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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| $3B | 3% | 0 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 440d |
| $200M | 3% | 0 pts | 0 pts | 3¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 440d |
| $800M | 1% | 0 pts | −2 pts | 1¢ · 1¢ (<1¢) | — | in 440d |
| $600M | 1% | — | −2 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | — | in 440d |
| $2B | 2% | — | +1 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 440d |
| $2.5B | 2% | −1 pts | 0 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | — | in 440d |
| $400M | 4% | +2 pts | +1 pts | 4¢ · 4¢ (<1¢) | $2.55K | in 440d |
| $1.5B | 3% | +1 pts | −1 pts | 2¢ · 3¢ (1¢) | $451 | in 440d |
| $1B | 1% | — | −2 pts | 1¢ · 2¢ (1¢) | $30 | in 440d |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7d |  XieGuangKun | $800M | SellNo97¢ → 99¢ | $1,124 | −$27 −2.4% | — |
| 7d | XieGuangKun | $600M | SellNo97¢ → 99¢ | $1,073 | −$19 −1.7% | — |
| 9d |  olegs | $3B | SellNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,409 | −$17 −1.2% | — |
| 10d | zisone3 fills | $200M | BuyNo97¢ | $3,000 | +$18 +0.6% | 2 |
| 10d | olegs | $3B | BuyNo99¢ → 97¢ | $1,449 | −$24 −1.7% | 2 |
| 10d | zisone2 fills | $800M | BuyNo98¢ → 99¢ | $2,000 | +$22 +1.1% | 2 |
| 11d | zisone | $400M | BuyNo98¢ → 96¢ | $1,000 | −$15 −1.5% | 2 |
| 11d | zisone | $1B | BuyNo97¢ → 99¢ | $1,000 | +$13 +1.3% | 2 |
| 11d |  Lord1337 | $1B | BuyNo95¢ → 99¢ | $1,194 | +$46 +3.8% | 3 |
| 164d |  Hyperlong | $3B | BuyNo97¢ | $1,142 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 172d | Hyperlong2 fills | $600M | BuyNo70¢ → 99¢ | $4,914 | +$2,068 +42% | 2 |
| 180d | tryingmyluckhere | $200M | BuyYes62¢ → 3¢ | $1,289 | −$1,230 −95% | 2 |
| 191d | Hyperlong2 fills | $800M | BuyNo86¢ → 99¢ | $3,649 | +$563 +15% | 2 |
| 198d | Hyperlong2 fills | $400M | BuyNo79¢ → 96¢ | $7,054 | +$1,588 +23% | 6 |
| 218d | Boiling-Brilliant | $200M | SellYes67¢ → 3¢ | $1,005 | +$962 +96% | — |
| 235d | Kaleidoscopic-FigurineNew account | $2.5B | BuyNo98¢ | $1,259 | $0 0.0% | 2 |
| 235d | Common-SustainmentNew account | $2.5B | BuyNo98¢ | $1,264 | −$5 −0.4% | 2 |
| 247d | Rapid-Revascularization | $3B | BuyNo96¢ → 97¢ | $2,506 | +$26 +1.0% | 2 |
| 247d | jiuyaowu | $3B | SellNo96¢ → 97¢ | $1,060 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 248d | Suburban-Dial41 fills | $3B | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $59,070 | +$1,410 +2.4% | 2 |
| 248d | asdgreyreyh40 fills | $3B | BuyNo95¢ → 97¢ | $58,044 | +$1,391 +2.4% | 2 |
| 257d | shprota | $3B | BuyNo91¢ → 97¢ | $1,014 | +$72 +7.1% | 2 |
| 260d | hasfafs | $200M | SellYes89¢ → 3¢ | $1,602 | +$1,551 +97% | — |
| 260d | najksfh | $200M | SellYes89¢ → 3¢ | $1,958 | +$1,895 +97% | — |
| 260d | ljksbndef | $200M | SellYes88¢ → 3¢ | $1,232 | +$1,192 +97% | — |
| 260d | jkasfres | $200M | SellYes88¢ → 3¢ | $1,936 | +$1,873 +97% | — |
balthazar309 shares
linea60111140 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Abstract's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Abstract doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 3¢ for $3B means the market gives it about 3%.