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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| June 30, 2027 | 14% | — | −1 pts | 10¢ · 19¢ (9¢) | — | in 257d |
| December 31, 2026 | 8% | — | −1 pts | 7¢ · 8¢ (1¢) | $5 | in 76d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47d | Gaditima | June 30, 2027 | BuyNo97¢ → 86¢ | $4,830 | −$555 −11% | 20 |
Nadmi3,466 shares
Rex416626 shares
balthazar500 shares
LornaPredicts240 shares
silverstud170 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Clarence Thomas announces that he will retire from his position as a Justice of the Supreme Court of the United States by the specified date at 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The announced timing of his retirement may be immediate, at the end of the current Supreme Court term, or at any point in the future. Any qualifying announcement from Thomas will count for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the announced retirement goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Thomas or one of his official representatives.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 14¢ for June 30, 2027 means the market gives it about 14%.