| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 650 | 50¢ → 65¢ | $425 | +$103 +32% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 350 | 96¢ → 95¢ | $332 | −$3 −1.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 454 | 71¢ → 68¢ | $307 | −$16 −4.8% |
| Will no qualifying US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting take place by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 451 | 50¢ → 64¢ | $289 | +$61 +27% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 386 | 51¢ → 62¢ | $239 | +$44 +23% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 340 | 57¢ → 70¢ | $236 | +$42 +22% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 280 | 55¢ → 75¢ | $208 | +$53 +34% |
| Will Majid Takht-Ravanchi attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 250 | 78¢ → 80¢ | $199 | +$4 +1.9% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 260 | 65¢ → 77¢ | $199 | +$29 +17% |
| Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 250 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $191 | +$11 +6.3% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 274 | 60¢ → 69¢ | $188 | +$23 +14% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 73¢ → 89¢ | $177 | +$31 +21% |
| Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by December 31?Ends in 14d | No | 197 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $174 | +$17 +11% |
| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 258 | 63¢ → 57¢ | $147 | −$16 −9.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 197 | 71¢ → 75¢ | $147 | +$7 +4.9% |
| Will Geordin Hill-Lewis be the next mayor of Cape Town?Ends in 18d | Yes | 144 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $138 | +$9 +7.4% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 150 | 61¢ → 81¢ | $121 | +$30 +33% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 150 | 80¢ → 80¢ | $120 | +$0 +0.1% |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 7, 2026?Ends in 21d | No | 178 | 70¢ → 63¢ | $111 | −$14 −11% |
| Next Claude Sonnet (5.6+) released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 150 | 55¢ → 74¢ | $110 | +$28 +34% |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 165 | 56¢ → 64¢ | $105 | +$12 +13% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win Brazil, Gadi Eizenkot become Israeli PM, and Democrats win the US Senate?Ends in 18d | No | 150 | 63¢ → 64¢ | $95 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 217 | 40¢ → 43¢ | $93 | +$6 +7.1% |
| Will Bahrain join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 89¢ → 93¢ | $93 | +$4 +3.9% |
| Rahul Gandhi arrested by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 112 | 66¢ → 80¢ | $90 | +$16 +21% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 190 | 35¢ → 47¢ | $88 | +$22 +34% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 100 | 52¢ → 87¢ | $87 | +$35 +66% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 150 | 46¢ → 54¢ | $81 | +$12 +17% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 99 | 53¢ → 71¢ | $70 | +$18 +34% |
| Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 89 | 52¢ → 69¢ | $61 | +$15 +33% |
| Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 182 | 36¢ → 32¢ | $59 | −$6 −9.0% |
| Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | No | 69 | 74¢ → 84¢ | $59 | +$7 +14% |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 65 | 72¢ → 90¢ | $58 | +$11 +25% |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | No | 75 | 20¢ → 70¢ | $52 | +$37 +243% |
| Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 54 | 74¢ → 80¢ | $43 | +$3 +7.5% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 50 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $43 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $142.5B by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 44 | 80¢ → 97¢ | $42 | +$7 +21% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 150 | 31¢ → 28¢ | $41 | −$5 −11% |
| EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 198 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $40 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 50¢ → 92¢ | $37 | +$17 +85% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 199 | 17¢ → 14¢ | $29 | −$5 −15% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 88¢ → 92¢ | $27 | +$1 +4.0% |
| Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 89 | 41¢ → 31¢ | $27 | −$9 −25% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 180 | 17¢ → 13¢ | $22 | −$7 −24% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 30?Ends in 13d | Yes | 26 | 55¢ → 87¢ | $22 | +$8 +58% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 100 | 19¢ → 20¢ | $20 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 25 | 35¢ → 70¢ | $18 | +$9 +102% |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 278 | 3¢ → 6¢ | $17 | +$9 +116% |
| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 50 | 32¢ → 34¢ | $17 | +$1 +6.3% |
| Will Somali pirates successfully seize a vessel by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 40 | 37¢ → 43¢ | $17 | +$2 +15% |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 59¢ → 76¢ | $15 | +$3 +29% |
| Israel military action against Lebanon on October 27?Ends in 10d | Yes | 19 | 51¢ → 78¢ | $15 | +$5 +52% |
| Will Iran target Bahrain by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 20 | 59¢ → 70¢ | $14 | +$2 +18% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 130 | 20¢ → 11¢ | $14 | −$12 −48% |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 40 | 35¢ → 32¢ | $13 | −$1 −10.0% |
| Will there be 4 or more US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 13 | 90¢ → 94¢ | $12 | +$1 +4.3% |
| Shipping targeted in Hormuz on September 28, 2026?Ends ended | No | 24 | 34¢ → 45¢ | $11 | +$3 +33% |
| Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 40 | 26¢ → 23¢ | $9 | −$1 −13% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 5¢ | $5 | −$3 −34% |
| Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 250 | 31¢ → 2¢ | $5 | −$73 −94% |
| Will Marco Rubio attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 5 | 78¢ → 92¢ | $5 | +$1 +17% |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 34 | 31¢ → 12¢ | $4 | −$7 −63% |
| Will Stefan Evers be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 33¢ → 8¢ | $3 | −$10 −77% |
| Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 53 | 17¢ → 5¢ | $2 | −$7 −74% |
| Will the IEA ask France to release oil stocks by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 5 | 69¢ → 27¢ | $1 | −$2 −62% |
| Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 178 | 22¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$39 −98% |
| US imports Russian diesel by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 25 | 12¢ → 3¢ | $1 | −$2 −78% |
| Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 19¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$1 −71% |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 209 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Iran target Kuwait by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 52 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through September 25?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 32 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$21 −100% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 126 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 250 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$51 −100% |
| Pakistan military action against Afghanistan by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 83 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$37 −100% |
| Will Mohammed bin Abdulrahman Al Thani attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 1 ChatGPT outage in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 33¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $1.00 and $1.25 on September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$60 −100% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will there be exactly 3 ChatGPT outages in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 219 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Will Albania win on 2026-10-06?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 25 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 105 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$19 −100% |
| Will there be 4 or more North Korea tests in September 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 51 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 81 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Iran target Iraq by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 241 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$145 −100% |
| U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by September 30?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 219 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 131 | 23¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 131 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| ChatGPT Outage by October 15, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 60 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 150 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will the Tesla Roadster fly for 1s+?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 59 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will United Bangsamoro Justice Party (UBJP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
