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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Steve Hilton | 67% | +3 pts | −1 pts | 64¢ · 69¢ (5¢) | $25.4 | in 17d |
| Xavier Becerra | 33% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 32¢ · 33¢ (1¢) | — | in 17d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
chessplayer107 shares
DuneMentat255 shares
cosmicsteaks154 sharesThis market will resolve according to the candidate that receives the most valid votes from Fresno County in the general election for Governor of California, which is scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. The candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidate last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of the election in the specified county are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of California, including the Office of the Secretary of State and the government of Fresno County.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 67¢ for Steve Hilton means the market gives it about 67%.