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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julieta Ramírez Padilla | 72% | 0 pts | −6 pts | 72¢ · 72¢ (1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Ismael Burgueño Ruiz | 9% | 0 pts | +6 pts | 3¢ · 15¢ (12¢) | — | in 233d |
| Montserrat Caballero Ramírez | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Gina Cruz Blackledge | 1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Evangelina Moreno Guerra | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Guadalupe Gutiérrez Fregoso | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Gustavo de Hoyos Walther | <1% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Jesús Alejandro Ruiz Uribe | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Jorge Ramos Hernández | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Héctor Osuna Jaime | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Adrián Humberto Valle Ballesteros | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Víctor Galicia | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Daylín García Ruvalcaba | <1% | — | 0 pts | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Ana Daniela García Salgado | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Juan Carlos Hank | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Armando Ayala Robles | <1% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Fernando Castro Trenti | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Alfredo Álvarez Cárdenas | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Joel Anselmo Jiménez Vega | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Gustavo Macalpin | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Karla Ruiz Macfarland | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42d |  paddaa | Ismael Burgueño Ruiz | BuyNo61¢ → 91¢ | $1,577 | +$767 +49% | 10 |
| 65d | KiernanMeister | Julieta Ramírez Padilla | BuyNo56¢ → 28¢ | $1,115 | −$562 −50% | 10 |
FrozenParasite372 shares
Dapsy100 shares
goberneitor0871 shares
Nadmi20 shares
Haradwaith7 sharesGubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Baja California on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Baja California gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Baja California and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Baja California and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 72¢ for Julieta Ramírez Padilla means the market gives it about 72%.