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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $2B | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $4B | 2% | — | 0 pts | 1¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $500M | 4% | — | 0 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| $100M | 6% | — | — | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | $113 | in 75d |
| $300M | 6% | — | +1 pts | 5¢ · 7¢ (2¢) | $14.3 | in 75d |
| $700M | 5% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 5¢ · 5¢ (<1¢) | $5 | in 75d |
| $1B | 6% | +1 pts | +1 pts | 5¢ · 6¢ (1¢) | $5 | in 75d |
| $3B | 2% | — | −1 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $5 | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14d |  timebrotime | $300M | BuyNo94¢ | $1,066 | $0 0.0% | 3 |
| 22d | predictgeek | $3B | SellNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,180 | −$33 −2.8% | — |
| 25d | predictgeek | $4B | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $2,072 | −$54 −2.6% | — |
| 25d | art93932 fills | $4B | BuyNo98¢ | $15,400 | +$19 +0.1% | 2 |
| 44d |  dadadadayazi | $100M | SellNo92¢ → 95¢ | $1,130 | −$37 −3.3% | — |
| 55d | woleiruotang | $3B | BuyNo91¢ → 98¢ | $1,060 | +$78 +7.4% | 3 |
| 55d |  uwant | $3B | BuyNo91¢ → 98¢ | $1,122 | +$88 +7.9% | 4 |
| 56d | predictgeek | $3B | BuyNo87¢ → 98¢ | $3,638 | +$469 +13% | 4 |
| 56d | predictgeek | $4B | BuyNo90¢ → 98¢ | $4,127 | +$352 +8.5% | 2 |
| 56d | pengpeng32 | $3B | SellNo33¢ → 98¢ | $2,190 | −$4,236 −193% | — |
| 56d | pengulover344 | $4B | SellNo34¢ → 98¢ | $1,007 | −$1,900 −189% | — |
| 56d | dramp3 | $4B | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $4,163 | −$107 −2.6% | — |
| 61d | y6tfd | $1B | SellNo89¢ → 95¢ | $1,785 | −$106 −5.9% | — |
| 63d |  gatonekki | $1B | SellNo93¢ → 95¢ | $2,315 | −$47 −2.0% | — |
| 77d | Mingooo | $1B | SellNo93¢ → 95¢ | $1,752 | −$20 −1.2% | — |
| 90d |  XieGuangKun | $700M | BuyNo88¢ → 95¢ | $1,036 | +$88 +8.5% | 4 |
| 96d | SeniorLaghetto | $3B | BuyNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,060 | +$45 +4.3% | 3 |
| 96d | SeniorLaghetto | $2B | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $1,118 | +$41 +3.7% | 2 |
| 110d | zzaqq2 | $2B | BuyNo92¢ → 97¢ | $2,096 | +$113 +5.4% | 2 |
| 110d |  Decayer | $100M | SellNo75¢ → 95¢ | $3,214 | −$836 −26% | — |
| 117d | hitjnn214 | $300M | BuyNo70¢ → 94¢ | $2,323 | +$796 +34% | 7 |
| 136d | fuc.your.mother | $100M | BuyYes33¢ → 6¢ | $1,415 | −$1,179 −83% | 8 |
| 138d | hsefhsjdkfs | $3B | BuyNo92¢ → 98¢ | $2,165 | +$144 +6.6% | 3 |
| 140d | hsefhsjdkfs | $1B | BuyNo83¢ → 95¢ | $6,000 | +$825 +14% | 5 |
| 148d | tsunn | $2B | SellNo87¢ → 97¢ | $1,178 | −$131 −11% | — |
| 148d |  sipp- | $3B | SellNo82¢ → 98¢ | $1,973 | −$395 −20% | — |
| 148d |  Hyperlong | $4B | SellNo96¢ → 98¢ | $1,859 | −$35 −1.9% | — |
| 163d | Hyperlong | $4B | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,588 | +$50 +3.2% | 2 |
| 167d | Hyperlong3 fills | $1B | BuyNo79¢ → 95¢ | $8,741 | +$1,689 +19% | 5 |
