| Will the Democratic Party win the FL-24 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 381 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $366 | −$1 −0.3% |
| Will the Republican Party win the AL-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 248 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $236 | −$1 −0.5% |
| Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 241 | 97¢ → 97¢ | $233 | +$1 +0.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 183 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $177 | +$3 +1.7% |
| Will Loranne Ausley win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 225 | 54¢ → 54¢ | $122 | +$1 +0.9% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 120 | 95¢ → 96¢ | $116 | +$1 +0.8% |
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement?Ends in 17d | Yes | 120 | 95¢ → 92¢ | $110 | −$4 −3.2% |
| Will Letitia Plummer win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 121 | 82¢ → 90¢ | $109 | +$10 +9.9% |
| Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?Ends ended | Yes | 106 | 85¢ → 98¢ | $104 | +$13 +14% |
| Will Carl Johan Sonesson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Skåne?Ends ended | Yes | 104 | 39¢ → 98¢ | $102 | +$61 +148% |
| Will Jeremy Matlow win the Tallahassee mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 222 | 27¢ → 46¢ | $101 | +$40 +67% |
| Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?Ends ended | Yes | 102 | 90¢ → 96¢ | $97 | +$5 +5.9% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 48 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 122 | 66¢ → 76¢ | $92 | +$12 +14% |
| Will Eva Lindberg be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Gävleborg?Ends ended | Yes | 100 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $91 | +$6 +6.6% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Ends in 85d | Yes | 120 | 61¢ → 66¢ | $80 | +$6 +8.8% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NC-04 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 81 | 95¢ → 97¢ | $78 | +$2 +2.0% |
| Will Christoffer Öqvist be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Sörmland?Ends ended | Yes | 74 | 19¢ → >99¢ | $74 | +$60 +426% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?Ends in 87d | Yes | 121 | 44¢ → 61¢ | $74 | +$20 +37% |
| Will Paul St-Pierre Plamondon be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election?Ends ended | Yes | 73 | 60¢ → >99¢ | $73 | +$29 +68% |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 73 | 64¢ → 98¢ | $71 | +$24 +52% |
| Will October 2026 be the 1st hottest on record?Ends in 42d | Yes | 71 | 81¢ → 97¢ | $69 | +$11 +20% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?Ends in 105d | Yes | 71 | 92¢ → 96¢ | $68 | +$2 +3.8% |
| Will Unity win less than 0.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | Yes | 68 | 94¢ → 98¢ | $66 | +$3 +4.0% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 80 | 85¢ → 81¢ | $65 | −$3 −4.3% |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 95d | Yes | 72 | 47¢ → 85¢ | $61 | +$27 +80% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 71 | 78¢ → 83¢ | $59 | +$4 +6.4% |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 5% and 15% on December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 71 | 79¢ → 79¢ | $56 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%?Ends in 87d | Yes | 56 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $55 | +$5 +9.2% |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 83 | 55¢ → 63¢ | $52 | +$6 +13% |
| Will Lorenzo Pazolini win the Governor of Espírito Santo election?Ends ended | Yes | 53 | 21¢ → 97¢ | $51 | +$40 +362% |
| Will Charlie Crist win the St. Petersburg mayoral election?Ends ended | Yes | 51 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $46 | +$2 +3.6% |
| Will Lars Markus Hildingsson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Blekinge?Ends ended | Yes | 47 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $44 | +$6 +16% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $7.00 on December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 57 | 70¢ → 77¢ | $43 | +$4 +9.0% |
| Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | Yes | 46 | 62¢ → 87¢ | $40 | +$11 +40% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 37¢ → 66¢ | $39 | +$17 +77% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IL-06 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $39 | +$0 +0.0% |
| Will Holtec Nuclear not IPO before November 2026?Ends ended | Yes | 40 | 87¢ → 96¢ | $38 | +$4 +10% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Ends in 95d | Yes | 60 | 56¢ → 61¢ | $37 | +$3 +8.7% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?Ends in 85d | Yes | 120 | 34¢ → 27¢ | $32 | −$8 −21% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 41 | 60¢ → 76¢ | $31 | +$6 +26% |
| Will Elin Norén be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Dalarna?Ends ended | Yes | 32 | 85¢ → 94¢ | $30 | +$3 +10% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Ends in 102d | Yes | 82 | 36¢ → 35¢ | $28 | −$1 −4.2% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 29 | 76¢ → 94¢ | $28 | +$5 +24% |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 47 | 57¢ → 57¢ | $27 | +$0 +0.7% |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?Ends in 75d | Yes | 36 | 73¢ → 75¢ | $27 | +$1 +2.1% |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 30 | 34¢ → 83¢ | $25 | +$15 +146% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 5,500,000 and 6,000,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 72 | 37¢ → 35¢ | $25 | −$2 −6.8% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 30 | 65¢ → 81¢ | $24 | +$5 +26% |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Ends in 92d | Yes | 60 | 38¢ → 39¢ | $24 | +$1 +3.3% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,000,000 and 6,500,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 72 | 46¢ → 32¢ | $23 | −$10 −30% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 41 | 46¢ → 55¢ | $22 | +$3 +18% |
