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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30 | 100% | — | +84 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 15 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 31 | 0% | −2 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 125d |  yen4u7 fills | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $15,278 | −$67 −0.4% | — |
| 126d | nickthechopper | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,506 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 127d | Malganis | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,939 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 127d | nonkenny902 fills | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,993 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 127d |  Alphax2 fills | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,601 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 127d | 0xdamocles | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,192 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 127d |  Trading4Fridge | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,426 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 127d | gabruraja2 fills | June 30 | BuyNo<1¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 9 |
| 127d |  ScottyNooo | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $25,970 | −$26 −0.1% | — |
| 127d |  mr.ozi | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $13,698 | −$14 −0.1% | — |
| 127d |  Relaccsed | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,498 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 128d | OutcomeUnclear | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,156 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 128d | nostradummy | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,052 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 128d |  cambridgeisaac | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,810 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 128d | TPAA | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,698 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 128d | Unruly-Thunderbolt | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 128d | d91f06effb | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,411 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 128d |  mingerr | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,631 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 128d | 0x93a9…0b88 | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 128d | Relaccsed3 fills | June 30 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $7,893 | +$478 +6.1% | 4 |
| 128d |  Car | June 30 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,892 | −$125 −4.3% | — |
| 128d | Huludubu | June 30 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,062 | −$138 −4.5% | — |
| 128d |  tetrase6 fills | June 30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $30,840 | +$1,191 +3.9% | 4 |
| 128d | apple-pi2 fills | June 30 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,620 | +$257 +7.1% | 4 |
| 128d |  Gleaming-Pear2 fills | June 30 | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $15,951 | −$807 −5.1% | — |
| 128d | yen4u8 fills | June 30 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $17,485 | +$1,502 +8.6% | 4 |
| 128d | Gleaming-Pear7 fills | June 30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $18,746 | +$867 +4.6% | 4 |
| 128d |  vinii3 fills | June 30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,740 | +$298 +4.4% | 4 |
| 128d | Car11 fills | June 30 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $22,096 | +$4,410 +20% | 4 |
| 128d |  siick | June 30 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $6,539 | −$307 −4.7% | — |
| 128d |  PlsDontCry | June 30 | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,166 | −$54 −4.7% | — |
| 128d |  endlesssss | June 30 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,940 | +$60 +3.1% | 4 |
| 128d | 881112 | June 30 | SellNo4¢ → 0¢ | $1,280 | +$1,280 +100% | — |
| 128d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96042 fills | June 30 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,951 | −$305 −7.7% | — |
| 128d | 0xd8dA6BF26964aF9D7eEd9e03E53415D37aA96042 fills | June 30 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,885 | +$115 +4.0% | 4 |
| 128d |  Dropper | June 30 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $8,414 | +$519 +6.2% | 4 |
| 128d | mr.ozi3 fills | June 30 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $12,403 | +$1,189 +9.6% | 4 |
| 128d | sllllllllllllllllllll | June 30 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,172 | +$149 +6.9% | 4 |
| 128d | roundtripped | June 30 | BuyNo10¢ → 0¢ | $2,026 | −$2,026 −100% | 9 |
| 128d | PlsDontCry | June 30 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,146 | +$74 +6.5% | 4 |
| 128d |  bullishkirby | June 30 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,124 | +$253 +8.1% | 4 |
| 128d | Evwo-Jaza | June 30 | SellYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,449 | −$538 −7.2% | — |
| 128d | Evwo-Jaza2 fills | June 30 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $14,852 | +$855 +5.8% | 4 |
| 128d |  Dragontree | June 30 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $3,163 | +$170 +5.4% | 4 |
| 128d | yuhyuhyuhy3523523 fills | June 30 | BuyNo10¢ → 0¢ | $7,295 | −$7,295 −100% | 19 |
| 128d | Test669 | June 30 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,836 | +$101 +5.5% | 4 |
| 128d |  tourists | June 30 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,672 | −$168 −6.3% | — |
| 128d | Incomplete-Millisecond | June 30 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $1,139 | +$61 +5.4% | 4 |
| 128d | tourists6 fills | June 30 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $20,150 | +$2,374 +12% | 4 |
| 128d |  bosshog | June 30 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $1,870 | −$130 −7.0% | — |
| 128d | 881112 | June 30 | BuyNo6¢ → 0¢ | $3,247 | −$3,247 −100% | 13 |
| 128d | Skinny-Class | June 30 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,063 | −$137 −6.6% | — |
| 128d |  paddaa2 fills | June 30 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $8,788 | −$1,048 −12% | — |
| 128d | 0xdamocles2 fills | June 30 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $7,658 | +$542 +7.1% | 4 |
| 128d | ExDeus2 fills | June 30 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $6,075 | +$425 +7.0% | 4 |
| 128d | 0x2585e7022dc2075a108204bIxc08cea8d13b60a4 fills | June 30 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $17,499 | +$1,579 +9.0% | 4 |
| 128d | apple-pi | June 30 | SellYes91¢ → 100¢ | $4,540 | −$449 −9.9% | — |
| 128d | Malganis | June 30 | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,970 | +$171 +8.7% | 4 |
| 128d | ScottyNooo5 fills | June 30 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $32,806 | +$6,023 +18% | 4 |
| 128d | Alphax | June 30 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,101 | +$136 +12% | 4 |
Project Freedom was a U.S.-led military initiative to escort commercial ships through the Strait of Hormuz. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump, the United States government, or the United States military announces that Project Freedom will be restarted by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement explicitly stating that “Project Freedom” will be restarted will qualify. Additionally, any announcement of a substantially equivalent United States military program to escort, protect, or retrieve commercial ships in or through the Strait of Hormuz will qualify. Only definitive announcements will qualify. Suggestions, expressions of openness, reported preparations, or other non-definitive statements will not qualify. Any qualifying announcement within this market’s time frame will count, regardless of whether or when the announced program goes into effect. The primary resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump, the United States government, and the United States military; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for June 30 means the market gives it about 100%.