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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kelly | 37% | +2 pts | −6 pts | 33¢ · 40¢ (7¢) | $20 | in 11d |
| Bill Harvey | 15% | −3 pts | +4 pts | 4¢ · 25¢ (21¢) | — | in 11d |
| Marti Zucco | 11% | 0 pts | +6 pts | 2¢ · 19¢ (17¢) | — | in 11d |
| Mike Dutta | 7% | 0 pts | +6 pts | 2¢ · 11¢ (9¢) | — | in 11d |
| Louise Bloomfield | 5% | −3 pts | −13 pts | 3¢ · 7¢ (4¢) | — | in 11d |
| Ryan Posselt | 3% | 0 pts | −10 pts | 1¢ · 5¢ (4¢) | — | in 11d |
| Harvey Lennon | 2% | 0 pts | +2 pts | 1¢ · 4¢ (3¢) | — | in 11d |
No trades of $1,000 or more lately.
Rex416279 shares
Haradwaith173 shares
paddaa113 shares
FrozenParasite30 sharesLocal government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 37¢ for John Kelly means the market gives it about 37%.