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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | 88% | +1 pts | — | 87¢ · 89¢ (2¢) | $146 | in 75d |
| October 31 | 36% | −9 pts | — | 32¢ · 40¢ (8¢) | $307 | in 14d |
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CosmicCedar464 shares
ArmageddonRewardsBilly159 shares
iForgor383 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 88¢ for December 31 means the market gives it about 88%.