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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31, 2026 | 65% | −3 pts | −7 pts | 64¢ · 66¢ (2¢) | — | in 76d |
| October 31, 2026 | 25% | −3 pts | −15 pts | 23¢ · 26¢ (3¢) | — | in 15d |
| March 31, 2027 | 77% | — | −15 pts | 76¢ · 77¢ (1¢) | — | in 166d |
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Tenebrus7600 shares
SaturnStormCube249 shares
aliiz40 shares
Haradwaith30 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if an actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor in a starring role of a feature film by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 65¢ for December 31, 2026 means the market gives it about 65%.