| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | No | 3,935 | 50¢ → 79¢ | $3,109 | +$1,141 +58% |
| Will there be no next Meta Muse Spark model release by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 2,750 | 64¢ → 94¢ | $2,571 | +$806 +46% |
| Will Democrats win Latino voters in the Texas Senate election?Ends in 20d | Yes | 2,456 | 85¢ → 96¢ | $2,365 | +$269 +13% |
| Will SB Energy not IPO before January 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,671 | 63¢ → 99¢ | $1,661 | +$616 +59% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 2,332 | 64¢ → 57¢ | $1,341 | −$161 −11% |
| Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 2,057 | 79¢ → 65¢ | $1,337 | −$280 −17% |
| Will Taylor Swift release an album in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 1,773 | 71¢ → 75¢ | $1,321 | +$58 +4.6% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + V?Ends in 287d | No | 1,363 | 80¢ → 83¢ | $1,132 | +$38 +3.4% |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 23, 2026?Ends in 5d | No | 1,033 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $1,032 | +$43 +4.3% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $40 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 1,000 | 89¢ → 98¢ | $984 | +$97 +11% |
| Moody's or S&P downgrades France by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 1,383 | 60¢ → 70¢ | $968 | +$133 +16% |
| Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut with a Humanity's Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 256d | Yes | 931 | 87¢ → 99¢ | $926 | +$115 +14% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Ends in 752d | Yes | 3,935 | 50¢ → 21¢ | $826 | −$1,141 −58% |
| Texas Senate favorite on November 2?Ends in 16d | Talarico | 911 | 69¢ → 89¢ | $806 | +$180 +29% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $75 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 724 | 87¢ → 98¢ | $710 | +$79 +12% |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 21, 2026?Ends in 3d | No | 655 | 88¢ → >99¢ | $655 | +$77 +13% |
| Moody's or S&P downgrades France by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 883 | 62¢ → 73¢ | $645 | +$100 +18% |
| Will Democrats win Latino men in the midterms?Ends in 20d | Yes | 736 | 76¢ → 80¢ | $585 | +$22 +4.0% |
| Spotify Monthly Active Users above 820M in Q3?Ends in 4d | No | 560 | 97¢ → >99¢ | $558 | +$15 +2.8% |
| Will Nicki Minaj release a new song in 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 738 | 46¢ → 74¢ | $546 | +$206 +61% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C?Ends in 287d | No | 548 | 83¢ → 95¢ | $521 | +$63 +14% |
| Will Atsumi Harasawa win the 2026 Yokohama mayoral election?Ends in 7h | Yes | 493 | 68¢ → 97¢ | $480 | +$142 +42% |
| Will Jim Jordan run for Republican House Leader?Ends in 106d | Yes | 577 | 65¢ → 83¢ | $476 | +$104 +28% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $2.25T?Ends in 440d | No | 533 | 78¢ → 86¢ | $456 | +$39 +9.4% |
| Closer Senate Race: South Dakota or New Mexico?Ends in 17d | South Dakota | 513 | 80¢ → 85¢ | $436 | +$26 +6.3% |
| Spotify Monthly Active Users above 800M in Q3?Ends in 4d | No | 477 | 76¢ → 90¢ | $430 | +$66 +18% |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 740 | 55¢ → 57¢ | $426 | +$18 +4.3% |
| Will Xiaomi be the third-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 410 | 68¢ → 99¢ | $407 | +$130 +47% |
| Anthropic IPO closing market cap above $1.75T?Ends in 440d | Yes | 595 | 73¢ → 67¢ | $396 | −$38 −8.7% |
| Will Harry Kane attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | Yes | 417 | 91¢ → 93¢ | $386 | +$7 +2.0% |
| Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $2.25T and $2.50T?Ends in 440d | No | 399 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $382 | +$23 +6.4% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $50 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 466 | 68¢ → 80¢ | $373 | +$54 +17% |
| Michigan Senate favorite on November 2?Ends in 16d | El-Sayed | 403 | 86¢ → 92¢ | $369 | +$24 +6.9% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 650 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $361 | −$14 −3.7% |
| Will Republicans win Latino voters in the Texas Senate election?Ends in 20d | No | 362 | 77¢ → 97¢ | $352 | +$75 +27% |
| Will DeepSeek have the highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Ends in 2d | Yes | 356 | 78¢ → 99¢ | $352 | +$74 +27% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.00T and $1.10T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 594 | 43¢ → 59¢ | $347 | +$91 +35% |
| Spotify Monthly Active Users above 770M in Q3?Ends in 4d | Yes | 346 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $346 | +$27 +8.4% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be at least $1.30T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 519 | 60¢ → 67¢ | $345 | +$36 +12% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Ends in 440d | Yes | 418 | 41¢ → 83¢ | $345 | +$172 +100% |
| Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | No | 547 | 52¢ → 63¢ | $345 | +$61 +21% |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 107m by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 357 | 64¢ → 96¢ | $344 | +$115 +50% |
| Will Ousmane Dembélé finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 382 | 71¢ → 88¢ | $337 | +$66 +24% |
| Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 857 | 68¢ → 39¢ | $334 | −$247 −43% |
| Will David Beckham attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | Yes | 435 | 52¢ → 77¢ | $333 | +$105 +46% |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 110m by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 338 | 96¢ → 97¢ | $329 | +$6 +1.9% |
| Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 356 | 85¢ → 89¢ | $316 | +$15 +4.9% |
| Next Google Gemini Flash-Lite Model (3.6+) released by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 538 | 58¢ → 56¢ | $301 | −$9 −2.8% |
| Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 26, 2026?Ends in 8d | No | 300 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $300 | +$25 +8.9% |
| Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 841 | 24¢ → 36¢ | $299 | +$100 +50% |
| Spotify Monthly Active Users above 810M in Q3?Ends in 4d | No | 300 | 91¢ → 96¢ | $287 | +$14 +5.1% |
| Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?Ends in 76d | Yes | 453 | 52¢ → 63¢ | $283 | +$48 +20% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?Ends in 287d | No | 320 | 71¢ → 83¢ | $266 | +$37 +16% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 319 | 48¢ → 82¢ | $260 | +$106 +69% |
| Will Anthropic’s valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of October 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 610 | 60¢ → 41¢ | $250 | −$115 −32% |
| Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 317 | 57¢ → 78¢ | $246 | +$65 +36% |
| Will Keisha Lance Bottoms run 0 to 3 points behind Jon Ossoff?Ends in 17d | No | 259 | 83¢ → 91¢ | $234 | +$19 +9.0% |
| Will Harry Kane finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 237 | 0¢ → 99¢ | $234 | +$234 +0.0% |
| Next Muse Spark (1.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 241 | 14¢ → 94¢ | $226 | +$194 +591% |
| Will Taylor Swift's monthly listeners figure hit 116m by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 219 | 56¢ → 98¢ | $215 | +$92 +75% |
| Will the UK Budget include an increase to fuel duty?Ends in 11d | Yes | 763 | 29¢ → 28¢ | $210 | −$8 −3.6% |
| Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 362 | 53¢ → 53¢ | $190 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will Claude Fable 5.2+ debut at an output token price of at least $60 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 200 | 80¢ → 93¢ | $185 | +$25 +16% |
| Another crypto hack over $100m by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 192 | 81¢ → 89¢ | $171 | +$15 +9.5% |
| Muse Charm released by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 262 | 61¢ → 64¢ | $166 | +$5 +3.4% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 220 | 64¢ → 75¢ | $165 | +$24 +17% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 196 | 50¢ → 82¢ | $160 | +$63 +65% |
| Will there be at least 10 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 161 | 93¢ → 99¢ | $159 | +$9 +5.9% |
| Will the USS Theodore Roosevelt arrive in CENTCOM by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 160 | 76¢ → 94¢ | $150 | +$28 +23% |
| Will Michael Olise finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 200 | 63¢ → 75¢ | $150 | +$24 +19% |
| Zack Polanski out as Green Party Leader by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 154 | 75¢ → 95¢ | $146 | +$31 +27% |
| Muse Charm released by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | Yes | 247 | 41¢ → 59¢ | $144 | +$42 +41% |
| Will Lamine Yamal finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | Yes | 146 | 79¢ → 98¢ | $143 | +$28 +24% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 140 | 65¢ → 98¢ | $137 | +$46 +51% |
| Will a Chinese company have one of the top 3 AI models by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 165 | 70¢ → 81¢ | $133 | +$18 +15% |
| Will Michael Owen attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | Yes | 289 | 30¢ → 46¢ | $131 | +$45 +53% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 40% or higher?Ends in 75d | Yes | 451 | 84¢ → 29¢ | $131 | −$250 −66% |
| Next Z.ai GLM (5.4+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 255 | 30¢ → 50¢ | $126 | +$50 +65% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Ends in 59d | Yes | 200 | 70¢ → 62¢ | $123 | −$17 −12% |
| Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 190 | 45¢ → 61¢ | $115 | +$29 +33% |
| Will Republicans win 3 Senate and Governor elections in states won by Kamala?Ends in 17d | Yes | 401 | 14¢ → 28¢ | $113 | +$55 +97% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 328 | 82¢ → 34¢ | $112 | −$157 −58% |
| Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in November 2026 (ET)?Ends in 440d | Yes | 200 | 1¢ → 55¢ | $110 | +$109 +9919% |
| Will Microsoft (MSFT) Q1 total capital expenditures be above $68B?Ends in 10d | No | 111 | 85¢ → 99¢ | $110 | +$15 +16% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 50% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 140 | 29¢ → 78¢ | $109 | +$68 +167% |
| Will OpenAI have the third highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?Ends in 2d | Yes | 123 | 79¢ → 87¢ | $106 | +$9 +8.8% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 140 | 28¢ → 76¢ | $106 | +$67 +172% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 120 | 79¢ → 86¢ | $103 | +$8 +8.2% |
| Will GPT Astra's output price be at or below $30 in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 164 | 57¢ → 62¢ | $101 | +$8 +8.3% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 8d | Yes | 228 | 58¢ → 44¢ | $100 | −$32 −24% |
| Will Mailza Assis win the 2026 Acre gubernatorial second round by less than 5%?Ends in 8d | No | 100 | 82¢ → 97¢ | $97 | +$15 +18% |
| Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $1.10T and $1.20T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | Yes | 325 | 11¢ → 28¢ | $91 | +$54 +145% |
| Will Lamine Yamal attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?Ends in 44d | Yes | 90 | 92¢ → 94¢ | $85 | +$2 +2.7% |
| Will the Maine 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 122 | 48¢ → 68¢ | $82 | +$24 +40% |
| Will the USS George Washington depart CENTCOM by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 99 | 74¢ → 82¢ | $80 | +$7 +9.6% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S?Ends in 287d | Yes | 412 | 23¢ → 18¢ | $72 | −$21 −23% |
| Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in Anthropic's initial public offering?Ends in 440d | Yes | 418 | 45¢ → 17¢ | $69 | −$118 −63% |
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 95 | 41¢ → 72¢ | $68 | +$29 +75% |
| Will Twice release a song in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 180 | 73¢ → 37¢ | $66 | −$66 −50% |
| Will Erling Haaland finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 75d | No | 72 | 39¢ → 92¢ | $66 | +$38 +133% |
