| US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 4,166 | 67¢ → 94¢ | $3,895 | +$1,095 +39% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 3,397 | 62¢ → 63¢ | $2,123 | +$21 +1.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2,042 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $1,439 | −$31 −2.1% |
| Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 1,440 | 77¢ → 76¢ | $1,094 | −$8 −0.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 1,708 | 59¢ → 63¢ | $1,068 | +$56 +5.5% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 957 | 42¢ → 66¢ | $631 | +$231 +58% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 466 | 75¢ → 81¢ | $377 | +$27 +7.7% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026?Ends in 43d | No | 426 | 73¢ → 79¢ | $335 | +$25 +7.9% |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | No | 330 | 64¢ → 93¢ | $307 | +$97 +46% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 297 | 67¢ → 93¢ | $274 | +$74 +37% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 247 | 85¢ → 77¢ | $189 | −$19 −9.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 368 | 33¢ → 38¢ | $138 | +$18 +15% |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 186 | 56¢ → 74¢ | $137 | +$32 +30% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 119 | 84¢ → 93¢ | $111 | +$11 +11% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 111 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $109 | +$9 +8.7% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 143 | 77¢ → 75¢ | $106 | −$4 −3.2% |
| Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 231 | 48¢ → 42¢ | $96 | −$14 −13% |
| Will Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins win the 2026 Alaska governor election?Ends in 17d | Yes | 100 | 77¢ → 79¢ | $79 | +$2 +2.5% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 391 | 28¢ → 17¢ | $66 | −$44 −40% |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 184 | 33¢ → 35¢ | $64 | +$4 +5.9% |
| Will Talarico and Paxton debate live by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 50 | 81¢ → 89¢ | $44 | +$4 +10% |
| Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026?Ends in 74d | Yes | 62 | 49¢ → 69¢ | $42 | +$12 +42% |
| Will Buffalo Bills win the 2026 AFC East?Ends in 92d | Yes | 57 | 71¢ → 66¢ | $37 | −$3 −7.4% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 11d | Yes | 236 | 57¢ → 14¢ | $32 | −$103 −76% |
| Paxton flips Talarico for Texas Senate by November 2?Ends in 16d | No | 35 | 86¢ → 86¢ | $30 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 752d | Yes | 62 | 49¢ → 47¢ | $29 | −$1 −3.3% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 47 | 66¢ → 60¢ | $28 | −$3 −9.4% |
| US x Cuba military clash in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 200 | 50¢ → 14¢ | $27 | −$74 −73% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 114 | 22¢ → 24¢ | $27 | +$2 +6.8% |
| Will Kansas City Chiefs win the 2026 AFC West?Ends in 92d | Yes | 36 | 55¢ → 65¢ | $23 | +$3 +17% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 26 | 38¢ → 84¢ | $22 | +$12 +120% |
| Texas Senate favorite on November 2?Ends in 16d | Talarico | 25 | 79¢ → 87¢ | $22 | +$2 +9.6% |
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | Yes | 67 | 30¢ → 32¢ | $21 | +$1 +6.7% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 5, 11:59 PM?Ends in 19d | Yes | 24 | 85¢ → 88¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.8% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | Yes | 26 | 78¢ → 81¢ | $21 | +$1 +3.2% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 17d | Yes | 27 | 75¢ → 78¢ | $21 | +$1 +2.7% |
| Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 71 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $20 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 52d | Yes | 26 | 38¢ → 76¢ | $20 | +$10 +97% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 21 | 47¢ → 89¢ | $19 | +$9 +88% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 66 | 45¢ → 24¢ | $16 | −$14 −48% |
| Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Railroad Commissioner election?Ends in 16d | Yes | 27 | 56¢ → 56¢ | $15 | +$0 +1.5% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | No | 18 | 56¢ → 84¢ | $15 | +$5 +49% |
| Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | Yes | 26 | 77¢ → 56¢ | $14 | −$6 −28% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 21 | 48¢ → 65¢ | $13 | +$3 +34% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 60 | 41¢ → 20¢ | $12 | −$13 −53% |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 29 | 35¢ → 41¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?Ends in 79d | No | 14 | 74¢ → 86¢ | $12 | +$2 +16% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 13 | 77¢ → 88¢ | $11 | +$1 +14% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | No | 16 | 64¢ → 73¢ | $11 | +$1 +13% |
| Will the next elected US president be a woman?Ends in 752d | Yes | 49 | 20¢ → 23¢ | $11 | +$1 +11% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseEnds in 17d | Yes | 40 | 38¢ → 28¢ | $11 | −$4 −28% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 15 | 65¢ → 71¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.5% |
| Will Republicans lose a seat in the House of Representatives in any state Trump won in 2024?Ends in 17d | Yes | 11 | 90¢ → 98¢ | $11 | +$1 +8.4% |
| Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 12 | 85¢ → 91¢ | $11 | +$1 +6.5% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.05% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 13 | 75¢ → 78¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.3% |
| Will the 30-year Treasury yield dip below 5.00% before 2027?Ends in 74d | No | 12 | 81¢ → 84¢ | $10 | +$0 +3.1% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 15 | 68¢ → 70¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the IA-01 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 11 | 87¢ → 90¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.9% |
| Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 23 | 44¢ → 45¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.3% |
| Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by November 30, 2026?Ends in 44d | No | 20 | 49¢ → 50¢ | $10 | +$0 +2.0% |
| Will PP win the most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 43d | Yes | 12 | 83¢ → 85¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.8% |
| Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?Ends in 44d | No | 13 | 77¢ → 78¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.3% |
| Will the Democratic Party win the NJ-07 House seat?Ends in 17d | Yes | 11 | 90¢ → 91¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.1% |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 10d | Yes | 19 | 52¢ → 53¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.6% |
| Will AP call US House control by November 3, 11:59 PM?Ends in 17d | Yes | 38 | 26¢ → 27¢ | $10 | +$0 +0.1% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?Ends in 74d | No | 14 | 69¢ → 68¢ | $10 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will Riyadh airport reopen (50+ departures) by October 20?Ends in 3d | No | 12 | 85¢ → 84¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.2% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31?Ends in 75d | No | 14 | 69¢ → 67¢ | $10 | −$0 −2.9% |
| Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 63 | 16¢ → 16¢ | $10 | −$0 −3.1% |
| Will the Alaska 2026 Senate race be within 5%?Ends in 17d | Yes | 15 | 67¢ → 61¢ | $9 | −$1 −9.7% |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 73 | 20¢ → 12¢ | $9 | −$6 −41% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 67 | 15¢ → 13¢ | $8 | −$2 −17% |
| Military action against Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) by November 30?Ends in 43d | Yes | 15 | 68¢ → 56¢ | $8 | −$2 −17% |
| Will no one dissent the December Fed decision?Ends in 53d | No | 12 | 83¢ → 57¢ | $7 | −$3 −31% |
| Will John Thune be the next Senate Majority Leader?Ends in 17d | Yes | 28 | 36¢ → 25¢ | $7 | −$3 −32% |
| Will gas be below $3.75/gallon in any state on October 31?Ends in 14d | No | 13 | 76¢ → 48¢ | $6 | −$4 −37% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 13d | No | 38 | 26¢ → 15¢ | $6 | −$4 −42% |
| Anthropic IPO before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 8 | 65¢ → 73¢ | $6 | +$1 +12% |
| Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?Ends in 183d | Yes | 6 | 82¢ → 89¢ | $5 | +$0 +8.5% |
| Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6 | 82¢ → 88¢ | $5 | +$0 +7.3% |
| Will OpenAI announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 11 | 47¢ → 50¢ | $5 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 118 | 17¢ → 4¢ | $5 | −$15 −76% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30?Ends in 43d | No | 8 | 64¢ → 61¢ | $5 | −$0 −5.5% |
| Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027?Ends in 440d | No | 8 | 63¢ → 59¢ | $5 | −$0 −7.1% |
| Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 45 | 11¢ → 10¢ | $5 | −$0 −9.1% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?Ends in 75d | No | 7 | 60¢ → 60¢ | $4 | −$0 −0.8% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 25 | 44¢ → 12¢ | $3 | −$8 −74% |
| Will the Michigan Democrat perform best among these tossup Senate races?Ends in 16d | Yes | 12 | 42¢ → 24¢ | $3 | −$2 −44% |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 28 | 36¢ → 9¢ | $2 | −$8 −76% |
| Will Iran target Jordan by October 31, 2026?Ends in 13d | Yes | 15 | 68¢ → 11¢ | $2 | −$8 −84% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2 | 62¢ → 91¢ | $1 | +$0 +46% |
| Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?Ends in 17d | Yes | 2 | 57¢ → 81¢ | $1 | +$0 +41% |
| Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 5 | 68¢ → 25¢ | $1 | −$2 −64% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Ends in 75d | Yes | 21 | 47¢ → 6¢ | $1 | −$9 −88% |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31?Ends in 75d | Yes | 9 | 53¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$4 −80% |
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 10 | 50¢ → 9¢ | $1 | −$4 −83% |
| Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by October 31?Ends in 14d | Yes | 19 | 26¢ → 4¢ | $1 | −$4 −84% |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 56 | 9¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$4 −85% |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026?Ends in 75d | Yes | 6 | 35¢ → 11¢ | $1 | −$1 −69% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 14d | Yes | 6 | 16¢ → 7¢ | $0 | −$1 −59% |
