| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 4,190 | 86¢ → 91¢ | $3,792 | +$204 +5.7% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 5,000 | 67¢ → 73¢ | $3,625 | +$260 +7.7% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 1,416 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $1,372 | +$52 +3.9% |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 1,414 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $884 | −$13 −1.4% |
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 900 | 74¢ → 75¢ | $671 | +$7 +1.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 2,000 | 29¢ → 30¢ | $590 | +$11 +1.9% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 690 | 74¢ → 77¢ | $528 | +$19 +3.8% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 820 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $512 | −$11 −2.2% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | No | 1,080 | 44¢ → 47¢ | $503 | +$32 +6.8% |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 620 | 61¢ → 69¢ | $425 | +$45 +12% |
| Will Russia capture Stavky by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 453 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $415 | +$22 +5.6% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,160 | 58¢ → 34¢ | $389 | −$285 −42% |
| Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia?Ends in 7d | Yes | 564 | 66¢ → 67¢ | $378 | +$4 +1.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 550 | 56¢ → 59¢ | $322 | +$13 +4.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,100 | 30¢ → 28¢ | $314 | −$11 −3.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 8–12%?Ends in 8d | No | 340 | 91¢ → 90¢ | $307 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 400 | 74¢ → 74¢ | $294 | −$2 −0.7% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 8d | Yes | 460 | 67¢ → 64¢ | $292 | −$15 −4.9% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 400 | 71¢ → 72¢ | $286 | +$3 +1.1% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 300 | 87¢ → 92¢ | $275 | +$14 +5.2% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 300 | 49¢ → 88¢ | $263 | +$116 +79% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | Yes | 700 | 37¢ → 36¢ | $252 | −$5 −2.1% |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 350 | 67¢ → 69¢ | $240 | +$6 +2.7% |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 850 | 40¢ → 28¢ | $234 | −$103 −31% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 270 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $228 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 241 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $217 | +$9 +4.5% |
| Will Russia enter Oleksiievo-Druzhkivka by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 225 | 75¢ → 85¢ | $190 | +$22 +13% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 300 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $188 | −$3 −1.8% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 400 | 45¢ → 47¢ | $186 | +$4 +2.2% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 213 | 68¢ → 80¢ | $169 | +$24 +16% |
| Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 84¢ → 85¢ | $169 | +$1 +0.3% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 230 | 70¢ → 73¢ | $167 | +$5 +3.1% |
| Klitschko out as Kyiv mayor by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 241 | 56¢ → 68¢ | $163 | +$28 +21% |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | No | 287 | 54¢ → 54¢ | $154 | −$2 −1.0% |
| Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 258 | 57¢ → 59¢ | $151 | +$3 +1.8% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $151 | +$1 +0.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 200 | 75¢ → 75¢ | $151 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 348 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $137 | +$5 +3.6% |
| Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 250 | 55¢ → 53¢ | $133 | −$6 −4.3% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,535 | 22¢ → 9¢ | $130 | −$208 −61% |
| Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $127 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 400 | 46¢ → 31¢ | $122 | −$62 −34% |
| Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?Ends ended | No | 132 | 85¢ → 83¢ | $110 | −$2 −1.7% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 200 | 35¢ → 54¢ | $107 | +$37 +52% |
| Will Russia enter Bilozerske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 350 | 24¢ → 31¢ | $107 | +$23 +27% |
| Israeli election results in a hung parliament?Ends in 9d | Yes | 300 | 35¢ → 36¢ | $106 | +$2 +1.4% |
| Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 368 | 54¢ → 28¢ | $105 | −$93 −47% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 125 | 71¢ → 80¢ | $100 | +$11 +12% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | No | 400 | 25¢ → 25¢ | $98 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will 2026 be the second-hottest year on record?Ends in 135d | Yes | 498 | 33¢ → 20¢ | $97 | −$65 −40% |
