gambler925

Polymarket wallet 0x76dbc01caffa54d0010368ff8d3226d8017f6987 · on Polymarket since May 18, 2026 · also shown as Prudent-Bracelet-Proceedings

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $31.5K
All-time profit: +$9.52K
Volume traded: $1.88M
All-time rank: #15,589
Markets traded: 419
Recent hit rate: 52%26 of last 50 closed

Open positions

43 markets · $31.5K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d	Yes	5,577	94¢ → 91¢	$5,058	−$195 −3.7%
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027?Ends in 74d	Yes	6,076	80¢ → 80¢	$4,834	−$24 −0.5%
Another Fed rate hike in 2026?Ends in 53d	Yes	5,687	77¢ → 78¢	$4,407	+$21 +0.5%
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	3,741	56¢ → 90¢	$3,376	+$1,288 +62%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	4,393	74¢ → 75¢	$3,273	+$4 +0.1%
Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	7,198	20¢ → 22¢	$1,548	+$100 +6.9%
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d	No	4,395	24¢ → 24¢	$1,055	−$15 −1.4%
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	1,338	65¢ → 66¢	$876	+$4 +0.5%
Will the Fed Hike–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Sep–Oct–Dec)?Ends in 52d	Yes	4,503	18¢ → 19¢	$833	+$13 +1.6%
Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	1,280	33¢ → 65¢	$832	+$411 +97%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	1,004	83¢ → 81¢	$811	−$19 −2.3%
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d	Yes	1,485	67¢ → 35¢	$512	−$488 −49%
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?Ends in 14d	Yes	5,577	7¢ → 9¢	$496	+$82 +20%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d	Yes	865	60¢ → 56¢	$480	−$38 −7.4%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d	No	959	38¢ → 45¢	$429	+$61 +17%
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d	Yes	1,339	33¢ → 32¢	$428	−$7 −1.7%
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	No	3,466	39¢ → 10¢	$329	−$1,031 −76%
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d	No	229	95¢ → 96¢	$219	+$1 +0.5%
Will Steve Hilton win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d	Yes	326	66¢ → 67¢	$217	+$3 +1.4%
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	Yes	297	88¢ → 73¢	$215	−$45 −17%
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	1,004	16¢ → 19¢	$194	+$30 +18%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released on October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d	No	174	91¢ → 100¢	$173	+$14 +8.9%
Will Mikaela Waltersson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Ends ended	Yes	189	67¢ → 87¢	$165	+$37 +29%
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting?Ends in 103d	Yes	5,182	12¢ → 2¢	$117	−$493 −81%
Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended	Yes	210	48¢ → 55¢	$114	+$14 +13%
Will Xavier Becerra win Fresno County in the California governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d	Yes	326	21¢ → 33¢	$106	+$39 +58%
Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended	Yes	210	49¢ → 45¢	$94	−$8 −8.0%
Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	99	28¢ → 94¢	$92	+$65 +234%
Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d	No	297	10¢ → 28¢	$82	+$51 +167%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	708	79¢ → 9¢	$60	−$498 −89%
Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	No	50	78¢ → 81¢	$40	+$1 +2.8%
Will MrBeast hit 524 million subscribers by October 31?Ends in 13d	No	31	44¢ → 49¢	$15	+$2 +11%
Will Per Svensson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Halland?Ends ended	Yes	189	31¢ → 7¢	$12	−$45 −79%
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	No	50	20¢ → 19¢	$10	−$0 −3.3%
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d	No	229	4¢ → 3¢	$8	−$1 −7.3%
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d	No	28	26¢ → 24¢	$7	−$1 −9.6%
Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d	Yes	99	70¢ → 6¢	$5	−$64 −92%
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d	No	10	36¢ → 53¢	$5	+$2 +46%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d	Yes	8	54¢ → 55¢	$4	+$0 +2.3%
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d	No	8	45¢ → 45¢	$4	−$0 −1.1%
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in October 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d	Yes	1,411	1¢ → <1¢	$2	−$12 −85%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d	Yes	248	2¢ → <1¢	$0	−$3 −87%
Will Patrik Stenvard be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Ends ended	Yes	1	14¢ → 1¢	$0	−$0 −90%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
2h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo20¢	$10
2h	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo79¢	$39
2h	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes22¢	$9
2h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes77¢	$31
2h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes79¢	$79
2h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes80¢	$80
2h	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes20¢	$40
3h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes83¢	$48
3h	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$22
3h	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes16¢	$10
3h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes83¢	$96
3h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes83¢	$12
3h	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	BuyYes54¢	$4
3h	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	BuyNo45¢	$4
6h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes84¢	$191
6h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes84¢	$220
6h	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes15¢	$38
6h	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes15¢	$33
6h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes83¢	$20
6h	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes16¢	$4
7h	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	SellYes91¢	$2,203
7h	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	SellYes92¢	$923
7h	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	SellYes92¢	$7
8h	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 2?	BuyYes7¢	$415
8h	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	SellYes92¢	$494
8h	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	SellYes92¢	$162
8h	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	SellYes92¢	$261
8h	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	BuyNo25¢	$8
8h	Will there be no Hormuz agreement?	BuyYes94¢	$9,420
12h	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	SellYes8¢	$595
13h	Will oil be below $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?	BuyYes10¢	$742
16h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes82¢	$82
16h	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$17
17h	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	BuyNo27¢	$270
17h	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	BuyNo25¢	$5
17h	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo72¢	$728
19h	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	BuyYes70¢	$19
19h	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes29¢	$8
20h	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo85¢	$32
20h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo14¢	$5
20h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes84¢	$67
20h	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes16¢	$14
20h	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes16¢	$13
20h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes83¢	$69
20h	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes29¢	$3
20h	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	BuyYes70¢	$7
20h	Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?	BuyNo45¢	$55
20h	Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?	BuyYes54¢	$65
21h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes84¢	$82
21h	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes14¢	$14
21h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes84¢	$69
21h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes85¢	$50
21h	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes85¢	$71
21h	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes14¢	$12
21h	Will there be no next Fable model (5.2+) release by October 31, 2026?	BuyYes14¢	$21
21h	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo69¢	$28
21h	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo68¢	$185
21h	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	BuyNo30¢	$12
21h	Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?	BuyNo31¢	$83
21h	Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?	BuyNo70¢	$28

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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