| Will there be 20 to 34 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 755 | 26¢ → 73¢ | $554 | +$357 +181% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic not return to normal in 2026?Ends in 106d | Yes | 505 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $447 | +$35 +8.5% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 150m and 160m by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 430 | 79¢ → 82¢ | $354 | +$13 +4.0% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 410 | 84¢ → 81¢ | $332 | −$13 −3.8% |
| Will the Rhine River fail to return to normal levels before November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 510 | 70¢ → 62¢ | $314 | −$42 −12% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 315 | 86¢ → 83¢ | $260 | −$12 −4.5% |
| Will there be 1-3 hurricanes during the Atlantic Hurricane Season in 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 240 | 49¢ → 98¢ | $235 | +$116 +99% |
| Will the Danube River fail to return to normal levels by November 1, 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 250 | 73¢ → 87¢ | $216 | +$33 +18% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 220 | 70¢ → 90¢ | $199 | +$46 +30% |
| Will there be 35 to 49 West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 755 | 44¢ → 26¢ | $196 | −$138 −41% |
| Will the Rhine River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 510 | 28¢ → 38¢ | $194 | +$53 +38% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the December meeting?Ends in 53d | Yes | 230 | 77¢ → 82¢ | $188 | +$12 +6.5% |
| Will Waymo operate in 12-15 cities on December 31 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 205 | 74¢ → 83¢ | $171 | +$20 +13% |
| Will Japan's core CPI increase by less than or equal to 1.9% in 2026?Ends in 96d | Yes | 155 | 45¢ → 96¢ | $149 | +$79 +113% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 30% and 34.9%?Ends in 85d | Yes | 205 | 61¢ → 66¢ | $136 | +$10 +8.4% |
| Will Japan's core-core CPI increase by between 2.0 and 2.4% in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 105 | 66¢ → 89¢ | $93 | +$24 +35% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 0 Premier League points?Ends in 256d | Yes | 230 | 15¢ → 40¢ | $91 | +$57 +168% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to no prison time?Ends in 440d | Yes | 150 | 61¢ → 60¢ | $90 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 200 | 39¢ → 42¢ | $84 | +$5 +6.4% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 140 | 50¢ → 55¢ | $76 | +$6 +8.9% |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?Ends in 3d | Yes | 85 | 80¢ → 89¢ | $76 | +$8 +11% |
| Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 430 | 17¢ → 17¢ | $74 | +$2 +3.0% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 10d | Yes | 410 | 13¢ → 18¢ | $74 | +$23 +44% |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 125 | 59¢ → 51¢ | $64 | −$10 −14% |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 12.5% to 15%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 115 | 43¢ → 53¢ | $61 | +$11 +22% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 80 | 78¢ → 75¢ | $60 | −$2 −3.6% |
| Will there be 50 or more West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases among NYC residents in 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 755 | 17¢ → 8¢ | $59 | −$69 −54% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 50 or more Premier League points?Ends in 256d | Yes | 230 | 34¢ → 25¢ | $56 | −$22 −28% |
| Will Argentina’s annual inflation in 2026 be between 25% and 29.9%?Ends in 85d | Yes | 205 | 32¢ → 27¢ | $54 | −$11 −17% |
| Will more than 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 256d | Yes | 75 | 51¢ → 72¢ | $54 | +$15 +39% |
| Will South African inflation be greater than 5.0% in 2026?Ends in 95d | Yes | 63 | 52¢ → 85¢ | $54 | +$20 +62% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 135 | 42¢ → 40¢ | $53 | −$3 −6.1% |
| Will no listed leader be out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 95 | 36¢ → 56¢ | $53 | +$19 +56% |
| Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 75 | 69¢ → 69¢ | $52 | +$0 +0.5% |
| Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 200 | 15¢ → 25¢ | $51 | +$21 +70% |
| Reserve Bank of Australia increases interest rates by 25 bps at the November 2026 meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 315 | 11¢ → 16¢ | $50 | +$16 +47% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 165 | 18¢ → 30¢ | $50 | +$20 +66% |
| Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 440d | Yes | 125 | 38¢ → 40¢ | $49 | +$1 +3.0% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.1% in 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 165 | 24¢ → 30¢ | $49 | +$9 +23% |
| Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 200 | 27¢ → 24¢ | $47 | −$7 −14% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 78¢ → 76¢ | $46 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will world GDP growth be ≤2.9% in 2026?Ends in 89d | Yes | 165 | 29¢ → 26¢ | $43 | −$4 −8.3% |
| Will October be Melbourne's wettest month of 2026?Ends in 83d | Yes | 55 | 57¢ → 77¢ | $42 | +$11 +34% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 19, 2026?Ends in 2d | Yes | 45 | 81¢ → 94¢ | $42 | +$6 +16% |
| Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 125 | 20¢ → 33¢ | $41 | +$17 +68% |
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026?Ends in 165d | Yes | 50 | 75¢ → 82¢ | $41 | +$3 +8.5% |
| Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 50 | 40¢ → 81¢ | $41 | +$21 +102% |
| Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?Ends in 53d | Yes | 230 | 20¢ → 17¢ | $39 | −$6 −14% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in December?Ends in 106d | Yes | 505 | 8¢ → 8¢ | $39 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will Manchester City be expelled from the Premier League as a sanction?Ends in 256d | Yes | 230 | 14¢ → 15¢ | $35 | +$3 +9.0% |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%?Ends in 3d | Yes | 45 | 69¢ → 79¢ | $35 | +$4 +14% |
| Will the season series between the Lions and Packers end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | Yes | 70 | 57¢ → 50¢ | $35 | −$5 −12% |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?Ends in 440d | Yes | 150 | 17¢ → 23¢ | $35 | +$9 +33% |
| Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?Ends in 9d | Yes | 45 | 67¢ → 74¢ | $33 | +$3 +9.5% |
| Will there be 5 or more ChatGPT outages in October 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 40 | 57¢ → 82¢ | $33 | +$10 +44% |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 15d | Yes | 250 | 24¢ → 13¢ | $33 | −$26 −45% |
| Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | Yes | 70 | 15¢ → 46¢ | $32 | +$22 +207% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?Ends in 17d | Yes | 35 | 73¢ → 91¢ | $32 | +$6 +24% |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 35 | 86¢ → 90¢ | $32 | +$1 +4.7% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 45 | 51¢ → 67¢ | $30 | +$7 +31% |
| Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 440d | Yes | 125 | 11¢ → 23¢ | $28 | +$14 +102% |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 53d | Yes | 65 | 35¢ → 43¢ | $28 | +$5 +22% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 95 | 20¢ → 28¢ | $27 | +$8 +40% |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 115 | 20¢ → 24¢ | $27 | +$4 +18% |
| Will the Ornn B200 Index be at least $6.50 on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 30 | 64¢ → 87¢ | $26 | +$7 +35% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 10d | Yes | 40 | 57¢ → 65¢ | $26 | +$3 +12% |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.2% and 0.3%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 65 | 37¢ → 39¢ | $25 | +$1 +3.0% |
| Will Canada's GDP growth rate MoM in August 2026 be between 0.0% and 0.1%?Ends in 12d | Yes | 65 | 35¢ → 37¢ | $24 | +$2 +7.1% |
| Will one person dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 53d | Yes | 65 | 31¢ → 36¢ | $24 | +$4 +18% |
