| Will Morena win the most seats in the 2027 Puebla Congress election?Ends in 232d | Yes | 60 | 68¢ → 69¢ | $41 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | No | 30 | 18¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$24 +438% |
| Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | No | 30 | 55¢ → 96¢ | $29 | +$12 +75% |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $26 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Claude Fable's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $26 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Left Party (V) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | No | 33 | 79¢ → 75¢ | $25 | −$1 −5.1% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-15 House election by 6%-9%?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $24 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Inde Navarrette be the #1 searched actor on Google this year?Ends in 165d | No | 60 | 54¢ → 41¢ | $24 | −$8 −25% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 30 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $24 | −$1 −3.6% |
| Will "The Black Ball" be nominated for Best Casting at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 30 | 84¢ → 80¢ | $24 | −$1 −5.4% |
| Will Anthropic be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 44d | No | 30 | 85¢ → 79¢ | $24 | −$2 −6.6% |
| Will Max Holloway fight Conor McGregor next?Ends in 267d | No | 30 | 78¢ → 79¢ | $24 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will the Moderate Party (M) be in the next Swedish government?Ends ended | No | 30 | 88¢ → 79¢ | $24 | −$3 −11% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 6%-9%?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 78¢ → 78¢ | $23 | $0 0.0% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 30 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $23 | −$1 −5.7% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Oregon Senate election by 25%-30%?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 79¢ → 77¢ | $23 | −$1 −2.5% |
| Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 30 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $23 | −$1 −4.4% |
| Turek flips Hinson for Iowa Senate by November 2?Ends in 16d | No | 30 | 78¢ → 77¢ | $23 | −$0 −1.9% |
| Will Nick Stewart attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 30 | 86¢ → 76¢ | $23 | −$3 −12% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Ends in 61d | No | 30 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $23 | −$1 −3.2% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 52 | 44¢ → 43¢ | $22 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?Ends in 24d | No | 30 | 80¢ → 74¢ | $22 | −$2 −7.5% |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Ends in 74d | No | 30 | 80¢ → 74¢ | $22 | −$2 −8.1% |
| Will Drake London have 1,000+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | Yes | 30 | 78¢ → 72¢ | $22 | −$2 −7.7% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TN-02 House election by 20%-25%?Ends in 17d | No | 30 | 75¢ → 71¢ | $21 | −$1 −6.0% |
| Will Connor McDavid win the 2026-27 Hart Memorial Trophy?Ends in 256d | No | 30 | 76¢ → 69¢ | $21 | −$2 −8.9% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 101d | No | 25 | 82¢ → 82¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will OpenAI be the second-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 23 | 36¢ → 87¢ | $20 | +$12 +140% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.4% in September?Ends in 11d | No | 30 | 82¢ → 67¢ | $20 | −$4 −18% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 30 | 51¢ → 67¢ | $20 | +$5 +30% |
| Will Anthropic be the #2 AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 75¢ → 66¢ | $20 | −$3 −11% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.3% in October?Ends in 24d | No | 30 | 68¢ → 66¢ | $20 | −$1 −3.7% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez run for President in 2028?Ends in 439d | Yes | 30 | 69¢ → 66¢ | $20 | −$1 −5.1% |
| Will Bruce Blakeman win Nassau County in the New York governor race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 30 | 65¢ → 65¢ | $19 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 30 | 67¢ → 64¢ | $19 | −$1 −4.5% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | Yes | 30 | 65¢ → 64¢ | $19 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Muse Charm released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 79¢ → 64¢ | $19 | −$5 −20% |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?Ends in 12d | No | 30 | 73¢ → 63¢ | $19 | −$3 −14% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 30 | 72¢ → 62¢ | $18 | −$3 −15% |
| Will no next Israeli Minister of Interior be appointed by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | No | 30 | 73¢ → 62¢ | $18 | −$3 −16% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 59¢ → 94¢ | $18 | +$7 +59% |
| Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 30 | 65¢ → 61¢ | $18 | −$1 −6.9% |
| Will Seoul have between 50-70mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | No | 30 | 78¢ → 61¢ | $18 | −$5 −23% |
| Will "Coward" be nominated for Best International Feature Film at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 30 | 73¢ → 60¢ | $18 | −$4 −18% |
| Will there be at least 4900 measles cases in the U.S. by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 30 | 63¢ → 60¢ | $18 | −$1 −5.6% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 30 | 63¢ → 59¢ | $18 | −$1 −7.1% |
| Will the next Russia x Ukraine peace talks take place in the UAE by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 30 | 78¢ → 59¢ | $18 | −$6 −25% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hold at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 39d | No | 30 | 71¢ → 59¢ | $18 | −$4 −18% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 30 | 70¢ → 57¢ | $17 | −$4 −18% |
| Will the US add between 0 and 25k jobs in October?Ends in 20d | No | 20 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $17 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $174 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 86¢ → 85¢ | $17 | −$0 −1.2% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 30 | 69¢ → 56¢ | $17 | −$4 −18% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the December meeting?Ends in 61d | Yes | 30 | 55¢ → 56¢ | $17 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will the Labour Party win 35-39 seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Ends in 21d | No | 30 | 59¢ → 56¢ | $16 | −$1 −5.9% |
