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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos Alcaraz | 100% | +55 pts | +62 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jannik Sinner | 0% | −55 pts | −48 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Zverev | 0% | −4 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Taylor Fritz | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jack Draper | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Novak Djokovic | 0% | −5 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Casper Ruud | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alex de Minaur | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Lorenzo Musetti | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Holger Rune | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Daniil Medvedev | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Tommy Paul | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Sebastian Korda | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ben Shelton | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Frances Tiafoe | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Felix Auger-Aliassime | 0% | −1 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Andrey Rublev | 0% | 0 pts | +1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Grigor Dimitrov | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hubert Hurkacz | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Karen Khachanov | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alexander Bublik | 0% | −2 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Cameron Norrie | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ugo Humbert | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Matteo Berrettini | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Denis Shapovalov | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Player A | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player B | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player C | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player D | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player E | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player F | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player G | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player H | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player I | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Player J | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| Other | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 0¢ · 100¢ (100¢) | $0 | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 404d | bamboooo | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $5,773 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 404d | w0wie15 | Jannik Sinner | SellNo>99¢ | $5,979 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 404d | Yarr1992 | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,978 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 404d | starboyd | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $8,276 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 404d | donvladone | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,069 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 404d |  lockfolio | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $6,165 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 404d | JordanistheGoat4 fills | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes78¢ → 100¢ | $90,780 | −$25,681 −28% | — |
| 404d | GuyInCognito | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,222 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 404d | Frankdroid7 | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,017 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 404d | JigglyPuff | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $8,462 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 404d |  NadyaSuleman | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $4,874 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 404d | vangadamus | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,514 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 404d | Cotho1 | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,582 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 404d | fancybettor | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,528 | −$26 −1.0% | — |
| 404d | sgt07 | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,185 | −$12 −1.0% | — |
| 404d |  montecr1s7o | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,609 | −$16 −1.0% | — |
| 404d | AlinVoinescu | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,717 | −$48 −1.0% | — |
| 404d | qwertyasdfghjkl14 fills | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $70,299 | +$31,481 +45% | 4 |
| 404d | qwertyasdfghjkl18 fills | Jannik Sinner | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $77,973 | +$46,836 +60% | 4 |
| 404d | 0xD16a6395EC3C88c56 | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $4,032 | +$304 +7.5% | 4 |
| 404d | xbsuwrkfmdl37 | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,402 | +$69 +2.0% | 4 |
| 404d | Dbrain | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,527 | +$66 +1.0% | 4 |
| 404d |  SheepToken | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$52 +2.7% | 4 |
| 404d |  Fieramosca | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,221 | +$38 +3.1% | 4 |
| 404d | indexibis | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes95¢ → 100¢ | $2,640 | −$139 −5.3% | — |
| 404d | curie | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes96¢ → 100¢ | $1,065 | −$44 −4.2% | — |
| 404d |  VolodyaPGG4 fills | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $8,953 | +$6,535 +73% | 4 |
| 404d | Egle | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes92¢ → 100¢ | $4,995 | −$434 −8.7% | — |
| 404d | VolodyaPGG7 fills | Jannik Sinner | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $30,514 | +$18,573 +61% | 4 |
| 404d | qwertyasdfghjkl11 fills | Jannik Sinner | BuyYes32¢ → 0¢ | $30,379 | −$30,379 −100% | 4 |
| 404d | qwertyasdfghjkl6 fills | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyNo21¢ → 0¢ | $9,447 | −$9,447 −100% | 4 |
| 404d | arns | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | −$152 −15% | — |
| 404d | Matelleti | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | −$150 −15% | — |
| 404d |  kingsirpredictionconnoisseur | Carlos Alcaraz | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $3,062 | −$378 −12% | — |
| 404d | jt7 | Jannik Sinner | BuyYes11¢ → 0¢ | $3,860 | −$3,860 −100% | 4 |
| 404d | mwenya2 fills | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $2,826 | +$1,100 +39% | 4 |
| 404d | Ultrainstinct296 fills | Jannik Sinner | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $49,263 | −$49,263 −100% | 9 |
| 404d | BaltazarGombka | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes78¢ → 100¢ | $1,460 | +$412 +28% | 4 |
| 404d | AlinVoinescu2 fills | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes60¢ → 100¢ | $2,847 | +$1,917 +67% | 14 |
| 404d | slinky2 fills | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes77¢ → 100¢ | $2,189 | +$637 +29% | 4 |
| 404d | mwenya2 fills | Jannik Sinner | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $2,284 | +$1,219 +53% | 4 |
| 404d | Hama123 | Jannik Sinner | SellYes30¢ → 0¢ | $1,016 | +$1,016 +100% | — |
| 404d | SpoonsCapital4 fills | Jannik Sinner | BuyYes55¢ → 0¢ | $5,920 | −$5,920 −100% | 6 |
| 404d | Muffled-Stepbrother3 fills | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $15,000 | +$11,979 +80% | 4 |
| 404d | Sinnerfordinner | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,229 | +$1,065 +87% | 4 |
| 404d | Hasbullahr2 fills | Jannik Sinner | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $11,391 | −$11,391 −100% | 4 |
| 404d | kingsirpredictionconnoisseur | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes54¢ → 100¢ | $1,088 | +$927 +85% | 4 |
| 404d | sportbetss | Jannik Sinner | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,440 | −$1,440 −100% | 4 |
| 404d |  gatorade | Jannik Sinner | BuyNo53¢ → 100¢ | $1,482 | +$1,314 +89% | 4 |
| 404d |  ElonSmash | Jannik Sinner | SellNo54¢ → 100¢ | $1,242 | −$1,058 −85% | — |
| 404d | jolerud | Jannik Sinner | SellYes41¢ → 0¢ | $1,084 | +$1,084 +100% | — |
| 404d | Muffled-Stepbrother | Jannik Sinner | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$2,246 +45% | 4 |
| 404d | JigglyPuff | Jannik Sinner | SellYes30¢ → 0¢ | $2,991 | +$2,991 +100% | — |
| 404d | VolodyaPGG | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,343 | −$1,343 −100% | 4 |
| 404d | frenchbulldogs123 | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $9,400 | +$6,807 +72% | 4 |
| 404d | Pogi69 | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes62¢ → 100¢ | $6,441 | +$3,883 +60% | 4 |
| 404d | Young-SailboatNew account | Jannik Sinner | BuyYes47¢ → 0¢ | $1,183 | −$1,183 −100% | 19 |
| 404d | NadyaSuleman | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes58¢ → 100¢ | $1,234 | +$894 +72% | 4 |
| 404d | JordanistheGoat | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $14,329 | +$17,513 +122% | 4 |
| 404d | cigarettes | Carlos Alcaraz | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $3,600 | +$4,400 +122% | 4 |
ElonSmash2,500 sharesThis market will resolve to the player that wins the 2025 US Open Men’s Singles Tournament. The market will resolve to “Yes” if listed player wins the 2025 US Open Men’s Singles tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If at any point it becomes impossible for this player to win the US Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the US Open, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source will be official information from the US Open (https://www.usopen.org), however credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Carlos Alcaraz means the market gives it about 100%.