Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| September 30 | 100% | +44 pts | +20 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (2¢) | — | ended |
| August 31 | 0% | −1 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| September 15 | 0% | −3 pts | −23 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29d | 0x00000000000000000000000000000000000000 | September 30 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,338 | +$148 +6.3% | 4 |
| 29d |  smellyEllie | September 30 | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $2,048 | −$174 −8.5% | — |
| 29d |  Rex416 | September 30 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $2,509 | +$167 +6.7% | 4 |
| 31d | 99cents4dollar | September 15 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,509 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 36d |  xasd-440 | September 15 | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $2,330 | +$406 +17% | 5 |
| 39d | smellyEllie2 fills | September 15 | SellYes47¢ → 0¢ | $2,765 | +$2,765 +100% | — |
| 39d | Rex416 | September 15 | SellYes62¢ → 0¢ | $2,016 | +$2,016 +100% | — |
eskk1,359 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump administration declassifies any files pertaining to extraterrestrial life and/or unexplained aerial phenomena which were not previously publicly available between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For purposes of this market, the “Trump administration” includes the Executive Office of the President and all executive branch departments, agencies, and subordinate offices under presidential authority during the Trump presidency, including the Department of Defense and its components. Announcements of declassifications that are not implemented within this market's timeframe will not count. The primary resolution source for declassification will be official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for September 30 means the market gives it about 100%.