| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 200,000 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $169,000 | +$2,037 +1.2% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 17,928 | 70¢ → 87¢ | $15,571 | +$3,068 +25% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 13,876 | 46¢ → 63¢ | $8,673 | +$2,327 +37% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7,494 | 61¢ → 88¢ | $6,557 | +$1,983 +43% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 7,695 | 39¢ → 54¢ | $4,117 | +$1,116 +37% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 4,812 | 70¢ → 86¢ | $4,114 | +$723 +21% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 4,943 | 24¢ → 82¢ | $4,029 | +$2,852 +242% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 4,830 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $4,023 | +$17 +0.4% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 6,000 | 72¢ → 60¢ | $3,570 | −$750 −17% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 59,495 | 14¢ → 6¢ | $3,332 | −$4,736 −59% |
| Will the Fed Hike–Hike–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d | No | 2,623 | 74¢ → 97¢ | $2,555 | +$609 +31% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 3,733 | 68¢ → 68¢ | $2,539 | $0 0.0% |
| Will 3 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 21,061 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $2,159 | −$158 −6.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 10,753 | 20¢ → 20¢ | $2,097 | −$54 −2.5% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | No | 9,503 | 41¢ → 14¢ | $1,283 | −$2,630 −67% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | No | 2,861 | 50¢ → 36¢ | $1,016 | −$415 −29% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 279,287 | 8¢ → <1¢ | $978 | −$22,226 −96% |
| Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 1,013 | 46¢ → 94¢ | $947 | +$481 +103% |
| Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,015 | 29¢ → 83¢ | $837 | +$543 +184% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,578 | 34¢ → 12¢ | $527 | −$1,019 −66% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 6,041 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $393 | −$151 −28% |
| Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 4,335 | 20¢ → 4¢ | $191 | −$691 −78% |
| Iran leadership change by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 9,326 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $182 | −$378 −68% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 109,287 | 20¢ → <1¢ | $164 | −$21,693 −99% |
| Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 70 | 9¢ → 22¢ | $15 | +$9 +139% |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | Yes | 10 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $8 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 1,175 | <1¢ → 1¢ | $8 | +$4 +120% |
| Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d | No | 6 | 9¢ → 23¢ | $1 | +$1 +150% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.4T?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12,676 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 107,267 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 953 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13,675 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 137,143 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26,273 −100% |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | TEAM VISION | 8,771 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,921 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16,746 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 525 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsSettled - ready to redeem | No | 18,383 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,228 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,819 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 26?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,831 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24,632 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Trump dance during WHCA Dinner on April 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 909 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40,873 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 7?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 20,000 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 138,239 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 24?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 37 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Tesla deliver 475000 or more vehicles in Q2 2026Settled - ready to redeem | No | 43,527 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22,208 −100% |
| US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 468 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 782 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Trump visit China by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 44,295 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,514 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$752 −100% |
| Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,097 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,194 −100% |
| Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Yandex (BO3) - The International PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Team Yandex | 79,265 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25,042 −100% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33,236 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,203 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be below 1%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,211 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 317 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 24?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48,563 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 13,387 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Kroger Q1 identical sales without fuel growth be between 1.5% and 2%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 653 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,188 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 300 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 202,843 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42,239 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 507 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 34,603 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,348 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Monterrey Open: Antonia Ruzic vs Nikola BartunkovaSettled - ready to redeem | Antonia Ruzic | 301 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,983 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,922 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$266 −100% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 280,000 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 487 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,754 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$103 −100% |
| Will no Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,221 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,481 −100% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 5–10%?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,899 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - ESL Pro League Group StageSettled - ready to redeem | Natus Vincere | 54,999 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34,449 −100% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 44,531 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,424 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| 49ers vs. RaidersSettled - ready to redeem | Raiders | 39,131 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19,565 −100% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 844 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,000 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 558,988 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33,225 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48,225 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,411 −100% |
| Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 231 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11,531 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,903 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 14,396 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 23,995 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3,587 −100% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12,999 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,371 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 87,789 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 15,641 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,597 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 26,069 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by June 30th?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 80,271 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,388 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 51,712 | 0¢ → 0¢ | $0 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Tesla deliver between 425000 and 450000 vehicles in Q2 2026Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,086 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$218 −100% |
