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Polymarket wallet 0xa72aa09e0377b68615e00b6dd1db0c3edb0193fd · on Polymarket since Dec 16, 2025 · also shown as These-Lamp
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 2,500 | 32¢ → 47¢ | $1,171 | +$377 +47% |
| Alexandra Leclerc pregnant in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 520 | 98¢ → 76¢ | $397 | −$114 −22% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 269 | 44¢ → 35¢ | $95 | −$23 −19% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 82¢ → 95¢ | $95 | +$13 +15% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 3,111 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $70 | −$33 −32% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100,000 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28,323 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$646 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.