| Will Russia invade another country in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 87¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$8 +8.6% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$2 +1.6% |
| Will Russia enter Sloviansk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,214 | 26¢ → 8¢ | $91 | −$230 −72% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | No | 150 | 57¢ → 59¢ | $89 | +$3 +3.5% |
| Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $86 | +$8 +10% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from abroad?Ends in 8d | No | 130 | 66¢ → 66¢ | $85 | −$1 −1.0% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,720 | 41¢ → 5¢ | $80 | −$632 −89% |
| Ballon d'Or 2026: Kylian Mbappé or Lamine Yamal to finish higher?Ends in 75d | Yamal | 170 | 44¢ → 45¢ | $77 | +$2 +2.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | No | 200 | 36¢ → 38¢ | $75 | +$4 +5.1% |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 29¢ → 71¢ | $71 | +$42 +143% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 452 | 24¢ → 16¢ | $70 | −$40 −37% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 400 | 21¢ → 18¢ | $70 | −$13 −16% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 205 | 49¢ → 34¢ | $70 | −$30 −30% |
| Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 100 | 64¢ → 70¢ | $70 | +$6 +8.6% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 17d | No | 300 | 25¢ → 23¢ | $68 | −$6 −8.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 450 | 15¢ → 15¢ | $68 | −$2 −2.9% |
| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 92 | 49¢ → 71¢ | $65 | +$20 +44% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 234 | 32¢ → 28¢ | $64 | −$10 −13% |
| Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 59 | 74¢ → 96¢ | $57 | +$13 +29% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 200 | 27¢ → 28¢ | $55 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 216 | 25¢ → 25¢ | $55 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Will Russia capture Kozacha Lopan by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 279 | 35¢ → 19¢ | $53 | −$45 −46% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 54¢ → 53¢ | $53 | −$2 −2.8% |
| Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 550 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $49 | −$11 −19% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 77 | 39¢ → 64¢ | $49 | +$19 +64% |
| NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $48 | +$3 +6.2% |
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?Ends in 372d | Yes | 100 | 55¢ → 48¢ | $48 | −$8 −14% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 500 | 11¢ → 9¢ | $46 | −$8 −14% |
| Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 50 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $44 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 87¢ → 87¢ | $43 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Saudi troops enter Marib Governorate by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 71¢ → 85¢ | $43 | +$7 +20% |
| Will Lionel Messi finish in the top 3 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 164 | 25¢ → 26¢ | $42 | +$1 +2.3% |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 243 | 23¢ → 17¢ | $40 | −$15 −27% |
| Will Russia capture the Royal Café Alex in Kostyantynivka by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 345 | 10¢ → 12¢ | $40 | +$6 +18% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 250 | 22¢ → 16¢ | $40 | −$16 −29% |
| China ballistic missile launch by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 58¢ → 79¢ | $39 | +$10 +35% |
| Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 412 | 24¢ → 9¢ | $37 | −$62 −63% |
| Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 9d | Yes | 150 | 25¢ → 25¢ | $37 | −$1 −2.0% |
| Will Russia capture Bilytske by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 150 | 24¢ → 24¢ | $36 | −$0 −0.9% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 2,000 | 2¢ → 2¢ | $35 | −$11 −24% |
| Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?Ends in 78d | Yes | 130 | 28¢ → 27¢ | $34 | −$2 −4.3% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Terny by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 400 | 15¢ → 8¢ | $30 | −$29 −49% |
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 100 | 15¢ → 30¢ | $30 | +$15 +97% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 84¢ → 96¢ | $29 | +$3 +14% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | Yes | 210 | 10¢ → 13¢ | $28 | +$8 +38% |
| Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 56¢ → 53¢ | $27 | −$2 −5.4% |
| Houthis enter Aden by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 24¢ → 27¢ | $27 | +$3 +10% |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 24¢ → 27¢ | $27 | +$3 +10% |
| Will Raphaël Glucksmann win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 700 | 2¢ → 4¢ | $26 | +$9 +55% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 13¢ → 12¢ | $24 | −$1 −4.7% |
