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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joshua Van | 96% | +1 pts | 0 pts | 94¢ · 99¢ (4¢) | $40 | in 76d |
| Manel Kape | 1% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · 2¢ | — | in 76d |
| Brandon Moreno | 1% | — | — | — · 1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Alexandre Pantoja | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | $38.4 | in 76d |
| Brandon Royval | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Tatsuro Taira | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Amir Albazi | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Asu Almabayev | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Kyoji Horiguchi | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Tim Elliott | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| Steve Erceg | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 129d | Lawful-ProliferationNew account | Amir Albazi | SellNo>99¢ | $50,482 | −$99 −0.2% | — |
| 129d | Lawful-ProliferationNew account | Amir Albazi | BuyNo>99¢ | $49,507 | +$74 +0.2% | 4 |
| 129d | White-Grandfather-BarrageNew account | Amir Albazi | SellNo>99¢ | $93,937 | −$208 −0.2% | — |
| 129d | White-Grandfather-BarrageNew account | Amir Albazi | BuyNo>99¢ | $95,176 | +$143 +0.2% | 4 |
| 129d | pDoudiQxsreer28 fills | Amir Albazi | SellNo>99¢ | $97,995 | −$202 −0.2% | — |
| 129d | pDoudiQxsreer26 fills | Amir Albazi | BuyNo>99¢ | $98,342 | +$148 +0.2% | 4 |
| 129d | White-Grandfather-BarrageNew account | Asu Almabayev | SellNo>99¢ | $9,113 | −$23 −0.3% | — |
| 129d | White-Grandfather-BarrageNew account | Asu Almabayev | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,122 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 129d | pDoudiQxsreer3 fills | Asu Almabayev | SellNo>99¢ | $9,649 | −$16 −0.2% | — |
| 129d | pDoudiQxsreer3 fills | Asu Almabayev | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,651 | +$15 +0.2% | 4 |
| 129d | quick2OiNT2ger3 fills | Asu Almabayev | SellNo>99¢ | $9,393 | −$22 −0.2% | — |
| 129d | quick2OiNT2ger3 fills | Asu Almabayev | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,401 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 130d | kmengpeQWolf13 fills | Amir Albazi | SellNo>99¢ | $47,832 | −$106 −0.2% | — |
| 130d | kmengpeQWolf13 fills | Amir Albazi | BuyNo>99¢ | $48,969 | +$74 +0.2% | 4 |
| 130d | siltneKqfVTiger14 fills | Amir Albazi | SellNo>99¢ | $48,146 | −$97 −0.2% | — |
| 130d | siltneKqfVTiger13 fills | Amir Albazi | BuyNo>99¢ | $48,794 | +$73 +0.2% | 4 |
| 130d | calmScaWBeSr15 fills | Amir Albazi | SellNo>99¢ | $49,271 | −$96 −0.2% | — |
| 130d | calmScaWBeSr14 fills | Amir Albazi | BuyNo>99¢ | $51,413 | +$77 +0.2% | 4 |
| 131d | kee5eE3nLynx12 fills | Tim Elliott | SellNo>99¢ | $51,350 | −$104 −0.2% | — |
| 131d | kee5eE3nLynx14 fills | Tim Elliott | BuyNo>99¢ | $51,978 | +$78 +0.2% | 4 |
| 131d | wisaeGGbDeer13 fills | Tim Elliott | SellNo>99¢ | $48,274 | −$104 −0.2% | — |
| 131d | wisaeGGbDeer13 fills | Tim Elliott | BuyNo>99¢ | $49,217 | +$74 +0.2% | 4 |
| 131d | High-Level-ComprehensionNew account | Tim Elliott | SellNo>99¢ | $48,214 | −$98 −0.2% | — |
| 131d | High-Level-ComprehensionNew account | Tim Elliott | BuyNo>99¢ | $50,129 | +$75 +0.2% | 4 |
dovetail1,150 shares
Bulan865 shares
BMWVIVMW8300 shares
PhilHawesLover227 shares
AML182 shares
KingZeManel320 shares
Haradwaith203 shares
LornaPredicts102 sharesThis market will resolve according to the official UFC Flyweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 96¢ for Joshua Van means the market gives it about 96%.