| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 1,320 | 89¢ → 86¢ | $1,140 | −$30 −2.6% |
| Will Anduril's valuation hit (LOW) $75B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 808 | 92¢ → 88¢ | $711 | −$34 −4.6% |
| Crypto Market Structure legislation becomes law in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 749 | 94¢ → 90¢ | $674 | −$29 −4.1% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.0T and $1.25T?Ends in 256d | No | 633 | 95¢ → 94¢ | $597 | −$3 −0.6% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 637 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $578 | −$22 −3.7% |
| Will Bill Hill win the AK-AL House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 632 | 88¢ → 86¢ | $544 | −$11 −2.0% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 660 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $498 | −$10 −1.9% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 657 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $490 | −$16 −3.2% |
| Will AI solve 1 more Millennium Prize Problem in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 602 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $488 | −$19 −3.7% |
| Will Pete Buttigieg announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 656 | 89¢ → 73¢ | $480 | −$102 −18% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 499 | 92¢ → 84¢ | $417 | −$43 −9.4% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 840 | 92¢ → 47¢ | $392 | −$378 −49% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1480?Ends ended | Yes | 1,070 | 93¢ → 31¢ | $329 | −$671 −67% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | No | 457 | 81¢ → 71¢ | $322 | −$50 −13% |
| Will $ANSEM dip to $0.08 before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 616 | 91¢ → 49¢ | $299 | −$262 −47% |
| Will Big Walk win Best Independent Game at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 53d | No | 480 | 83¢ → 61¢ | $292 | −$104 −26% |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 404 | 83¢ → 72¢ | $291 | −$42 −13% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 372 | 76¢ → 74¢ | $273 | −$10 −3.5% |
| Situational Awareness raises new capital by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 243 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $222 | −$4 −1.6% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NY-21 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 298 | 79¢ → 75¢ | $222 | −$14 −6.0% |
| Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 10,000 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 258 | 88¢ → 76¢ | $196 | −$30 −13% |
| Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | Yes | 265 | 85¢ → 71¢ | $187 | −$37 −17% |
| Will Democrats sweep the Alaska Senate and Governor elections?Ends in 17d | No | 660 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $182 | −$17 −8.3% |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 220 | 89¢ → 82¢ | $179 | −$17 −8.4% |
| Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.5T and $1.75T?Ends in 440d | No | 218 | 91¢ → 81¢ | $176 | −$22 −11% |
| Will ZywOo reach 36 HLTV MVP awards by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 212 | 94¢ → 81¢ | $172 | −$28 −14% |
| Will Wang Chung-ming win the next Lienchiang County Magistrate election?Ends in 42d | Yes | 227 | 88¢ → 74¢ | $168 | −$32 −16% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index hit $5.00 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 429 | 85¢ → 38¢ | $163 | −$200 −55% |
| Will Juventus finish first in UEL league phase?Ends in 133d | No | 188 | 86¢ → 84¢ | $158 | −$4 −2.3% |
| Will Daniel Wong win the 2026 Fort Bend County Judge election?Ends in 17d | No | 143 | 90¢ → 84¢ | $119 | −$9 −6.8% |
| Will the Republican Party win the MD-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 132 | 90¢ → 87¢ | $114 | −$4 −3.3% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | Yes | 542 | 27¢ → 20¢ | $110 | −$34 −24% |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 660 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $109 | −$23 −18% |
| Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?Ends in 42d | No | 152 | 89¢ → 71¢ | $108 | −$27 −20% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in January 2027 (ET)?Ends in 440d | No | 125 | 90¢ → 85¢ | $106 | −$7 −6.1% |
| Will CNN fly with Trump by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 89 | 91¢ → 89¢ | $79 | −$2 −2.2% |
| Modi out by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 751 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $79 | −$18 −19% |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $5B by December 31?Ends in 76d | No | 139 | 91¢ → 53¢ | $73 | −$54 −42% |
| Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: Any Candidate Gets Most Votes Ever?Ends in 8d | Yes | 87 | 85¢ → 82¢ | $71 | −$3 −4.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 66 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $58 | −$2 −3.8% |
| Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 51 | 93¢ → 91¢ | $47 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 46 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $42 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will "Earrings – Malcom Todd" be the #2 song in the US for 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 62 | 81¢ → 63¢ | $39 | −$11 −22% |
| Will "Choosin Texas – Ella Langley" be the top song in the US for 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 422 | 13¢ → 9¢ | $36 | −$19 −34% |
| Will Glean's valuation hit (LOW) $4B by December 31?Ends in 76d | No | 56 | 92¢ → 61¢ | $34 | −$18 −34% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 4.90% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 454 | 11¢ → 8¢ | $34 | −$15 −31% |
| Will the Republicans win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 44 | 89¢ → 76¢ | $33 | −$6 −15% |
| Will Dilution of Iranian Uranium be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 220 | 14¢ → 13¢ | $28 | −$3 −11% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-12 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 419 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $27 | −$10 −28% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | Yes | 880 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $27 | −$14 −34% |
