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Polymarket wallet 0xed7b5823a08f1fe610e7b97ca22af74125055cbe · on Polymarket since Feb 2, 2026 · also shown as Required-Muscatel
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5,041 | 79¢ → 73¢ | $3,655 | −$346 −8.7% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 1,064 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $1,022 | +$22 +2.2% |
| US recession by end of 2026?Ends in 105d | No | 717 | 70¢ → 93¢ | $667 | +$167 +33% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 132 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Brazil | 282 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,429 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 55 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 260 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 46 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.