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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Colbert | 100% | +7 pts | +98 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Elon Musk | 100% | +3 pts | +93 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Michael Jackson | 100% | +86 pts | +82 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Barack Obama | 100% | +14 pts | +8 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Ehud Barak | 100% | +14 pts | −3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Stephen Hawking | 100% | +13 pts | +11 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Joe Biden | 100% | +5 pts | +5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Chuck Schumer | 100% | +2 pts | −5 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez | 100% | +1 pts | +1 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tony Blair | 0% | −2 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jay-Z | 100% | +1 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Donald Trump | 100% | +82 pts | +79 pts | 100¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Bill Clinton | 100% | +69 pts | +71 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Jamie Dimon | 0% | −3 pts | −20 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Prince Andrew | 100% | +73 pts | +72 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Bernie Sanders | 100% | −2 pts | −3 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Oprah Winfrey | 0% | −5 pts | −36 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Henry Kissinger | 0% | −5 pts | −15 pts | <1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | ended |
| Al Gore | 0% | −3 pts | −47 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Leonardo DiCaprio | 100% | +3 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Bill Gates | 100% | +78 pts | +78 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Justin Trudeau | 100% | +2 pts | +2 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Tom Hanks | 0% | −2 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Jimmy Kimmel | 0% | −2 pts | −16 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Quentin Tarantino | 0% | −3 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Larry Page | 100% | +27 pts | +20 pts | 99¢ · >99¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Alec Baldwin | 100% | +29 pts | +12 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| David Copperfield | 100% | +92 pts | +68 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sean Combs | 0% | −2 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Alan Dershowitz | 100% | +69 pts | +72 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Kevin Spacey | 100% | +88 pts | +87 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Hillary Clinton | 100% | +88 pts | +89 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| David Koch | 0% | −3 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Rachel Maddow | 0% | −3 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ellen Degeneres | 0% | −4 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Anderson Cooper | 0% | −4 pts | −25 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Robert Downey Jr. | 0% | −5 pts | −14 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Piers Morgan | 0% | −3 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kirsten Gillibrand | 0% | −3 pts | −32 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 289d | LBZero | Tony Blair | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,271 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | LBZone3 fills | Tony Blair | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,159 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | LBZone | Quentin Tarantino | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,662 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | LBZero | Quentin Tarantino | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,449 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | LBZero | Robert Downey Jr. | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,309 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | LBZone | Tom Hanks | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,898 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | LBZone | Rachel Maddow | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,592 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | LBZone | Kirsten Gillibrand | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,439 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | LBZone | Jimmy Kimmel | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,144 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | LBZone | David Koch | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,363 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | LBZone | Ellen Degeneres | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,031 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | LBZone | Anderson Cooper | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,290 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | LBZone | Sean Combs | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,100 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | LBZone | Jamie Dimon | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,827 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d |  beenraping2 fills | Oprah Winfrey | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,650 | +$6 +0.1% | 20 |
| 289d | beenraping | Anderson Cooper | BuyNo100¢ | $1,078 | +$5 +0.5% | 20 |
| 290d |  emcor | Quentin Tarantino | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | +$14 +1.0% | 20 |
| 290d | emcor2 fills | Jamie Dimon | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,262 | +$83 +1.9% | 20 |
| 290d |  Crypto8bit | Jamie Dimon | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,397 | +$27 +1.9% | 20 |
| 290d | swish1 | Oprah Winfrey | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,249 | +$13 +1.0% | 20 |
| 290d | swish1 | Tony Blair | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 20 |
| 291d | emcor | Tony Blair | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,349 | +$49 +3.7% | 21 |
| 295d |  ScottyNooo2 fills | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $72,479 | +$73 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | ScottyNooo | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $90,247 | +$90 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d |  lmtfalone | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,506 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | Idle-Republic | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,664 | +$17 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | Vital-Mathematics4 fills | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $25,744 | +$149 +0.6% | 20 |
| 295d | Vital-Mathematics | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | trader-M5 fills | Elon Musk | BuyNo<1¢ | $8,408 | −$8,408 −100% | 38 |
| 295d | MistahFox | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $14,985 | +$15 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | Grand-Material2 fills | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,702 | +$64 +1.4% | 20 |
| 295d | aviato | Stephen Colbert | SellYes>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 295d |  fffffz | Elon Musk | SellYes>99¢ | $39,960 | −$40 −0.1% | — |
| 295d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Stephen Colbert | SellYes>99¢ | $19,980 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 295d |  senzer2 fills | Stephen Colbert | SellYes>99¢ | $2,628 | −$8 −0.3% | — |
| 295d | ForesightOracle | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $170,041 | +$170 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d | ForesightOracle3 fills | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $321,812 | +$326 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d |  Tenebrus7 | Stephen Colbert | SellYes>99¢ | $5,988 | −$12 −0.2% | — |
| 295d | manchot | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,094 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d |  tsybka | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $59,880 | +$120 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d |  JasonPunos | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | lotionmymotion | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,701 | +$3 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d |  TealV2 fills | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $59,880 | +$120 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | Lfg123 | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,006 | +$6 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | lfg321 | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $25,776 | +$52 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d |  UwO3 fills | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $136,805 | +$385 +0.3% | 20 |
| 295d |  adonpoli | Stephen Colbert | SellYes>99¢ | $1,992 | −$8 −0.4% | — |
| 295d | lilies | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,868 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | moneymakingmachine | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,799 | +$4 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | tsybka | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $36,144 | +$72 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | 1hbh | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,720 | +$9 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | hesitant | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,884 | +$12 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d |  Flipadelphia | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,374 | +$25 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | 0x97cc…bbbf2 fills | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | 0x97cc…bbbf3 fills | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $13,305 | +$27 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | CryoDuck | Elon Musk | BuyYes>99¢ | $12,009 | +$24 +0.2% | 20 |
| 295d | trader-M | Stephen Colbert | BuyNo1¢ → 0¢ | $1,002 | −$1,002 −100% | 22 |
| 295d |  debased | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,054 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d |  lranon2nd2 fills | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 20 |
| 295d |  ULYSSES182 fills | Stephen Colbert | BuyYes>99¢ | $11,647 | +$21 +0.2% | 20 |
digitdustin1 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Trump Administration (including any federal court) publicly releases previously unreleased files pertaining to the illegal activities of Jeffrey Epstein which contain any mention of the listed individual between July 16 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only previously unreleased files which contain novel material not previously available to the public will qualify. Documents that are merely re-released, have had redactions removed, repackaged, or newly publicized versions of already available information do not qualify. Any mention of the listed individual in connection with Jeffrey Epstein will qualify, regardless of if connected to nefarious or illegal activities. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Stephen Colbert means the market gives it about 100%.