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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 5% | −1 pts | −1 pts | 4¢ · 5¢ (1¢) | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85d |  vinii | December 31 | BuyNo77¢ → 96¢ | $1,127 | +$272 +24% | 4 |
| 118d | Ellaaaaaa | Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$189 −19% | — |
| 118d | GCNO1 | Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $3,104 | +$589 +19% | 4 |
| 128d | apple-pi | Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,050 | −$23 −2.1% | — |
| 162d | Inchoroi2 fills | Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $5,717 | −$604 −11% | — |
| 165d | Inchoroi2 fills | Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$359 +10.0% | 4 |
| 169d | MrMarket2 fills | Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? | SellYes15¢ → 0¢ | $2,440 | +$2,440 +100% | — |
| 171d | 0x4773…2289 | Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? | SellNo81¢ → 100¢ | $6,444 | −$1,511 −23% | — |
| 172d | vinii | Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,430 | +$385 +27% | 4 |
| 172d | MrMarket | Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? | BuyYes12¢ → 0¢ | $3,276 | −$3,276 −100% | 13 |
| 172d |  BeneGesseritVoice | Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,177 | +$433 +14% | 4 |
| 172d |  aenews2 | Trump renames ICE to NICE by June 30? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $3,617 | +$762 +21% | 4 |
Rex416622 sharesvinii2,006 shares
tetrase177 shares
Mithrandir.100 sharesOn April 27, 2026, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt posted on X that President Donald J. Trump endorsed renaming Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE.” You can read more about that here: https://x.com/presssec/status/2048746343275938173?s=46. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that changes the name of Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Any executive action or legislation that renames Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) to “NICE” or to any name that is officially abbreviated as “NICE” will qualify, regardless of if/when the change goes into effect or if the action is delayed, suspended, or subsequently blocked by judicial or other actions. This market’s primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 5¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 5%.