Polymarket · Politics
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amcha Yisrael | 17% | −5 pts | −37 pts | 12¢ · 22¢ (10¢) | — | in 44d |
| RZP-Zehut | 86% | −1 pts | +2 pts | 84¢ · 87¢ (3¢) | — | in 44d |
| Blue & White | 4% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 2¢ · 5¢ (3¢) | — | in 44d |
| Ra'am | 94% | −2 pts | +1 pts | 90¢ · 98¢ (8¢) | — | in 44d |
| Reservists and New Economic Party | 46% | −1 pts | +3 pts | 42¢ · 49¢ (7¢) | $67.5 | in 44d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. A candidate list must clear an electoral threshold of 3.25% of valid votes in order to win any seats in the Knesset. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed party wins at least one seat in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 17¢ for Amcha Yisrael means the market gives it about 17%.