| US imports Russian diesel by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 200 | 66¢ → 67¢ | $134 | +$2 +1.5% |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 120 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $115 | −$1 −0.6% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 200 | 50¢ → 50¢ | $99 | −$1 −1.0% |
| Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP?Ends in 287d | No | 120 | 81¢ → 82¢ | $98 | +$1 +1.2% |
| Will the Ornn H100 Index hit $1.50 (LOW) by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 120 | 83¢ → 80¢ | $96 | −$3 −2.7% |
| Will Flavio Bolsonaro win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 8d | Yes | 120 | 71¢ → 71¢ | $85 | −$1 −0.7% |
| Will world GDP growth be 3.0% in 2026?Ends in 89d | No | 120 | 79¢ → 70¢ | $84 | −$11 −12% |
| Any of the Cornell 7 charged with a felony sex crime?Ends in 106d | Yes | 300 | 36¢ → 28¢ | $83 | −$24 −23% |
| Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain?Ends in 531d | Yes | 100 | 80¢ → 82¢ | $82 | +$2 +1.9% |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 100 | 76¢ → 79¢ | $79 | +$3 +3.9% |
| Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) Q3 da Vinci procedure growth 15% to 17.5%?Ends in 2d | No | 100 | 80¢ → 77¢ | $77 | −$4 −4.4% |
| Will the next Claude Haiku model (4.6+) debut at a score of at least 1420 by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | Yes | 83 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $76 | −$1 −1.6% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 South Carolina Senate election by 5%-10%?Ends in 17d | No | 100 | 73¢ → 72¢ | $72 | −$2 −2.1% |
| Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 372 | 21¢ → 19¢ | $71 | −$7 −8.9% |
| Will the OpenAI spy be accused of working for China by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 75 | 90¢ → 92¢ | $69 | +$1 +1.9% |
| Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 200 | 46¢ → 35¢ | $69 | −$23 −25% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 54¢ → 34¢ | $68 | −$41 −37% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?Ends in 8d | No | 73 | 90¢ → 90¢ | $65 | −$0 −0.5% |
| Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 80 | 90¢ → 81¢ | $65 | −$7 −9.9% |
| Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 90 | 29¢ → 71¢ | $63 | +$37 +143% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 0%-3%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 200 | 33¢ → 31¢ | $61 | −$5 −7.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 60 | 29¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$43 +245% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 60 | 59¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$25 +69% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 60 | 79¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$13 +27% |
| Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 60 | 10¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$54 +899% |
| Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 60 | 84¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$10 +19% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 16°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 60 | 70¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$18 +43% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 60 | 86¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$9 +17% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 60 | 92¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$5 +8.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 60 | 85¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$9 +18% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 60 | 54¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$28 +86% |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 60 | 62¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$23 +61% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 38°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 60 | 84¢ → >99¢ | $60 | +$9 +19% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a technocrat?Ends in 440d | Yes | 60 | 53¢ → 98¢ | $59 | +$27 +85% |
| Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 5%-10%?Ends in 17d | No | 80 | 75¢ → 72¢ | $57 | −$3 −4.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 60 | 86¢ → 95¢ | $57 | +$6 +11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 59 | 93¢ → 95¢ | $57 | +$1 +2.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 19°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 60 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $56 | +$3 +5.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 56 | 71¢ → >99¢ | $56 | +$17 +42% |
| Will the 5-year Treasury yield dip below 4.50% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 80 | 84¢ → 70¢ | $56 | −$11 −17% |
| Will Lula win the most votes in the second round of the Brazil presidential election from Amapá?Ends in 8d | No | 80 | 76¢ → 70¢ | $56 | −$4 −7.3% |
| Will OpenAI be the #3 AI Lab at the end of December 2026 (Style Control On)?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 87¢ → 91¢ | $54 | +$2 +4.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 60 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $54 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will Pete Hegseth be the next to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 92¢ → 90¢ | $54 | −$1 −1.7% |
| Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?Ends in 12d | No | 80 | 76¢ → 67¢ | $54 | −$7 −11% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 35¢ → 27¢ | $54 | −$17 −24% |
| Will Google be the second-best AI Agent Lab at the end of November 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 60 | 91¢ → 89¢ | $53 | −$1 −2.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 18°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 58 | 76¢ → 91¢ | $53 | +$9 +20% |
| Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 60 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $53 | $0 0.0% |
| Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $200 in October?Ends in 14d | No | 80 | 75¢ → 66¢ | $53 | −$7 −12% |
| Will Blue and White win 0.75-1.25% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 9d | No | 80 | 74¢ → 66¢ | $52 | −$7 −11% |
| Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 54 | 88¢ → 96¢ | $52 | +$4 +9.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 60 | 82¢ → 86¢ | $52 | +$2 +4.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 59 | 84¢ → 87¢ | $51 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 51 | 54¢ → >99¢ | $51 | +$23 +85% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the RI-02 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 55 | 93¢ → 92¢ | $51 | −$1 −1.1% |
| Will Apple’s market capitalization be between $4.50T and $5.00T at the end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 60 | 70¢ → 84¢ | $50 | +$8 +20% |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 60 | 83¢ → 84¢ | $50 | +$0 +1.0% |
| Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election be 78-80%?Ends in 8d | No | 120 | 53¢ → 42¢ | $50 | −$14 −22% |
| Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 65 | 83¢ → 77¢ | $50 | −$4 −8.1% |
| Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of November 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 60 | 73¢ → 82¢ | $49 | +$5 +12% |
| Will the next Google Gemini Pro model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 55% or higher?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 86¢ → 82¢ | $49 | −$3 −5.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 49 | 52¢ → >99¢ | $49 | +$23 +91% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 60-61°F on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 60 | 83¢ → 81¢ | $48 | −$2 −3.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 60 | 89¢ → 81¢ | $48 | −$5 −9.6% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?Ends in 79d | Yes | 200 | 42¢ → 24¢ | $47 | −$37 −44% |
| Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 72-73°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 56 | 74¢ → 83¢ | $47 | +$5 +12% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 47 | 50¢ → >99¢ | $47 | +$23 +99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 60 | 90¢ → 77¢ | $46 | −$8 −14% |
| Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 60 | 82¢ → 77¢ | $46 | −$3 −6.7% |
| Will the 10-year Japanese government bond yield on the last reported day of 2026 be between 2.8% and 3.0%?Ends in 106d | No | 60 | 83¢ → 76¢ | $46 | −$4 −8.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 46 | 68¢ → >99¢ | $46 | +$15 +47% |
| Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 60 | 83¢ → 76¢ | $45 | −$5 −9.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Milan be 22°C on October 19?Ends in 1d | No | 60 | 82¢ → 76¢ | $45 | −$4 −7.9% |
| Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 91¢ | $45 | +$1 +2.8% |
| Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 50 | 76¢ → 90¢ | $45 | +$7 +19% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 95 | 46¢ → 48¢ | $45 | +$2 +4.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 17?Ends ended | Yes | 45 | 43¢ → >99¢ | $45 | +$25 +130% |
| Will the median home value in Austin Metro be between $397,000 and $407,000 on December 31?Ends in 85d | No | 60 | 83¢ → 75¢ | $45 | −$5 −10% |
| Will Missouri enact a data center moratorium by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 50 | 88¢ → 89¢ | $45 | +$1 +1.1% |
| Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?Ends in 74d | No | 60 | 67¢ → 74¢ | $44 | +$4 +9.7% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | Yes | 200 | 26¢ → 22¢ | $44 | −$8 −15% |
| Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on October 18?Ends in 8h | No | 60 | 77¢ → 73¢ | $44 | −$2 −5.2% |
| Will Together win 7-9% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | No | 60 | 79¢ → 73¢ | $44 | −$4 −7.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 68-69°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 60 | 73¢ → 73¢ | $44 | −$0 −0.2% |
| Will Hong Kong have between 70-120mm of precipitation in October?Ends in 82d | Yes | 50 | 62¢ → 88¢ | $44 | +$13 +41% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on October 17?Ends ended | No | 50 | 88¢ → 88¢ | $44 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will Alphabet’s market capitalization be between $3.50T and $4.00T at the end of 2026?Ends in 74d | No | 60 | 80¢ → 73¢ | $44 | −$5 −9.4% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.10% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 60 | 89¢ → 73¢ | $44 | −$10 −19% |
| Will the Danube River return to normal levels between October 1 and October 31, 2026?Ends in 15d | No | 50 | 65¢ → 87¢ | $44 | +$11 +34% |
| Will Yashar be in the next Israeli government?Ends in 255d | No | 105 | 44¢ → 41¢ | $43 | −$3 −6.8% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027?Ends in 256d | No | 107 | 46¢ → 40¢ | $43 | −$6 −13% |
| Will The Joint List win 5.5-6.5% of the vote in the 2026 Knesset elections?Ends in 43d | No | 60 | 79¢ → 71¢ | $43 | −$5 −10% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 51d | Yes | 60 | 78¢ → 71¢ | $42 | −$4 −9.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 15°C on October 17?Ends ended | No | 42 | 59¢ → >99¢ | $42 | +$17 +69% |
| Frontier AI labs announce new joint pacing agreement in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 77¢ → 70¢ | $42 | −$4 −9.1% |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 4.7% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 60 | 83¢ → 70¢ | $42 | −$8 −16% |
| Will Trump endorse Likud in the 2026 Israeli Election?Ends in 75d | No | 60 | 87¢ → 70¢ | $42 | −$11 −20% |
| Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $60 in October?Ends in 14d | Yes | 80 | 75¢ → 52¢ | $42 | −$18 −31% |
| Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 46.0 and 48.9 in October?Ends in 5d | No | 80 | 63¢ → 52¢ | $42 | −$9 −17% |