| Will USD be at least 2.8M Iranian rials on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 30 | 56¢ → 55¢ | $16 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will "By Any Means" from By Any Means be nominated for Best Original Song at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 30 | 55¢ → 55¢ | $16 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Ends in 8d | No | 30 | 64¢ → 55¢ | $16 | −$3 −15% |
| Will Argentina's monthly inflation in October 2026 be between 1.6% and 1.8%?Ends in 25d | No | 30 | 63¢ → 54¢ | $16 | −$3 −14% |
| Will Northern Ireland win 2026-27 Nations League Group B2?Ends in 45d | No | 30 | 63¢ → 54¢ | $16 | −$3 −15% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 52d | No | 30 | 55¢ → 54¢ | $16 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will the Republicans win Sedgwick County in the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 30 | 55¢ → 54¢ | $16 | −$0 −2.7% |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be less than $397,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 30 | 62¢ → 54¢ | $16 | −$3 −14% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?Ends in 440d | No | 19 | 83¢ → 83¢ | $16 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the Winnipeg Jets record 90+ points?Ends in 194d | No | 30 | 67¢ → 52¢ | $16 | −$5 −22% |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?Ends in 5d | No | 30 | 79¢ → 52¢ | $16 | −$8 −34% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 52d | Yes | 30 | 61¢ → 52¢ | $15 | −$3 −16% |
| Will Blue and White win less than 0.75% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 30 | 52¢ → 52¢ | $15 | −$0 −1.0% |
| U.S. enacts Protect College Sports Act before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 31¢ → 51¢ | $15 | +$6 +66% |
| Will Democrats win white women in the midterms?Ends in 20d | No | 60 | 35¢ → 26¢ | $15 | −$6 −27% |
| Will The Black Ball win Best Adapted Screenplay at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 30 | 68¢ → 51¢ | $15 | −$5 −25% |
| Skin cancer vaccine BLA submitted by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 30 | 61¢ → 51¢ | $15 | −$3 −16% |
| Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $110 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 30 | 64¢ → 51¢ | $15 | −$4 −21% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.2% in October?Ends in 24d | No | 20 | 78¢ → 75¢ | $15 | −$1 −3.8% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 30 | 65¢ → 50¢ | $15 | −$5 −23% |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $192 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 30 | 75¢ → 50¢ | $15 | −$8 −33% |
| Will no live-action Gwen Stacy actor be chosen by end of 2027?Ends in 439d | Yes | 30 | 54¢ → 50¢ | $15 | −$1 −8.3% |
| Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Film Editing at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | No | 30 | 49¢ → 49¢ | $15 | $0 0.0% |
| Vote of confidence in Knesset by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 62¢ → 49¢ | $15 | −$4 −22% |
| Will Eurozone annual GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.0% and 2.0%?Ends in 106d | Yes | 30 | 66¢ → 49¢ | $15 | −$5 −27% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 AL-04 House election by 60%-65%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 47 | 36¢ → 31¢ | $15 | −$2 −13% |
| Will Blake Corum have 474.5+ rushing yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | Yes | 19 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $14 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Will Javier Ambrossi be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 148d | Yes | 18 | 84¢ → 82¢ | $14 | −$0 −3.0% |
| Will The Weeknd be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 39d | No | 22 | 72¢ → 66¢ | $14 | −$1 −9.0% |
| Will Sønderjyske be relegated from the 2026-27 Denmark Superliga?Ends in 256d | No | 30 | 86¢ → 48¢ | $14 | −$12 −45% |
| Will Auston Matthews record 40+ goals in the 2026-27 regular season?Ends in 194d | Yes | 30 | 78¢ → 48¢ | $14 | −$9 −39% |
| Will Meta be the #3 AI Lab at the end of November 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 44d | Yes | 40 | 45¢ → 36¢ | $14 | −$4 −21% |
| Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 30?Ends in 13d | No | 30 | 51¢ → 47¢ | $14 | −$1 −8.8% |
| Will Google have the #1 AI model at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 30 | 58¢ → 47¢ | $14 | −$3 −20% |
| Will Gord Krantz win the 2026 Milton mayoral election?Ends in 8d | Yes | 30 | 66¢ → 46¢ | $14 | −$6 −30% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 FL-02 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 75¢ → 69¢ | $14 | −$1 −8.3% |
| Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 30 | 82¢ → 46¢ | $14 | −$11 −45% |
| Will the median home value in the US be between $407,000 and $411,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | Yes | 30 | 48¢ → 46¢ | $14 | −$1 −5.2% |
| Will OXY play for Cloud9 in 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 24 | 63¢ → 56¢ | $14 | −$2 −11% |
| Will Google be the second-best AI lab at the end of December 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 77¢ → 66¢ | $13 | −$2 −14% |
| Will there be an ace in the VALORANT Champions 2026 Grand Final?Ends in 31d | Yes | 30 | 47¢ → 44¢ | $13 | −$1 −6.4% |
| Will Len Isleifson win the 2026 Brandon mayoral election?Ends in 11d | No | 19 | 58¢ → 69¢ | $13 | +$2 +18% |
| Will The Odyssey win Best Costume Design at the 99th Academy Awards?Ends in 147d | No | 30 | 70¢ → 44¢ | $13 | −$8 −38% |
| Will UK annual inflation be between 3.4% and 3.6% in September?Ends in 3d | No | 30 | 64¢ → 44¢ | $13 | −$6 −32% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win less than 2.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | No | 34 | 74¢ → 39¢ | $13 | −$12 −48% |
| Will Janet Gatehouse win the next Sorell mayoral election?Ends in 10d | No | 30 | 48¢ → 42¢ | $13 | −$2 −13% |
