Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 4% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 5¢ (2¢) | $291 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 53d | trader-d4a83850 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | SellNo92¢ → 96¢ | $1,492 | −$58 −3.9% | — |
| 72d |  devin.lawson.777 fills | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyNo81¢ → 96¢ | $31,784 | +$5,650 +18% | 17 |
| 77d |  MEPP2 fills | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | SellNo88¢ → 96¢ | $8,365 | −$675 −8.1% | — |
| 82d | MEPP3 fills | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyNo87¢ → 96¢ | $8,452 | +$797 +9.4% | 12 |
| 85d | aaIrbet | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyYes16¢ → 4¢ | $1,000 | −$717 −72% | 24 |
| 106d | agagyu | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | SellNo90¢ → 96¢ | $2,239 | −$139 −6.2% | — |
| 119d | trader-d4a83850 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyNo91¢ → 96¢ | $1,480 | +$70 +4.8% | 10 |
| 145d |  debased | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyYes19¢ → 4¢ | $1,122 | −$860 −77% | 25 |
| 145d | agagyu | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyNo85¢ → 96¢ | $1,197 | +$155 +13% | 14 |
| 204d | Cinibengales | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyYes24¢ → 4¢ | $1,029 | −$840 −82% | 24 |
| 204d | inventive | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyNo77¢ → 96¢ | $3,850 | +$930 +24% | 19 |
| 205d | AlansWorld1822 fills | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyNo77¢ → 96¢ | $3,080 | +$744 +24% | 19 |
| 227d | Skinny-Diving | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyYes33¢ → 4¢ | $1,409 | −$1,224 −87% | 25 |
| 240d | BrandonGonzalez4698 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BuyNo86¢ → 96¢ | $1,024 | +$114 +11% | 13 |
devin.lawson.7774,173 sharesMEPP6,964 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if both Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia officially announce the establishment of diplomatic relations by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Israel and the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 4¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 4%.