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Polymarket · WorldClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| July 31 | 100% | +34 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 31 | 100% | +9 pts | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 75d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87d | yougotme | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $23,627 | +$32 +0.1% | 20 |
| 87d | yougotme | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,213 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 87d | Michael5289 | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 87d |  OraculumNobius2 fills | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,876 | +$10 +0.3% | 20 |
| 87d |  LOL122222222222222222 | July 31 | SellYes100¢ | $2,226 | −$11 −0.5% | — |
| 87d | gamblito | July 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,939 | −$15 −0.5% | — |
| 87d |  Cattail | July 31 | SellYes100¢ | $1,315 | −$7 −0.5% | — |
| 87d |  0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | July 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,292 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 87d |  leCommissaire | July 31 | SellYes100¢ | $1,990 | −$10 −0.5% | — |
| 87d | 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e05 | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 87d |  Outsmarter | July 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,162 | −$42 −0.5% | — |
| 87d | Dreary-Hat | July 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,252 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 87d | Jzkdneb | July 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,282 | −$5 −0.4% | — |
| 87d |  Sylvester.the.Cat2 fills | July 31 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,389 | −$79 −0.8% | — |
| 87d | Sylvester.the.Cat2 fills | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,991 | −$9 −0.3% | — |
| 87d | Evwo-Jaza | July 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,072 | +$43 +1.1% | 20 |
| 87d | kitchen7772 fills | July 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $10,272 | +$52 +0.5% | 20 |
| 87d | neuiwsance | July 31 | BuyYes100¢ | $8,724 | +$44 +0.5% | 20 |
| 87d | leCommissaire2 fills | July 31 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,931 | +$69 +1.2% | 20 |
| 87d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed | July 31 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,408 | −$93 −3.8% | — |
| 87d | linker.eth | July 31 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,174 | −$84 −3.8% | — |
| 87d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | July 31 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,051 | +$449 +11% | 20 |
| 87d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed2 fills | December 31 | SellYes88¢ → 100¢ | $3,964 | −$519 −13% | — |
| 87d | LOL122222222222222222 | July 31 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,353 | +$69 +5.1% | 20 |
| 87d | Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed3 fills | December 31 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $3,451 | +$506 +15% | 20 |
| 87d | penzil | July 31 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$372 +14% | 20 |
| 87d | Romkos74 fills | July 31 | BuyYes81¢ → 100¢ | $5,155 | +$1,237 +24% | 20 |
| 87d | Romkos74 fills | December 31 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $9,212 | +$451 +4.9% | 20 |
| 88d | Outsmarter | December 31 | SellYes90¢ → 100¢ | $2,263 | −$251 −11% | — |
| 88d | lionkinglionkinglionking | July 31 | SellNo23¢ → 0¢ | $1,352 | +$1,352 +100% | — |
| 88d |  Epstein | December 31 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,784 | +$216 +12% | 20 |
| 88d | Appppping | July 31 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,432 | +$354 +25% | 20 |
| 89d | Sylvester.the.Cat2 fills | July 31 | BuyYes61¢ → 100¢ | $3,061 | +$1,939 +63% | 20 |
| 89d | Sylvester.the.Cat | December 31 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $3,348 | +$530 +16% | 20 |
| 90d |  siick | July 31 | BuyNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,171 | −$1,171 −100% | 20 |
shingoWAKAYAMA6,464 shares
Set-tembrinii6,395 sharessiick4,952 sharesThis market resolves to “Yes” if Oleksandr Syrskyi’s departure as Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine is officially announced by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The departure will be considered to be announced when Oleksandr Syrskyi, the President of Ukraine, the Office of the President of Ukraine, or their authorized representatives publicly and definitively announce that Syrskyi has ceased or will cease to hold the position of Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces of Ukraine. Such an announcement will qualify regardless of when the specified person formally leaves the position. Announcements of the specified person’s resignation, removal, or departure through other means all qualify. Only announcements which are framed as announcing a departure intended to be effective within 18 months of the date of the announcement will qualify (e.g., neither “I will leave office in 2 years,” nor “I will not be in office forever,” would qualify). Announcements of temporary leaves of absence, dated suspensions, indefinite suspensions, administrative leaves, or other temporary changes to the specified person’s duties in the specified position do not qualify. The following do not qualify as public and definitive announcements: statements that the specified person is considering or open to departing; conditional statements that the specified person will depart only if certain conditions are met; the announcement of an offer of resignation that requires acceptance and remains pending or has been refused; media reports that the specified person plans to depart; statements made in sarcasm or jest; and statements by persons other than the specified person, the relevant authority governing the specified position, or their respective authorized representatives. If the specified person holds the specified position on a predefined term with a scheduled end date, only announcements that they will depart the position prior to the scheduled end of their term qualify. If the specified person formally ceases to hold the specified position before the end of their scheduled term without a qualifying announcement, the market will resolve to “Yes” if a consensus of credible reporting confirms the departure by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from Oleksandr Syrskyi, the President of Ukraine, and the Office of the President of Ukraine; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for July 31 means the market gives it about 100%.