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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 15 | 100% | 0 pts | +6 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31, 2026 | 0% | −5 pts | +67 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| May 31 | 100% | 0 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 30 | 100% | 0 pts | +3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| May 8 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| October 31, 2025 | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 157d | Vilgefortz | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,977 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 157d |  党的光辉照我心 | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,023 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | misko12 fills | May 15 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $11,662 | −$746 −6.4% | — |
| 157d |  AndrewPope | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,559 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | emp992 | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,277 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | emp992 | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,847 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | coco040678 | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $27,031 | −$27 −0.1% | — |
| 157d |  mouse8862 fills | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,035 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | Mekrich11 | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,109 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | Pale-Whistle2 fills | May 15 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $16,788 | −$1,991 −12% | — |
| 157d | floatingraft | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,646 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | jinsun... | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,991 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | GCNO1 | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,601 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 157d |  The-Defect2 fills | May 15 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,833 | −$166 −5.9% | — |
| 157d |  Chims | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,994 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 157d |  Copezilla | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 157d |  budu100 | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,769 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | SomeoneIn2077 | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,946 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | SomeoneIn2077 | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,208 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | 2024 | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | arongarongarong | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,201 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | Winner9999 | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,102 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | wuerjiu2 fills | May 15 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,370 | −$143 −1.5% | — |
| 157d | GCNO13 fills | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,052 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 157d |  VEQT | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $28,152 | −$28 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | krokotuk | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $12,987 | −$13 −0.1% | — |
| 157d |  AIplusME | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $20,629 | −$21 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | FedWillWin3 fills | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $337,137 | +$386 +0.1% | 20 |
| 157d | Sin3000 | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,719 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 157d |  haerder | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,824 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | haerder | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,475 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 157d |  debased2 fills | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $27,094 | +$51 +0.2% | 20 |
| 157d | 64539564936 | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,238 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 157d | 64539564936 | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $20,533 | −$41 −0.2% | — |
| 157d | fredagainagain | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,694 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 157d | CoconutCrabCurry | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,507 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 157d | btay85 | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,044 | −$14 −0.2% | — |
| 157d |  iamkrisas | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 157d |  SakuraDevil | May 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,523 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 157d |  HysonB | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,136 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | -somebody | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,312 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | S3RENITY | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,328 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 157d | gibdolla | May 15 | BuyNo<1¢ | $4,000 | −$4,000 −100% | 31 |
| 157d | gibdolla | May 31 | BuyNo<1¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 23 |
| 157d | Ragnir | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,316 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 157d | sungjinashborn | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,218 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 157d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $16,362 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $38,180 | −$38 −0.1% | — |
| 157d | bhgf520 | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,841 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 157d |  NotBakerMcKenzie | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $119,808 | +$120 +0.1% | 20 |
| 157d | NotBakerMcKenzie | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $61,203 | +$61 +0.1% | 20 |
| 157d | ahasan80 | May 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $5,228 | −$10 −0.2% | — |
| 157d | Xaci | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,366 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 157d |  Thailand-Playboy3 fills | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $123,368 | +$470 +0.4% | 20 |
| 157d | bobe2.1 | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,084 | +$8 +0.2% | 20 |
| 157d |  zb8 | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,984 | +$16 +0.2% | 20 |
| 157d | bobe2.1 | May 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $33,023 | +$66 +0.2% | 20 |
| 157d | LOVE5580 | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,602 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 157d | Copezilla | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 157d | NotBakerMcKenzie | May 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $137,989 | +$415 +0.3% | 20 |
handsomeland31 sharesIf U.S. President Donald Trump visits China by October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Trump physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of the listed country. Whether or not Trump enters the country's airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from government of the United States of America, official information from Trump or released by his verified social media accounts (e.g. https://twitter.com/POTUS), however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for May 15 means the market gives it about 100%.