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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| June 30 | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| June 15 | 100% | +1 pts | +4 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| March 31 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | in 74d |
| September 30 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| December 31 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | in 74d |
| August 31 | 100% | 0 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 126d |  turtle911 | September 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,998 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 126d | MarkrovichBlack | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $43,528 | +$44 +0.1% | 20 |
| 126d | MarkrovichBlack | August 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $56,154 | +$56 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | kukubaja | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,714 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | Dafu07152 fills | September 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $27,636 | −$28 −0.1% | — |
| 127d | Dafu07154 fills | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $53,543 | −$79 −0.1% | — |
| 127d | Dafu0715 | August 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $17,974 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 127d |  95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b044 fills | June 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $18,613 | +$70 +0.4% | 20 |
| 127d |  kinderSman | June 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | babymario141 | June 30 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,738 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 127d |  flovertaco | June 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,198 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 127d |  yen4u2 fills | June 15 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,346 | +$67 +2.0% | 20 |
| 127d | ZiggyWiggy | June 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,392 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | SBFLover69 | June 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,348 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | kinderSman | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,469 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | 0xRachel | June 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,663 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | OmegalulCar | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,132 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | kukubaja2 fills | June 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,477 | +$13 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | blackbeardclan | June 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,343 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | 50HypeTokens | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,375 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | glorpy | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,986 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | tresmigos | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,601 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | lingoberry123 | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,438 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | 0x69time | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,953 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | yen4u | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | HentaiVirus2026 | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,091 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | 666angeldog | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,216 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | ringringbing | August 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,921 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | KickStreamer | August 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,403 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | misslebarrage | August 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,828 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | misslebarrage | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,261 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | ZoomerBoomer | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,872 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | Gear6Sanji | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,222 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | yen4u2 fills | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | vision93 | June 15 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,084 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 127d | GCNO1 | June 15 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,570 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 127d | flovertaco2 fills | June 15 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,036 | +$47 +0.7% | 20 |
| 127d | turtle911 | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,186 | +$14 +0.2% | 20 |
| 127d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b042 fills | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,781 | +$32 +0.2% | 20 |
| 127d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | August 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,385 | +$15 +0.2% | 20 |
| 127d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 128d | MetaMaverick0 | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,464 | +$11 +0.1% | 20 |
| 128d | vistaastra | December 31 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,318 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 128d | vistaastra | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,276 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 128d | luckyshoe | June 15 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,183 | −$17 −1.5% | — |
| 128d | MetaMaverick0 | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,598 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 128d | yen4u | June 15 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,977 | −$36 −1.8% | — |
| 128d | szn42FamilyGuy | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,696 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 128d | QueenDice | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,311 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 128d | Middlebury | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,556 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 128d | SokoviaAccords | June 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,038 | +$3 +0.3% | 20 |
| 128d | CatarinaDevon | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,184 | +$2 +0.2% | 20 |
| 129d |  Mr-Anderson2 fills | June 15 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $9,418 | −$339 −3.6% | — |
| 129d | Dafu07159 fills | June 30 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $25,618 | +$155 +0.6% | 20 |
| 129d | 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965e0832064c0877b04 | December 31 | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,355 | +$5 +0.2% | 20 |
| 129d | vroznitcu | September 30 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $5,403 | −$33 −0.6% | — |
| 129d | Cbarbhwux | June 15 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $3,323 | −$51 −1.5% | — |
| 130d | coolban2 fills | June 15 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,795 | +$70 +1.9% | 20 |
| 130d | portapotty | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,952 | +$6 +0.3% | 20 |
| 130d | iNeedMonies | September 30 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,481 | +$4 +0.3% | 20 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) by the listed date ET, as confirmed by official company announcements and credible news sources. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The IPO refers to the first sale of stock by the listed company to the public on any recognized stock exchange. If SpaceX is acquired by another company that is already public, this market will immediately resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for May 31 means the market gives it about 0%.