| 168d | clingtastic | $1B | BuyNo82¢ → 95¢ | $1,343 | +$205 +15% | 5 |
| 175d | 6696 | $700M | SellNo71¢ → 95¢ | $1,261 | −$425 −34% | — |
| 178d | Hyperlong | $2B | BuyNo92¢ → 97¢ | $3,223 | +$173 +5.4% | 2 |
| 184d | Risto | $700M | SellNo71¢ → 95¢ | $1,427 | −$479 −34% | — |
| 184d | Lasquter2 fills | $2B | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $5,857 | −$284 −4.8% | — |
| 186d | Knobby-Disparity2 fills | $700M | SellNo68¢ → 95¢ | $2,873 | −$1,151 −40% | — |
| 186d | datiyn | $3B | SellNo94¢ → 98¢ | $1,563 | −$63 −4.0% | — |
| 186d | StarfallCrescent | $3B | BuyNo95¢ → 98¢ | $1,245 | +$46 +3.7% | 3 |
| 186d | SpireChill | $700M | SellNo71¢ → 95¢ | $1,125 | −$379 −34% | — |
| 186d | SpireChill | $700M | BuyNo74¢ → 95¢ | $1,175 | +$328 +28% | 6 |
| 190d | Decayer | $300M | SellNo65¢ → 94¢ | $1,275 | −$569 −45% | — |
| 193d | bf36 | $300M | SellYes37¢ → 6¢ | $3,202 | +$2,682 +84% | — |
| 197d | Hyperlong | $700M | SellNo78¢ → 95¢ | $1,626 | −$368 −23% | — |
| 198d | nbab | $300M | BuyNo62¢ → 94¢ | $2,845 | +$1,471 +52% | 7 |
| 199d | datiyn | $3B | BuyNo94¢ → 98¢ | $2,293 | +$90 +3.9% | 3 |
| 199d | Quartz | $2B | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $6,190 | −$263 −4.2% | — |
| 199d | Cipher-Bolt-Razor | $2B | SellNo93¢ → 97¢ | $1,314 | −$56 −4.2% | — |
| 199d | Cipher-Bolt-Razor | $2B | BuyNo94¢ → 97¢ | $1,328 | +$42 +3.1% | 2 |
| 199d | Quartz | $2B | BuyNo93¢ → 97¢ | $4,877 | +$207 +4.2% | 2 |
| 201d | Zarshka1 | $2B | SellNo92¢ → 97¢ | $1,855 | −$100 −5.4% | — |
| 201d |  Dreamwalker | $1B | BuyNo81¢ → 95¢ | $1,577 | +$263 +17% | 5 |
| 202d | Hyperlong | $700M | BuyNo75¢ → 95¢ | $1,694 | +$472 +28% | 6 |
| 203d | EdnaBailey2 fills | $4B | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $2,078 | +$19 +0.9% | 2 |
| 203d | JeremiasFowler2 fills | $4B | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $2,068 | +$19 +0.9% | 2 |
| 203d | SuttonJacobson2 fills | $4B | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $2,011 | +$19 +0.9% | 2 |
| 203d | IkerGallagher2 fills | $4B | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $2,059 | +$19 +0.9% | 2 |
| 203d | YadielJames | $4B | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,029 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
| 203d | DennisCruz2 fills | $4B | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $2,068 | +$19 +0.9% | 2 |
| 203d | AspenHoward2 fills | $4B | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $2,107 | +$20 +0.9% | 2 |
| 203d | RaquelJennings | $4B | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,058 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
| 203d | RivkaEllis | $4B | BuyNo97¢ → 98¢ | $1,049 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
PaddyAlpha968 shares
LornaPredicts800 shares
bobbymontana988 shares
SongXiaoFeng824 shares
dmitriyplm674 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Metamask's token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Metamask doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for $2B means the market gives it about 3%.