| Will the US economy be overheating at the end of 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 30 | 66¢ → 73¢ | $22 | +$2 +9.8% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,600,000 and 4,800,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 70 | 48¢ → 29¢ | $21 | −$13 −39% |
| Will "You Can See Everything" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 7m?Ends in 6h | Yes | 20 | 96¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$1 +4.1% |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 3.5% and 3.9%?Ends in 93d | Yes | 60 | 16¢ → 33¢ | $20 | +$10 +108% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be less than 970m by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 20 | 96¢ → 98¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 39 | 54¢ → 50¢ | $19 | −$2 −7.4% |
| Will Ulrich Siegmund be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt?Ends ended | Yes | 26 | 18¢ → 72¢ | $19 | +$14 +297% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?Ends in 87d | Yes | 120 | 34¢ → 16¢ | $19 | −$22 −54% |
| Will the People’s Bank of China not change rates by December 31?Ends in 74d | Yes | 20 | 85¢ → 92¢ | $19 | +$1 +7.6% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $18 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?Ends in 87d | Yes | 123 | 8¢ → 15¢ | $18 | +$8 +85% |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Ends in 3d | Yes | 20 | 96¢ → 89¢ | $18 | −$1 −7.1% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Nevada in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 24 | 67¢ → 71¢ | $17 | +$1 +5.2% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 41 | 30¢ → 41¢ | $17 | +$5 +37% |
| Will there be exactly 7 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 47 | 33¢ → 36¢ | $17 | +$1 +8.0% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 20 | 94¢ → 82¢ | $17 | −$2 −12% |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Ends in 10d | Yes | 47 | 39¢ → 35¢ | $16 | −$2 −12% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 84 | 12¢ → 19¢ | $16 | +$5 +50% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 47 House seats in California in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 125 | 23¢ → 13¢ | $16 | −$13 −46% |
| Will South Korea GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Ends in 10d | Yes | 48 | 30¢ → 33¢ | $15 | +$1 +8.9% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 50 | 24¢ → 30¢ | $15 | +$3 +25% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 50 | 23¢ → 30¢ | $15 | +$3 +26% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,400,000 and 4,600,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 79 | 8¢ → 19¢ | $15 | +$8 +131% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of New York be between 6,500,000 and 7,000,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 79 | 8¢ → 19¢ | $15 | +$8 +131% |
| Will Mike Hurley win the 2026 Burnaby mayoral election?Ends in 6h | Yes | 15 | 93¢ → 96¢ | $14 | +$0 +3.7% |
| Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 3.0% and 3.4%?Ends in 95d | Yes | 63 | 24¢ → 23¢ | $14 | −$1 −6.3% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 18 | 68¢ → 76¢ | $14 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?Ends ended | Yes | 15 | 76¢ → 91¢ | $14 | +$2 +19% |
| Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $900B and $1.00T on October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 30 | 21¢ → 45¢ | $14 | +$7 +111% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska be between 290,000 and 305,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 37 | 26¢ → 36¢ | $13 | +$3 +35% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 15 | 58¢ → 87¢ | $13 | +$4 +49% |
| Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 50 | 40¢ → 25¢ | $13 | −$7 −36% |
| Will US GDP growth in Q3 2026 be greater than 3.0%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 18 | 66¢ → 69¢ | $13 | +$0 +3.8% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more?Ends in 17d | Yes | 71 | 19¢ → 18¢ | $12 | −$1 −7.0% |
| Will Aida Hadžialić be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Stockholm?Ends ended | Yes | 24 | 96¢ → 51¢ | $12 | −$11 −47% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 12 | 52¢ → >99¢ | $12 | +$6 +92% |
| Will Orlando Sanchez win the 2026 Harris County Judge election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 121 | 13¢ → 10¢ | $12 | −$4 −26% |
| Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be between 4,800,000 and 5,000,000?Ends in 17d | Yes | 74 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $12 | −$2 −16% |
| Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?Ends in 93d | Yes | 60 | 32¢ → 20¢ | $12 | −$7 −39% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 70 | 19¢ → 16¢ | $11 | −$2 −16% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 5 House seats in Arizona in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 20 | 51¢ → 53¢ | $11 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia increase the monetary policy interest rate by 25 bps at the October meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 39 | 29¢ → 27¢ | $11 | −$1 −6.9% |
| Will Eurozone GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 0.8% and 1.1%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 20 | 52¢ → 52¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will MrBeast Gaming's next video get between 50 and 55 million views in week 1?Ends in 6h | Yes | 10 | 55¢ → >99¢ | $10 | +$4 +80% |
| Coca-Cola (KO) Q3 organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth 3.5% to 5%?Ends in 9d | Yes | 29 | 19¢ → 34¢ | $10 | +$4 +74% |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?Ends in 5d | Yes | 20 | 49¢ → 49¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.0% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 10 | 91¢ → 97¢ | $10 | +$1 +6.9% |
| Will the Bank of Korea hike by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 39d | Yes | 20 | 48¢ → 48¢ | $10 | −$0 −0.0% |
| Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comp sales (ex-fuel) growth 2.5% to 4%?Ends in 32d | Yes | 19 | 45¢ → 49¢ | $10 | +$1 +8.9% |
