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Polymarket wallet 0xe807669773bfbf08918c61d0191fd7db12ee4d35 · on Polymarket since Nov 6, 2025 · also shown as Murky-Margarine
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 301 | 91¢ → 92¢ | $277 | +$4 +1.5% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 123 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $115 | +$4 +4.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 22?Ends in 5d | Yes | 50 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $46 | +$1 +1.7% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?Ends in 11d | Yes | 19 | 82¢ → 84¢ | $16 | +$0 +1.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 17?Ends in 8h | Yes | 11 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.6% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | No | 5 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $5 | +$0 +3.7% |
| Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?Ends in 14d | No | 5 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $5 | +$0 +0.5% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.