Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Likud | 70% | +2 pts | +26 pts | 68¢ · 71¢ (3¢) | $371 | in 11d |
| Yashar | 27% | −3 pts | −23 pts | 26¢ · 28¢ (2¢) | $300 | in 11d |
| The Democrats | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 2¢ (2¢) | $42.1 | in 11d |
| Together | 1% | −1 pts | −2 pts | <1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $42.1 | in 11d |
| Otzma Yehudit | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $34.2 | in 11d |
| RZP-Zehut | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $42.1 | in 11d |
| Noam | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $42.1 | in 11d |
| The Reservists and the Economic Party | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $42.1 | in 11d |
| Shas | 1% | −1 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $42.1 | in 11d |
| Blue and White | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | $12.1 | in 11d |
| Yisrael Beiteinu | 1% | −1 pts | −1 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $42.1 | in 11d |
| United Torah Judaism | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | $22.1 | in 11d |
| Joint List | 1% | — | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | $42.1 | in 11d |
| Ra'am | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | $12.1 | in 11d |
| Amcha Yisrael | 1% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · 1¢ | $12.1 | in 11d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9d |  paddaa | Yashar | BuyYes44¢ → 27¢ | $1,400 | −$550 −39% | 30 |
mountaindewd821 sharespaddaa412 shares
HolyMoses7171 shares
JoshuaTree100 shares
rexcom100 shares
Konfucious89 shares
Haradwaith420 sharesLegislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Israeli Knesset. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Israeli government, including the Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 70¢ for Likud means the market gives it about 70%.