ → 87¢ | $95 | −$7 −6.9% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 128 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $94 | −$0 −0.3% |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 96 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $93 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 96 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $92 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 95 | 92¢ → 88¢ | $83 | −$4 −4.9% |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 85 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $79 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 78 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $77 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 78 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $76 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 78 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $75 | +$2 +2.2% |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 2,447 | 3¢ → 3¢ | $75 | +$10 +16% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 96 | 67¢ → 73¢ | $70 | +$5 +8.2% |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 71 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $69 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 173 | 30¢ → 33¢ | $56 | +$4 +7.5% |
| Russia coup attempt in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 57 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $55 | +$2 +3.1% |
| Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 56 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $54 | +$2 +3.6% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 595 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $53 | −$24 −31% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 2,464 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $53 | −$59 −53% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 57 | 17¢ → 89¢ | $51 | +$41 +436% |
| Will the Democrats win Tarrant County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 51 | 95¢ → 95¢ | $48 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 49 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $47 | +$1 +2.5% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 52 | 83¢ → 90¢ | $47 | +$3 +7.8% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 47 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $46 | +$0 +0.2% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 47 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $45 | +$1 +2.9% |
| Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 82¢ → 75¢ | $45 | −$4 −9.0% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 62 | 69¢ → 71¢ | $44 | +$2 +3.6% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 45 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $43 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 57 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $42 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 41 | 92¢ → 97¢ | $40 | +$2 +5.5% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 197 | 23¢ → 20¢ | $38 | −$7 −15% |
| Iran coup attempt by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 43 | 92¢ → 89¢ | $38 | −$1 −2.9% |
| Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 39 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $38 | −$0 −0.1% |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 39 | 96¢ → 94¢ | $37 | −$1 −1.9% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 38 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $36 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 38 | 93¢ → 94¢ | $36 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 36 | 58¢ → 93¢ | $33 | +$12 +59% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 293 | 50¢ → 11¢ | $32 | −$115 −78% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 32 | 95¢ → 99¢ | $32 | +$1 +3.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | Yes | 165 | 33¢ → 19¢ | $30 | −$23 −43% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CO-08 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 36 | 88¢ → 84¢ | $30 | −$2 −5.1% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 162 | 48¢ → 19¢ | $30 | −$47 −61% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 35 | 63¢ → 84¢ | $29 | +$7 +34% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 55 | 57¢ → 53¢ | $29 | −$2 −6.9% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 98 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $27 | −$1 −1.9% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 33 | 69¢ → 80¢ | $26 | +$3 +15% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Minnesota Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 31 | 92¢ → 84¢ | $26 | −$3 −9.1% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 74 | 40¢ → 34¢ | $25 | −$5 −16% |
| Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 1,436 | 1¢ → 2¢ | $25 | +$11 +75% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 610 | 4¢ → 4¢ | $25 | −$2 −5.8% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 32 | 65¢ → 77¢ | $25 | +$4 +19% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 27 | 48¢ → 91¢ | $24 | +$12 +89% |
| Will François Hollande be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 256d | Yes | 88 | 56¢ → 28¢ | $24 | −$25 −51% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 98 | 35¢ → 25¢ | $24 | −$11 −30% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 17d | Yes | 460 | 6¢ → 5¢ | $23 | −$3 −9.7% |
