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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126d | SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,543 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 | |
| 126d | Awkward-Bride | SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,966 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,244 | +$41 +0.3% | 20 | |
| 127d | SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,911 | +$29 +1.0% | 20 | |
| 127d | enjoyevery | SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,929 | +$71 +2.4% | 21 |
| 127d | TacooooooTuuuuesday2 fills | SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $2,797 | +$579 +21% | 23 |
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Elon Musk rings the bell at a bell ceremony on SpaceX’s first day of trading. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” If no SpaceX IPO or qualifying bell ceremony occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". Bell-ringing ceremonies which take place outside of SpaceX's first day of trading will not be considered. Qualifying Requirements: - Elon Musk must be physically present at the ceremony. - The ceremony must be at the venue of SpaceX's primary exchange. - The purpose of the ceremony must be to commemorate the opening or closing of the regular trading session of SpaceX’s primary exchange on SpaceX's first day of trading. - Elon Musk must singularly or jointly participate in ringing or activating the physical or digital bell of the primary exchange through touch or force. Non-qualifying examples: - Elon Musk rings a bell at a private SpaceX ceremony. - Elon Musk tells someone else to ring the bell on his behalf. - Elon Musk issues a voice command to any device that it should play a ringing sound. - Elon Musk presses play on a ringing sound effect from his phone. - Elon Musk appears virtually at the bell ringing ceremony. - Elon Musk rings the bell from a location other than the primary exchange's physical venue. The resolution source will be photos or videos.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.