| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 8,736 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $8,168 | +$414 +5.3% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 1,390 | 62¢ → 68¢ | $945 | +$87 +10% |
| Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 836 | 93¢ → 93¢ | $778 | +$1 +0.1% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 531 | 94¢ → >99¢ | $530 | +$30 +6.1% |
| Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 710 | 68¢ → 72¢ | $514 | +$34 +7.1% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 500 | 89¢ → 96¢ | $480 | +$37 +8.3% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 400 | 66¢ → 87¢ | $346 | +$80 +30% |
| Amazon announces a training pause by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 321 | 93¢ → 98¢ | $314 | +$14 +4.5% |
| Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 329 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $305 | +$5 +1.6% |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 15?Ends ended | No | 300 | 71¢ → 98¢ | $294 | +$81 +38% |
| Will Gyanesh Kumar be out as Chief Election Commissioner of India by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 319 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $239 | +$7 +2.8% |
| Will Ryan Posselt win the next Hobart mayoral election?Ends in 10d | No | 238 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $231 | +$31 +15% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 236 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $231 | +$31 +15% |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 241 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $229 | +$29 +15% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | No | 210 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $204 | +$4 +2.0% |
| Will Werner Graf be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | No | 200 | 91¢ → 99¢ | $198 | +$16 +8.8% |
| Will XXXTentacion be featured on GTA VI: The Album?Ends in 39d | No | 233 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $194 | −$6 −3.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 230 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $186 | +$7 +4.0% |
| Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 440d | No | 185 | 75¢ → 93¢ | $171 | +$33 +24% |
| Putin meets with Iranian officials by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 189 | 76¢ → 89¢ | $167 | +$23 +16% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 172 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $165 | +$24 +17% |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $164 | +$2 +1.2% |
| Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 200 | 76¢ → 82¢ | $164 | +$12 +7.9% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 256d | No | 139 | 92¢ → 92¢ | $128 | $0 0.0% |
| Russia pneumonic plague spreads abroad?Ends in 75d | No | 131 | 76¢ → 96¢ | $126 | +$26 +26% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 122 | 82¢ → 96¢ | $117 | +$17 +17% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 150 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $114 | +$2 +1.3% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 115 | 87¢ → 93¢ | $107 | +$7 +6.7% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 119 | 84¢ → 89¢ | $106 | +$6 +6.0% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 108 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $103 | +$3 +3.2% |
| Will Houthis target Pakistan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 100 | 95¢ → 98¢ | $98 | +$3 +3.1% |
| Iran full airspace closure by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 147 | 68¢ → 67¢ | $98 | −$2 −2.2% |
| Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $96 | +$15 +19% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d | No | 100 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $96 | +$6 +6.1% |
| Pakistan military action against Yemen by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 100 | 91¢ → 94¢ | $94 | +$3 +3.7% |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Ends in 3d | Yes | 100 | 81¢ → 92¢ | $92 | +$11 +13% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 118 | 85¢ → 77¢ | $91 | −$9 −9.2% |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 100 | 81¢ → 90¢ | $90 | +$9 +10% |
| Will Reliance Industries Ltd be the largest Indian company?Ends in 75d | Yes | 95 | 71¢ → 92¢ | $87 | +$20 +29% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 100 | 81¢ → 86¢ | $86 | +$5 +5.6% |
| Will OpenAI release a social network in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 90 | 71¢ → 90¢ | $81 | +$17 +27% |
| Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 79¢ → 76¢ | $76 | −$4 −4.4% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 100 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $72 | −$2 −2.1% |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 71 | 75¢ → 94¢ | $67 | +$14 +26% |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 153 | 49¢ → 42¢ | $64 | −$10 −14% |
| Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 100 | 61¢ → 60¢ | $60 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.70% before 2027?Ends in 74d | Yes | 100 | 78¢ → 57¢ | $57 | −$20 −26% |
| SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 61 | 83¢ → 94¢ | $57 | +$7 +14% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 58 | 80¢ → 98¢ | $57 | +$10 +22% |
| Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026Ends in 75d | No | 51 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.7% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 60 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $48 | −$2 −3.8% |
| US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 50 | 58¢ → 88¢ | $44 | +$15 +52% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?Ends in 49d | No | 40 | 87¢ → >99¢ | $40 | +$5 +15% |
| Military action against King Khalid International Airport (RUH) by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 63 | 52¢ → 60¢ | $38 | +$5 +14% |
| Will Werner Pretorius be the next mayor of Mangaung?Ends in 18d | No | 45 | 67¢ → 82¢ | $37 | +$7 +22% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 50 | 64¢ → 63¢ | $31 | −$1 −2.3% |
| US government bans an open source AI model in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $28 | +$4 +18% |
| Will Smith College exclude trans women in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 30 | 81¢ → 90¢ | $27 | +$3 +10% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 25 | 82¢ → 87¢ | $22 | +$1 +5.8% |
| Will Kraken's valuation hit (LOW) $8B by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 30 | 80¢ → 68¢ | $20 | −$4 −16% |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 48¢ → 99¢ | $20 | +$10 +106% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 84¢ → 97¢ | $19 | +$3 +15% |
| Base FDV above $500M one day after launch?Ends in 440d | Yes | 44 | 68¢ → 42¢ | $19 | −$11 −38% |
| Will Elon Musk rejoin the Trump Administration in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $18 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Viktor Orbán arrested by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $18 | +$2 +11% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 71¢ → 89¢ | $18 | +$4 +25% |
| US Government removes public access to another major AI model in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 80¢ → 86¢ | $17 | +$1 +7.5% |
| Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 20 | 76¢ → 84¢ | $17 | +$2 +9.9% |
| Will Pluralis launch a token by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 30 | 61¢ → 55¢ | $17 | −$2 −9.8% |
| Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?Ends in 17d | No | 20 | 72¢ → 75¢ | $15 | +$1 +3.5% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 11 | 78¢ → 97¢ | $11 | +$2 +25% |
| Will Lighter reach $8 before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 87¢ → 89¢ | $9 | +$0 +2.6% |
| Kash Patel out by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 10 | 52¢ → 82¢ | $8 | +$3 +58% |
| Will Katie Zacharia give another press briefing as Press Secretary?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 92¢ → 3¢ | $6 | −$178 −97% |
| Will Trump launch a coin by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 3 | 80¢ → 95¢ | $3 | +$0 +18% |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 4,336 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1,922 −100% |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 50 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Google Maps renames Lake Ontario to "Lake America" by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$71 −100% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,200 on August 19?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| Will Google have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Bessent say "Shadow" during press conference?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 160 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$62 −100% |
| Will there be fewer than 3 ChatGPT outages in July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Matthew Boyle be the next White House Press Secretary?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 667 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 33 | 91¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Tax" 25+ times during his Midterm Rally in Nebraska?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 102 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$58 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 12?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 30 | 90¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$27 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will JD Vance say "Working Class" or "Middle Class" during his remarks in Maine?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 212 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$82 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of July 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$17 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 4, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 18 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| Will Warsh say "Framework" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$35 −100% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 42 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$22 −100% |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by July 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 28¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$28 −100% |
| Will AI.gov be renamed to SI.gov by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 106 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on or before July 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 125 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 8:45PM-8:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 186 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$120 −100% |
| Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$36 −100% |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by August 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 100 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
