| Will 230 or more ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 12-October 18?Ends in 20h | No | 200 | 87¢ → >99¢ | $200 | +$26 +15% |
| Will 40 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 12-October 18?Ends in 20h | No | 201 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $198 | +$21 +12% |
| Will Core PCE MoM be 0.2% in September?Ends in 11d | No | 203 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $196 | +$30 +18% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.73% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 196 | 65¢ → 91¢ | $178 | +$50 +39% |
| Will Fabian Ruiz finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $178 | +$18 +11% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?Ends in 2d | No | 200 | 70¢ → 87¢ | $174 | +$34 +25% |
| Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro debate before second round?Ends in 6d | Yes | 202 | 61¢ → 86¢ | $174 | +$50 +41% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.60% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 168 | 81¢ → 99¢ | $166 | +$30 +22% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%?Ends in 7d | No | 162 | 88¢ → 90¢ | $145 | +$3 +2.1% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 151 | 94¢ → 95¢ | $144 | +$2 +1.4% |
| Will the US add at least 100k jobs in October?Ends in 20d | No | 200 | 61¢ → 69¢ | $138 | +$16 +13% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 8d | Yes | 204 | 76¢ → 67¢ | $135 | −$19 −12% |
| Will "Street Fighter" score at least 60 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 20h | No | 124 | 72¢ → >99¢ | $123 | +$35 +39% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.41% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 133 | 58¢ → 92¢ | $122 | +$45 +58% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.64% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 184 | 84¢ → 63¢ | $116 | −$38 −25% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 129 | 50¢ → 89¢ | $115 | +$51 +80% |
| Closer Senate Race: Minnesota or Mississippi?Ends in 17d | Minnesota | 203 | 51¢ → 54¢ | $109 | +$5 +4.8% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 113 | 62¢ → 95¢ | $107 | +$36 +51% |
| Will 0 Independents be elected to Congress in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 155 | 54¢ → 60¢ | $93 | +$9 +11% |
| Will gas hit $4.50 (High) by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 167 | 87¢ → 56¢ | $93 | −$52 −36% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 108 | 78¢ → 85¢ | $92 | +$7 +8.6% |
| Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 206 | 49¢ → 45¢ | $92 | −$10 −9.5% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 52d | No | 189 | 51¢ → 48¢ | $91 | −$6 −6.7% |
| Will María Fernanda Espinosa be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | No | 102 | 90¢ → 85¢ | $87 | −$6 −6.1% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.35% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 181 | 81¢ → 47¢ | $85 | −$62 −42% |
| Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 78 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 20h | No | 82 | 84¢ → 98¢ | $81 | +$12 +17% |
| Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more?Ends in 7d | No | 96 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $80 | +$5 +6.1% |
| Will the Republicans win Denton County in the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 146 | 36¢ → 53¢ | $77 | +$24 +45% |
| Will any other model be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Ends in 2d | No | 77 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $76 | +$9 +13% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win fewer than 4 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 118 | 65¢ → 63¢ | $75 | −$2 −2.5% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amazonas?Ends in 8d | Yes | 204 | 36¢ → 37¢ | $74 | +$1 +1.6% |
| Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 74000?Ends in 3d | No | 82 | 79¢ → 91¢ | $74 | +$9 +15% |
| Will Meta’s Q3 headcount be above 66000?Ends in 3d | Yes | 80 | 84¢ → 92¢ | $74 | +$7 +10% |
| Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?Ends in 7d | No | 75 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $73 | +$5 +7.8% |
| Will Altria (MO) Q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in billions) be above 14.5B?Ends in 11d | Yes | 82 | 81¢ → 88¢ | $72 | +$5 +7.7% |
| Will Rafael Grossi be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends ended | No | 106 | 86¢ → 68¢ | $72 | −$19 −21% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.14% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 103 | 40¢ → 70¢ | $72 | +$30 +74% |
| Will Donald Trump visit Minnesota in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 131 | 21¢ → 52¢ | $68 | +$40 +145% |
| Meta (META) Q3 ad impression growth across Family of Apps <10%?Ends in 3d | No | 79 | 53¢ → 86¢ | $67 | +$25 +60% |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | Yes | 136 | 57¢ → 49¢ | $67 | −$11 −14% |
| Will Forza Horizon 6 win Best Audio Design at the 2026 Game Awards?Ends in 53d | No | 80 | 80¢ → 79¢ | $63 | −$1 −1.3% |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 10d | Yes | 168 | 17¢ → 38¢ | $63 | +$34 +121% |
| Will gas hit $4.30 (Low) by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 59 | 83¢ → 99¢ | $59 | +$10 +20% |
| Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Ends in 75d | Yes | 201 | 12¢ → 28¢ | $56 | +$31 +126% |
| Will Trump say "Nobel" this week?Ends in 20h | No | 71 | 52¢ → 79¢ | $56 | +$19 +52% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.80% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 146 | 29¢ → 37¢ | $55 | +$13 +31% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield hit 5.17% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 62 | 84¢ → 86¢ | $53 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will Altria (MO) Q3 total domestic cigarettes shipment volume (sticks in billions) be above 15.5B?Ends in 11d | No | 67 | 60¢ → 76¢ | $51 | +$11 +26% |
| Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between October 19-October 25?Ends in 8d | Yes | 209 | 23¢ → 24¢ | $49 | +$0 +0.9% |
| Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" score at least 94 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 22d | Yes | 70 | 37¢ → 69¢ | $48 | +$22 +86% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 65 | 70¢ → 74¢ | $48 | +$3 +6.8% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 55 | 55¢ → 85¢ | $46 | +$16 +54% |
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 204 | 24¢ → 23¢ | $46 | −$3 −5.4% |
| Will LYON Reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?Ends in 58d | Yes | 150 | 28¢ → 31¢ | $46 | +$4 +10% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 137 | 41¢ → 33¢ | $45 | −$11 −20% |
| Will "Sense and Sensibility" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 20h | Yes | 52 | 55¢ → 85¢ | $44 | +$16 +55% |
| Will a North American team reach the Worlds 2026 Knockout Stage?Ends in 58d | Yes | 107 | 29¢ → 38¢ | $40 | +$10 +31% |
| Will "Clayface" score at least 80 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 8d | Yes | 90 | 42¢ → 43¢ | $39 | +$1 +2.4% |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Immigration" during the next PMQ?Ends in 4d | No | 50 | 72¢ → 75¢ | $38 | +$2 +4.2% |
| Will there be between 35 and 59 tornadoes in the US in October 2026?Ends in 24d | No | 201 | 25¢ → 19¢ | $37 | −$13 −26% |
| Will "Street Fighter" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 20h | No | 35 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $35 | +$3 +8.8% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.75% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 40 | 78¢ → 87¢ | $35 | +$3 +10% |
| Will Team Vitality win VALORANT Champions 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 82 | 5¢ → 42¢ | $34 | +$30 +683% |
| Will Andy Burnham say "Trump" during the next PMQ?Ends in 4d | Yes | 105 | 49¢ → 32¢ | $34 | −$18 −35% |
| Will fewer than 170 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?Ends in 8d | Yes | 210 | 18¢ → 15¢ | $33 | −$5 −13% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 39 | 30¢ → 82¢ | $32 | +$21 +176% |
| Will DICK'S Sporting Goods Q3 Dick's business comparable sales growth be above 4%?Ends in 37d | No | 46 | 66¢ → 70¢ | $32 | +$2 +5.3% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.67% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 60 | 59¢ → 51¢ | $30 | −$5 −14% |
| Will "Street Fighter" score at least 30 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 20h | Yes | 30 | 71¢ → >99¢ | $30 | +$8 +39% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" score at least 96 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 20h | Yes | 30 | 50¢ → 99¢ | $30 | +$15 +98% |
| Will Professora Maria do Carmo win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial second round?Ends in 8d | No | 36 | 79¢ → 83¢ | $30 | +$1 +4.4% |
| California Homebuying Loan Program PropositionEnds in 17d | Yes | 40 | 62¢ → 71¢ | $28 | +$4 +15% |
| Will "Doing Life" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?Ends in 3d | No | 43 | 70¢ → 65¢ | $28 | −$2 −6.8% |
| Will "Whalefall" score at least 70 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?Ends in 20h | Yes | 30 | 53¢ → 92¢ | $28 | +$12 +73% |
| California Retroactive Tax Prohibition PropositionEnds in 17d | Yes | 40 | 53¢ → 66¢ | $26 | +$5 +24% |
| Will Rebeca Grynspan be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations?Ends in 256d | Yes | 66 | 55¢ → 37¢ | $25 | −$12 −33% |
| Spotify Monthly Active Users above 790M in Q3?Ends in 4d | Yes | 44 | 37¢ → 56¢ | $24 | +$8 +50% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.30% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 29 | 75¢ → 83¢ | $24 | +$2 +11% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.70% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 75 | 42¢ → 32¢ | $24 | −$8 −24% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 82 | 18¢ → 28¢ | $23 | +$9 +58% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.40% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 86 | 85¢ → 27¢ | $23 | −$50 −68% |
| Will monthly inflation increase by 0.4% in October?Ends in 24d | No | 30 | 66¢ → 75¢ | $23 | +$3 +13% |
| Will Amcha Yisrael win a seat in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | Yes | 95 | 26¢ → 22¢ | $21 | −$4 −15% |
| Will Heather Jefts win the 2026 Williamson County Judge election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 30 | 62¢ → 69¢ | $21 | +$2 +11% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 50+ bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | No | 21 | 82¢ → 99¢ | $21 | +$3 +20% |
| Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 72 | 21¢ → 28¢ | $20 | +$5 +31% |
| Will Cadu de Lula win the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte gubernatorial second round?Ends in 8d | No | 35 | 60¢ → 56¢ | $20 | −$1 −5.8% |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 80 | 25¢ → 25¢ | $20 | −$0 −2.3% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.45% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 73¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$4 +28% |
| Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 82¢ → 94¢ | $19 | +$2 +14% |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 51.0 and 51.9 in October?Ends in 15d | No | 19 | 83¢ → 96¢ | $18 | +$2 +15% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.35% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 51¢ → 90¢ | $18 | +$8 +75% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 52 | 33¢ → 32¢ | $17 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Will Jackson Chourio win the 2026 World Series MVP?Ends in 29d | No | 20 | 66¢ → 83¢ | $17 | +$3 +27% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.76% in October?Ends in 14d | No | 19 | 65¢ → 89¢ | $17 | +$4 +37% |
| Will the 2-year Treasury yield dip below 4.73% in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 20 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $16 | +$1 +7.2% |
| Will Together win 20 or more seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | No | 20 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $16 | +$0 +0.3% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 32 | 44¢ → 50¢ | $16 | +$2 +12% |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Ends in 3d | Yes | 224 | 2¢ → 7¢ | $16 | +$10 +188% |
| Will at least 10 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 40¢ → 78¢ | $16 | +$8 +95% |
