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Polymarket wallet 0x8bd458d2676cfb67b49c84490f04b510c74e0664 · on Polymarket since Aug 16, 2025 · also shown as Dishonest-Muscle
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027?Ends in 165d | No | 6 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $5 | −$0 −4.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 5 | 55¢ → 64¢ | $3 | +$0 +15% |
| Kash Patel out by April 30?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28d | Will OpenAI IPO by March 31 2027? | BuyNo83¢ | $5 |
| 156d | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BuyNo95¢ | $2 |
| 174d | Kash Patel out by April 30? | BuyYes14¢ | $2 |
| 287d | Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday? | SellYes1¢ | $0 |
| 287d | Will Donald Trump say "fentanyl" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday? | BuyYes79¢ | $1 |
| 422d | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31? | SellYes2¢ | $1 |
| 426d | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by August 31? | BuyYes16¢ | $10 |
| 426d | Will the Democrats win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes55¢ | $3 |
| 426d | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025? | BuyNo71¢ | $3 |
| 427d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? | BuyYes59¢ | $2 |
| 427d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? | BuyYes59¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 5 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.