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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marjorie Taylor Greene | 100% | 0 pts | +21 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Nicolás Maduro | 100% | +4 pts | +60 pts | 97¢ · 99¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| Tucker Carlson | 100% | 0 pts | +87 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Keir Starmer | 0% | −22 pts | −1 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Joe Biden | 100% | +2 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Xi Jinping | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Pope Leo XIV | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Megyn Kelly | 0% | −2 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kaitlan Collins | 0% | −8 pts | −31 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vladimir Putin | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Barack Obama | 100% | +15 pts | +26 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| J.D. Vance | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Melania Trump | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Benjamin Netanyahu | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Viktor Orbán | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Zohran Mamdani | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Freidrich Merz | 0% | −1 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jerome Powell | 100% | +7 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Pam Bondi | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Candace Owens | 100% | +48 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Emmanuel Macron | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Mohammed bin Salman | 0% | −2 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Norah O'Donnell | 100% | +35 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alex Jones | 0% | −1 pts | −6 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jimmy Kimmel | 100% | +27 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135d |  noreasapa | Tucker Carlson | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,807 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 135d | noreasapa | Marjorie Taylor Greene | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,898 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 136d |  ZhangMuZhisDaddy | Megyn Kelly | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,367 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 136d | looppau | Kaitlan Collins | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,789 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 136d | Overlord36912 | Marjorie Taylor Greene | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,154 | −$21 −1.0% | — |
| 136d |  yen4u4 fills | Marjorie Taylor Greene | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $14,493 | −$420 −2.9% | — |
| 137d | Test669 | Tucker Carlson | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 137d | chocolate123 | Marjorie Taylor Greene | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 4 |
| 137d |  N0stradumba55 | Tucker Carlson | SellYes>99¢ | $4,829 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 137d |  49023809234904 | Marjorie Taylor Greene | SellYes>99¢ | $1,175 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 137d | ZhangMuZhisDaddy | Keir Starmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,982 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 137d | looppau3 fills | Keir Starmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,332 | +$8 +0.1% | 4 |
| 137d | NeoOracle2 fills | Keir Starmer | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,996 | +$10 +0.2% | 4 |
| 137d | Ordon | Marjorie Taylor Greene | SellYes>99¢ | $3,655 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 137d |  aenews2 | Marjorie Taylor Greene | SellYes>99¢ | $2,515 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | Arman2 | Marjorie Taylor Greene | SellYes>99¢ | $1,140 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | apple-pi | Marjorie Taylor Greene | SellYes>99¢ | $1,273 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | yen4u | Marjorie Taylor Greene | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,046 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 137d |  Vovovovovovovo | Marjorie Taylor Greene | SellYes>99¢ | $1,202 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 137d | apple-pi | Marjorie Taylor Greene | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,176 | +$12 +1.0% | 4 |
| 137d |  iutwpfal | Marjorie Taylor Greene | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,517 | +$97 +6.4% | 4 |
| 138d |  jesterthegoose | Pope Leo XIV | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,800 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 138d | Stiff-Speedboat-Waiter | Marjorie Taylor Greene | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | +$55 +5.3% | 5 |
| 138d | Overlord36912 | Marjorie Taylor Greene | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$176 +8.8% | 4 |
| 138d |  scottilicious | Marjorie Taylor Greene | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $11,867 | +$1,426 +12% | 4 |
| 138d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Pope Leo XIV | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,476 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 138d |  bernardbulletin | Marjorie Taylor Greene | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,219 | −$1,219 −100% | 5 |
| 138d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Vladimir Putin | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,418 | +$4 +0.3% | 4 |
| 138d | Sjhdhdhdhdhd | Marjorie Taylor Greene | BuyNo21¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 8 |
| 138d |  poopyass | Marjorie Taylor Greene | SellYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,457 | −$414 −17% | — |
| 138d | aenews2 | Marjorie Taylor Greene | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $5,846 | +$670 +11% | 4 |
| 140d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Xi Jinping | SellNo>99¢ | $1,031 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 144d |  ZhangMuZhi..6 fills | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes>99¢ | $53,367 | +$53 +0.1% | 4 |
| 144d | ZhangMuZhisDaddy4 fills | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,972 | +$28 +0.1% | 4 |
| 144d | qwe258 | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,954 | +$61 +0.4% | 4 |
| 144d |  x.o | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 4 |
| 144d | Ordon | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,996 | +$3 +0.1% | 4 |
| 144d | NeoOracle | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,685 | +$28 +1.0% | 4 |
| 144d | looppau | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,689 | +$27 +1.0% | 4 |
| 144d |  Rex416 | Nicolás Maduro | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,268 | +$30 +1.3% | 4 |
| 150d | joebmx | Xi Jinping | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,421 | +$31 +2.2% | 4 |
| 152d | 0x233BACFB515aaD | Marjorie Taylor Greene | BuyYes71¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | +$495 +42% | 4 |
| 152d |  0x0E9e64EAAA6cD2a05 | Marjorie Taylor Greene | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,014 | +$322 +32% | 4 |
| 173d | paperhandedfool | Joe Biden | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,799 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 173d | Well-Groomed-Netbook4 fills | Joe Biden | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,316 | +$144 +1.5% | 4 |
thebloodangel1,807 shares
LEGENDARY101866 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Marjorie Taylor Greene means the market gives it about 100%.