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Polymarket wallet 0x4e4203102fd7bde55ce1bcf9f1ef222e251949ed · on Polymarket since Mar 19, 2026 · also shown as Fat-Cupcake
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 20, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 730 | 87¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$636 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 350 | 89¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$310 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 305 | 85¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$260 −100% |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 250 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$78 −100% |
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 8,149 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,139 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 320 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$275 −100% |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,045 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$287 −100% |
| Will Oleksandr Syrskyi be out as Ukraine's Commander-in-Chief by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 6,464 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,322 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.