| Will "Whalefall" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?Ends in 8h | Yes | 25 | 64¢ → 94¢ | $23 | +$7 +46% |
| Will Manchester City be deducted 20-29 Premier League points?Ends in 256d | Yes | 230 | 6¢ → 10¢ | $22 | +$8 +53% |
| Will exactly 8 tropical cyclones make landfall in China during 2026?Ends in 256d | Yes | 75 | 39¢ → 30¢ | $22 | −$7 −25% |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 10% to 12.5%?Ends in 2d | Yes | 115 | 32¢ → 19¢ | $22 | −$15 −41% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 3.00 ft or more by November 30?Ends in 45d | Yes | 65 | 31¢ → 34¢ | $22 | +$2 +8.3% |
| Will Abyss be the fewest played map at VALORANT Champions 2026?Ends in 31d | Yes | 20 | 52¢ → >99¢ | $20 | +$10 +91% |
| Will Democrats win exactly 3 House seats in Iowa in the 2026 midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 40 | 43¢ → 50¢ | $20 | +$3 +15% |
| Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI?Ends in 440d | Yes | 60 | 37¢ → 33¢ | $20 | −$2 −11% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 60 | 22¢ → 32¢ | $19 | +$6 +48% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $458,000 and $471,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | Yes | 70 | 22¢ → 27¢ | $19 | +$4 +24% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 625T and 675T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 8d | Yes | 35 | 29¢ → 53¢ | $19 | +$9 +86% |
| Will the season series between the Ravens and Bengals end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?Ends in 101d | Yes | 25 | 45¢ → 74¢ | $19 | +$7 +64% |
| Will no one dissent the October Fed decision?Ends in 10d | Yes | 50 | 27¢ → 36¢ | $18 | +$4 +31% |
| Will the lowest Baton Rouge river level be 6.00 ft or more by November 30?Ends in 45d | Yes | 30 | 36¢ → 59¢ | $18 | +$7 +65% |
| Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | Yes | 20 | 71¢ → 88¢ | $18 | +$3 +24% |
| Will GitHub's longest critical incident in October 2026 be between 3 and 6 hours?Ends in 14d | Yes | 35 | 36¢ → 49¢ | $17 | +$5 +36% |
| Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Ends in 10d | Yes | 200 | 12¢ → 9¢ | $17 | −$8 −31% |
| Will Claude go down 5-7 times in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 35 | 44¢ → 48¢ | $17 | +$2 +9.8% |
| Will the median home value in NYC be between $445,000 and $458,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | Yes | 70 | 25¢ → 24¢ | $17 | −$1 −4.0% |
| Will Gemini be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?Ends in 440d | Yes | 125 | 8¢ → 13¢ | $16 | +$5 +52% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be 1.00 to 2.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 45d | Yes | 65 | 23¢ → 24¢ | $16 | +$1 +4.3% |
| Bank of Mexico decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2026 meeting?Ends in 18d | Yes | 80 | 14¢ → 19¢ | $15 | +$4 +36% |
| Will the lowest St. Louis river level be -1.00 to 0.99 ft by November 30?Ends in 45d | Yes | 65 | 18¢ → 24¢ | $15 | +$3 +28% |
| Will OpenRouter process between 675T and 725T tokens from Sep 28 to Oct 25?Ends in 8d | Yes | 35 | 41¢ → 44¢ | $15 | +$1 +5.0% |
| Will Strait of Hormuz traffic return to normal in November?Ends in 106d | Yes | 505 | 5¢ → 3¢ | $15 | −$13 −45% |
| Will the Ornn A100 Index be between $0.75 and $1.00 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 30 | 49¢ → 50¢ | $15 | +$0 +2.7% |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 270 and 280 million views on week 2?Ends in 8h | Yes | 15 | 71¢ → 99¢ | $15 | +$4 +40% |
| Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 12d | Yes | 15 | 86¢ → 97¢ | $14 | +$2 +12% |
| Will there be exactly 6 UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 25 | 50¢ → 57¢ | $14 | +$2 +15% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index be at least $3.25 on November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 40 | 29¢ → 36¢ | $14 | +$3 +23% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 51d | Yes | 20 | 56¢ → 71¢ | $14 | +$3 +26% |