| Will Juraj Droba win the 2026 Bratislava Region gubernatorial election?Ends in 7d | No | 577 | 13¢ → 4¢ | $25 | −$51 −68% |
| Will Russia capture Svitle by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 172 | 15¢ → 14¢ | $23 | −$2 −8.4% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 27 | 81¢ → 79¢ | $22 | −$1 −3.1% |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 318 | 83¢ → 7¢ | $21 | −$242 −92% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia gubernatorial election by 12% or more?Ends in 17d | Yes | 269 | 9¢ → 7¢ | $19 | −$4 −18% |
| Pacifica FDV above $100M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | No | 21 | 89¢ → 83¢ | $17 | −$1 −6.5% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 26 | 81¢ → 67¢ | $17 | −$4 −18% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MN-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 305 | 8¢ → 6¢ | $17 | −$9 −35% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez announce a Presidential run before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 16 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $14 | −$0 −1.8% |
| Will Robert Aramayo be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 95d | Yes | 554 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $12 | −$19 −61% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $11 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will drop dead (Olivia Rodrigo) win Song of the Year at the 69th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Ends in 256d | Yes | 660 | 15¢ → 2¢ | $11 | −$88 −89% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 87 | 13¢ → 11¢ | $10 | −$2 −15% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the TX-24 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 10 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for Saudi Arabia by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 11 | 90¢ → 86¢ | $9 | −$0 −5.0% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Image Edit AI at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 11 | 92¢ → 87¢ | $9 | −$1 −6.0% |
| Will Artificial Inu be the first to hit a $1B FDV?Ends in 69d | Yes | 165 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $9 | −$6 −39% |
| Will Kuwait recognize Israel by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 95¢ → 92¢ | $9 | −$0 −3.3% |
| Will the Democrats win Broward County in the Florida Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | No | 627 | 6¢ → 1¢ | $8 | −$28 −77% |
| Will the Republican Party win the NJ-09 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 440 | 6¢ → 2¢ | $8 | −$18 −69% |
| Fetterman leaves the Democrats before the midterms?Ends in 16d | Yes | 710 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $8 | −$14 −64% |
| Saturn FDV above $700M one day after launchEnds in 440d | Yes | 153 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $7 | −$1 −7.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 220 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $7 | −$4 −36% |
| Will Robinhood Chain launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 483 | 2¢ → 1¢ | $7 | −$3 −27% |
| Will US unemployment reach at least 6.0% in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 2,296 | <1¢ → <1¢ | $7 | +$3 +66% |
| Nicușor Dan out as President of Romania in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 220 | 7¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$8 −59% |
| Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?Ends in 18d | No | 88 | 9¢ → 6¢ | $5 | −$3 −33% |
| Will the Republican Party win the WA-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 43 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $5 | −$1 −12% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-15 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 110 | 6¢ → 4¢ | $5 | −$1 −21% |
| Will the Democrats win Clark County in the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 5 | 89¢ → 84¢ | $4 | −$0 −6.2% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-10 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 261 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $4 | −$9 −70% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 90 | 7¢ → 4¢ | $4 | −$3 −41% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 38 | 15¢ → 10¢ | $4 | −$2 −33% |
| Will the highest score achieved by a Meta model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 9¢ → 3¢ | $3 | −$6 −66% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 296 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$9 −76% |
| Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google in the US this year?Ends in 165d | Yes | 166 | 13¢ → 2¢ | $3 | −$19 −88% |
| Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 3 | 94¢ → 91¢ | $3 | −$0 −3.7% |
| Will the U.S. 30-year Fixed-Rate Mortgage hit 5.70% (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 174 | 5¢ → 1¢ | $3 | −$7 −73% |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 20 | 16¢ → 12¢ | $2 | −$1 −25% |
| Will the Republican Party win the TN-05 House seat?Ends in 17d | No | 41 | 7¢ → 6¢ | $2 | −$1 −21% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 4 | 86¢ → 53¢ | $2 | −$1 −39% |
| Ostium FDV above $300M one day after launch?Ends in 75d | Yes | 122 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$3 −58% |
| Will Canva's valuation hit (HIGH) $75B by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 220 | 6¢ → 1¢ | $2 | −$11 −83% |
| Will Russia enter Pokrovskoe by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 23 | 10¢ → 10¢ | $2 | −$0 −5.0% |
| Will Moonshot have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 59 | 6¢ → 3¢ | $2 | −$2 −53% |
| Will Kareem Allam win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?Ends in 8h | Yes | 656 | 50¢ → <1¢ | $2 | −$327 −100% |
| Will ByteDance's valuation hit (LOW) $300B by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 130 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$3 −73% |
| UK Recession in 2026?Ends in 195d | Yes | 19 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $1 | −$1 −46% |
| Will Esmail Qaani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 42 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$1 −42% |
| Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $820 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 44 | 4¢ → 2¢ | $1 | −$1 −47% |
