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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 82,000 | 100% | +5 pts | +28 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 74,000 | 100% | — | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 86,000 | 0% | −10 pts | −30 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 88,000 | 0% | −2 pts | −15 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 80,000 | 100% | +1 pts | +11 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 84,000 | 100% | +40 pts | +50 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 78,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 94,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 76,000 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| 92,000 | 0% | — | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16d |  c4acap2 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,365 | +$46 +1.0% | 2 |
| 16d | neverbuypredict | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,133 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 16d |  gangwarharshit2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,922 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 16d |  spica2582 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,067 | +$26 +0.9% | 2 |
| 16d | gangwarharshit | 82,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,237 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 16d | easyclap2 fills | 84,000 | BuyYes83¢ → 100¢ | $2,378 | +$504 +21% | 3 |
| 16d |  Tttyh | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,046 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | wh0511 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | Stupendous-Rowing-Sentencing | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,035 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | SkyLove7 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,379 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | H.xs | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,056 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | Vort3xhz | 82,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,000 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 16d | Noteagle | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,136 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 16d | Noteagle | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 16d | Putrid-Hippopotamus | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,030 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 16d |  MOCAVERSE | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$12 +1.2% | 2 |
| 16d | spica258 | 86,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,542 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 16d | Clawbangers | 82,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$16 +1.2% | 2 |
| 16d | averagerandomman3 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,332 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 16d | Candela | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,975 | +$25 +0.3% | 2 |
| 16d | YautjaPM2 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,093 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | Candela | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,601 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | Glennraven | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,696 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | 84,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 0¢ | $1,194 | −$1,194 −100% | 4 |
| 16d | YautjaPM2 | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,071 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | wotaktwot | 82,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$66 +2.2% | 2 |
| 16d | WanTonMee | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,271 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | Navigator77 | 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,055 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 16d | Navigator77 | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,050 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 16d | Rust7013 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$357 +7.1% | 2 |
| 16d |  ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing2 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $6,469 | +$33 +0.5% | 2 |
| 16d | ProfitNProfitTradeMaxxing | 80,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,615 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 16d | Gregarious-Distribution | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,113 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 16d | Tianhe | 82,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,669 | +$248 +6.8% | 2 |
| 16d | Tianhe | 86,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | +$23 +1.9% | 2 |
| 16d | easyclap | 84,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 0¢ | $1,138 | −$1,138 −100% | 3 |
| 16d | NachiketD | 80,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$36 +0.7% | 2 |
| 16d |  admi007 | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
| 16d |  coinman22 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $3,709 | +$392 +11% | 2 |
| 16d |  walnascar | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | Rust701 | 82,000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $3,158 | −$104 −3.3% | — |
| 16d | easypredict2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $9,500 | +$500 +5.3% | 2 |
| 16d | averagerandomman2 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $2,137 | +$101 +4.7% | 2 |
| 16d | NachiketD | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$66 +0.7% | 2 |
| 16d |  Facaie2 fills | 80,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,790 | +$19 +0.5% | 2 |
| 16d | chet010 | 80,000 | BuyYes100¢ | $1,097 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 16d | PmDerek | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,658 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 16d | PmDerek | 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,663 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 16d |  soylentgoy2 fills | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$32 +0.7% | 2 |
| 16d | shabbysalta2 fills | 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $16,779 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | 86,000 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $4,351 | +$807 +19% | 3 |
| 16d | carmouchevernony | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,212 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d | atkw | 78,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 16d |  jakebet | 88,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,330 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 17d | PmDerek | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,663 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 17d | PmDerek | 90,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,429 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 17d |  FXC | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,440 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 17d | yiba2 | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,833 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 17d | yiqiz | 76,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,580 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 17d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | 82,000 | BuyYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,753 | +$145 +5.3% | 2 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) on the date specified in the title has a final "Close" price higher than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs. Price precision is determined by the number of decimal places in the source.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for 82,000 means the market gives it about 100%.