| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 675 | 69¢ → 91¢ | $612 | +$144 +31% |
| Spain snap election called in 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 602 | 69¢ → 100¢ | $602 | +$188 +45% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 1,159 | 35¢ → 45¢ | $516 | +$108 +26% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 488 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $488 | +$110 +29% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 467 | 63¢ → 99¢ | $463 | +$167 +56% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 592 | 67¢ → 76¢ | $447 | +$49 +12% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 455 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $426 | +$9 +2.1% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 416 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $416 | +$94 +29% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | No | 1,024 | 25¢ → 39¢ | $394 | +$143 +57% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | No | 408 | 65¢ → 82¢ | $333 | +$69 +26% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 303 | 75¢ → 100¢ | $303 | +$75 +33% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 605 | 63¢ → 49¢ | $293 | −$88 −23% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | Yes | 878 | 46¢ → 31¢ | $268 | −$132 −33% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 258 | 83¢ → 89¢ | $228 | +$13 +6.1% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 201 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $197 | +$27 +16% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 190 | 77¢ → 100¢ | $190 | +$43 +29% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 595 | 55¢ → 32¢ | $187 | −$140 −43% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 651 | 17¢ → 28¢ | $179 | +$71 +66% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 172 | 88¢ → 97¢ | $166 | +$16 +10% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 229 | 71¢ → 73¢ | $166 | +$2 +1.4% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 179 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $165 | +$3 +1.8% |
| Will the chopsticks catch the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15?Ends in 256d | Yes | 364 | 20¢ → 45¢ | $162 | +$89 +121% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 168 | 77¢ → 91¢ | $152 | +$23 +18% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 202 | 65¢ → 75¢ | $151 | +$20 +15% |
| Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 launch by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 567 | 22¢ → 23¢ | $128 | +$5 +4.3% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 134 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $119 | +$4 +3.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 116 | 93¢ → 97¢ | $113 | +$5 +4.2% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 322 | 40¢ → 34¢ | $108 | −$20 −16% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?Ends in 106d | Yes | 582 | 21¢ → 19¢ | $108 | −$15 −13% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 154 | 47¢ → 70¢ | $107 | +$35 +49% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 121 | 85¢ → 86¢ | $103 | +$1 +0.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 116 | 87¢ → 88¢ | $102 | +$1 +0.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 112 | 68¢ → 89¢ | $99 | +$23 +30% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026?Ends in 29d | Yes | 3,152 | 18¢ → 3¢ | $99 | −$453 −82% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 124 | 76¢ → 80¢ | $99 | +$4 +4.0% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 120 | 72¢ → 77¢ | $92 | +$6 +6.9% |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by November 15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 69¢ → 100¢ | $90 | +$28 +45% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 757 | 18¢ → 12¢ | $87 | −$52 −37% |
| Next White House Press Secretary announced by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 260 | 32¢ → 34¢ | $87 | +$3 +4.1% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 134 | 64¢ → 64¢ | $86 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | Yes | 310 | 13¢ → 27¢ | $82 | +$42 +105% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 333 | 24¢ → 25¢ | $82 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 743 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $71 | −$11 −14% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 70 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $67 | +$4 +6.8% |
| Will any aircraft land or take off at Kyiv Boryspil Airport by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 746 | 26¢ → 9¢ | $67 | −$125 −65% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | Yes | 107 | 64¢ → 62¢ | $66 | −$3 −3.8% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 29, 2026?Ends in 12d | Yes | 93 | 72¢ → 70¢ | $65 | −$1 −2.1% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 188 | 45¢ → 35¢ | $65 | −$19 −23% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | No | 88 | 69¢ → 74¢ | $65 | +$4 +6.5% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 114 | 56¢ → 56¢ | $63 | −$1 −1.5% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 71 | 85¢ → 85¢ | $60 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster?Ends in 256d | No | 123 | 47¢ → 49¢ | $60 | +$2 +3.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 53 | 86¢ → 96¢ | $51 | +$5 +11% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 342 | 12¢ → 14¢ | $50 | +$9 +23% |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,150 | 5¢ → 4¢ | $49 | −$8 −13% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | Yes | 212 | 19¢ → 22¢ | $46 | +$5 +13% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 46 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $45 | +$3 +8.4% |
