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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Torres Piña | 35% | +3 pts | −17 pts | 35¢ · 36¢ (1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Grecia Quiroz | 23% | +9 pts | +8 pts | 20¢ · 26¢ (5¢) | $822 | in 233d |
| Gladyz Butanda Macías | 22% | −4 pts | +7 pts | 18¢ · 25¢ (6¢) | — | in 233d |
| Alfonso Martínez Alcázar | 5% | −1 pts | −8 pts | <1¢ · 9¢ (9¢) | — | in 233d |
| Raúl Morón Orozco | 1% | 0 pts | −3 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Fabiola Alanís Sámano | 1% | 0 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Marko Cortés Mendoza | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Carlos Herrera Tello | <1% | — | — | <1¢ · <1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 233d |
| Gabriela Molina Aguilar | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Celeste Ascencio Ortega | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Esteban González Nava | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Ernesto Núñez Aguilar | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Germán Martínez Cázares | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Guillermo Valencia Reyes | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Daniela de los Santos | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Adriana Hernández Íñiguez | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Edna Martínez Nambo | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Víctor Manuel Manríquez | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes | <1% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | in 233d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42d | KiernanMeister | Gladyz Butanda Macías | BuyNo76¢ → 78¢ | $8,096 | +$309 +3.8% | 10 |
| 59d |  FrozenParasite | Fabiola Alanís Sámano | BuyNo78¢ → 99¢ | $1,062 | +$286 +27% | 10 |
FrozenParasite1,673 shares
paddaa228 shares
Nadmi43 shares
Haradwaith111 shares
AMAM1398 shares
LornaPredicts74 sharesGubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 35¢ for Carlos Torres Piña means the market gives it about 35%.