| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,733 | 74¢ → 34¢ | $1,955 | −$2,279 −54% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 1,200 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $1,146 | +$125 +12% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,200 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $1,014 | +$20 +2.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 1,041 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $854 | +$31 +3.8% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 800 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $768 | +$28 +3.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 889 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $760 | +$38 +5.3% |
| Jack Lowden announced as next James Bond?Ends in 75d | No | 1,080 | 68¢ → 67¢ | $724 | −$13 −1.8% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,933 | 31¢ → 23¢ | $660 | −$260 −28% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 900 | 87¢ → 73¢ | $653 | −$131 −17% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseEnds in 17d | No | 700 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $641 | +$9 +1.3% |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,000 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $635 | +$3 +0.5% |
| UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 700 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $626 | +$111 +22% |
| Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $588 | +$17 +2.9% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $582 | +$24 +4.4% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $579 | +$19 +3.3% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $569 | −$8 −1.3% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 89¢ → 95¢ | $567 | +$36 +6.8% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 710 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $557 | +$17 +3.2% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 78¢ → 91¢ | $546 | +$76 +16% |
| Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 600 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $543 | −$21 −3.7% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 600 | 76¢ → 89¢ | $531 | +$73 +16% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 3,901 | 46¢ → 12¢ | $449 | −$1,365 −75% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 743 | 48¢ → 59¢ | $435 | +$79 +22% |
| Will any AI model reach 1580 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 506 | 69¢ → 81¢ | $410 | +$60 +17% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 400 | 92¢ → 99¢ | $397 | +$31 +8.5% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 97¢ → 99¢ | $395 | +$9 +2.2% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $392 | +$17 +4.5% |
| US charges Hormuz fees by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $384 | +$20 +5.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 1,250 | 54¢ → 31¢ | $381 | −$295 −44% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $381 | +$11 +3.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 400 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $368 | +$6 +1.7% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 500 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $363 | +$6 +1.5% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 400 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $358 | −$2 −0.6% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $356 | +$10 +2.9% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 400 | 77¢ → 89¢ | $354 | +$47 +15% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 402 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $344 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 409 | 69¢ → 82¢ | $335 | +$53 +19% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 400 | 80¢ → 81¢ | $322 | +$2 +0.6% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 416 | 73¢ → 77¢ | $319 | +$17 +5.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 950 | 33¢ → 34¢ | $318 | +$6 +1.8% |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 440d | No | 500 | 41¢ → 62¢ | $308 | +$103 +50% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 643 | 60¢ → 48¢ | $305 | −$83 −21% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 92 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 1d | Yes | 300 | 98¢ → >99¢ | $299 | +$3 +1.2% |
| Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 96¢ → 100¢ | $299 | +$10 +3.3% |
| Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?Ends in 17d | No | 300 | 96¢ → 99¢ | $296 | +$8 +2.7% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $293 | +$8 +3.0% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $288 | +$15 +5.4% |
| Ventuals FDV above $2B one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 290 | 98¢ → 99¢ | $288 | +$2 +0.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 300 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $282 | +$16 +6.0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 1,135 | 29¢ → 25¢ | $278 | −$51 −15% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15?Ends in 29d | Yes | 389 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $274 | −$8 −2.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 544 | 67¢ → 49¢ | $264 | −$103 −28% |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the #1 searched movie on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 300 | 84¢ → 88¢ | $263 | +$11 +4.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 300 | 68¢ → 87¢ | $260 | +$55 +27% |
| Will any AI model reach 1600 Coding Arena Score by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 270 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $252 | +$16 +6.9% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,000 | 9¢ → 13¢ | $250 | +$80 +47% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 400 | 70¢ → 60¢ | $238 | −$40 −14% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 600 | 41¢ → 40¢ | $237 | −$7 −3.1% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 250 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $236 | +$20 +9.1% |
| Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $235 | +$10 +4.7% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 237 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $231 | +$8 +3.6% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 240 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $230 | +$8 +3.6% |
| Will Andrew Scott be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | Yes | 260 | 75¢ → 87¢ | $225 | +$29 +15% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 300 | 69¢ → 70¢ | $209 | +$2 +1.0% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 270 | 68¢ → 76¢ | $204 | +$21 +12% |
| Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 1d | No | 210 | 59¢ → 97¢ | $203 | +$80 +64% |
| Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 1d | No | 200 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $200 | +$2 +0.8% |
| Will Michael Olise win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 91¢ → >99¢ | $199 | +$18 +9.9% |
| Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 200 | 93¢ → >99¢ | $199 | +$13 +6.7% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 85 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 1d | Yes | 200 | 99¢ → >99¢ | $199 | +$2 +0.9% |
| Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 8d | No | 220 | 74¢ → 90¢ | $197 | +$33 +20% |
| Ventuals FDV above $800M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 98¢ → 98¢ | $196 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 287 | 73¢ → 68¢ | $195 | −$13 −6.4% |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 500 | 64¢ → 39¢ | $195 | −$127 −39% |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 94¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$6 +3.2% |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$4 +2.2% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $194 | +$34 +21% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $193 | +$8 +4.5% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $193 | +$15 +8.2% |
| Will Trump recognize Somaliland before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $192 | +$12 +6.7% |
| Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $192 | +$8 +4.3% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $192 | +$27 +16% |
| Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 250 | 76¢ → 77¢ | $191 | +$1 +0.4% |
| Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 200 | 91¢ → 95¢ | $190 | +$8 +4.4% |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 74¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$41 +28% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $189 | +$23 +14% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 84¢ → 94¢ | $189 | +$21 +13% |
| Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 94¢ | $188 | +$15 +8.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,974 | 12¢ → 10¢ | $188 | −$57 −23% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 300 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $188 | −$5 −2.3% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 200 | 88¢ → 94¢ | $187 | +$11 +6.3% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 200 | 81¢ → 93¢ | $186 | +$24 +15% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 200 | 85¢ → 93¢ | $185 | +$15 +8.8% |
| Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 93¢ | $185 | +$13 +7.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 92¢ → 93¢ | $185 | +$1 +0.5% |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 51¢ → 93¢ | $185 | +$83 +81% |
| Will the Democrats win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 200 | 83¢ → 92¢ | $184 | +$18 +11% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 200 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $181 | +$9 +5.2% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 81¢ → 90¢ | $181 | +$19 +12% |
| Will "Whalefall" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 1d | No | 180 | 90¢ → >99¢ | $179 | +$18 +11% |