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 777 | 5¢ → 6¢ | $43 | +$1 +1.3% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 208 | 35¢ → 21¢ | $43 | −$30 −41% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 653 | 12¢ → 7¢ | $42 | −$37 −47% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 291 | 35¢ → 14¢ | $42 | −$58 −58% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | Yes | 201 | 10¢ → 21¢ | $41 | +$21 +105% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 56 | 73¢ → 74¢ | $41 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Iran leadership change by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 44 | 94¢ → 94¢ | $41 | $0 0.0% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 199 | 36¢ → 21¢ | $41 | −$32 −44% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 44 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $40 | −$0 −1.1% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 39 | 76¢ → 100¢ | $39 | +$9 +32% |
| Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | Yes | 149 | 27¢ → 25¢ | $37 | −$4 −9.1% |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 235 | 42¢ → 16¢ | $36 | −$62 −63% |
| Israeli airspace closed by September 30, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 34 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $34 | +$2 +7.1% |
| Skin cancer vaccine FDA approved by September 30, 2027?Ends in 348d | Yes | 204 | 34¢ → 17¢ | $34 | −$36 −51% |
| Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 23?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 32 | 95¢ → 100¢ | $32 | +$2 +5.3% |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 254 | 17¢ → 12¢ | $30 | −$12 −29% |
| Will Russia target Kyiv on October 23, 2026?Ends in 6d | No | 179 | 22¢ → 17¢ | $30 | −$10 −24% |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 21?Ends in 3d | Yes | 31 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $30 | +$1 +1.8% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by February 28, 2027?Ends in 134d | Yes | 112 | 27¢ → 27¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.3% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2029?Ends in 1171d | Yes | 104 | 26¢ → 28¢ | $30 | +$3 +9.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 5,080 | 1¢ → 1¢ | $28 | −$13 −31% |
| Will the SpaceX Starship Flight Test 15 Super Heavy booster explode?Ends in 256d | No | 62 | 42¢ → 45¢ | $28 | +$1 +5.5% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 28 | 89¢ → 97¢ | $27 | +$2 +9.1% |
| Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 209 | 22¢ → 13¢ | $26 | −$21 −44% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 218 | 38¢ → 12¢ | $25 | −$58 −70% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,159 | 3¢ → 2¢ | $25 | −$4 −14% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 28 | 74¢ → 88¢ | $25 | +$4 +18% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 31 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $24 | −$0 −0.4% |
| Will Louisiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 194 | 31¢ → 13¢ | $24 | −$36 −60% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 88¢ → 99¢ | $23 | +$2 +12% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 23 | 88¢ → 98¢ | $23 | +$2 +11% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Ends in 226d | No | 42 | 48¢ → 54¢ | $22 | +$2 +11% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 93¢ → 100¢ | $22 | +$2 +7.5% |
| Saudi troops fighting in Yemen by October 17, 2026?Ends in 8h | No | 22 | 95¢ → >99¢ | $22 | +$1 +5.2% |
| Will CMI declare the Navier-Stokes problem solved by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 22 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $21 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Perim Island no longer under Houthi control by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 220 | 9¢ → 9¢ | $21 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will Ohio enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | Yes | 77 | 26¢ → 27¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 25 | 81¢ → 81¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 24 | 84¢ → 84¢ | $20 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | No | 25 | 83¢ → 78¢ | $19 | −$1 −6.6% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026? (copy)Ends in 13d | Yes | 422 | 5¢ → 5¢ | $19 | −$4 −16% |
| Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | Yes | 80 | 25¢ → 24¢ | $19 | −$1 −6.0% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?Ends in 806d | Yes | 72 | 28¢ → 26¢ | $18 | −$2 −8.9% |